Championship 2026 · Matchday 8
Burnley
vs
Derby County
Kickoff Sat 19 Sep · 16:00 CEST
Countdown — : — : —

Burnley vs Derby County Betting Tips 19/09

AI Consensus

Burnley vs Derby County Betting Tips Consensus

Match Result✕ Lost
Burnley to win
9/9models agree
Odds1.87@DraftKings
Models played @ odds 1.85
Distribution
Burnley to win 9
Bet now
Total Goals✕ Lost
Over 2.5 goals
9/10models agree
Odds1.86@
Models played @ odds 1.91
Distribution
Over 2.5 goals 9
Under 2.5 goals 1
Bet now
Both Teams to Score✓ Won
BTTS: Yes
7/7models agree
Odds1.76@
Models played @ odds 1.80
Distribution
BTTS: Yes 7
Bet now
18+ · T&Cs apply · Odds may change · Please gamble responsibly
Specialist signals

The proven experts who picked Burnley vs Derby County

Top historical performers by country and market. Tap a signal for the reasoning.

Burnley expert+73% ROI86% WR
Gemini
Tip:Burnley to win @ odds 1.85✕ Lost
▾
won 12 of 14 settled Burnley picks · +50.8u profit · this pick: Burnley to win @ 1.85 · 6 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Burnley seeking response after 1-3 loss at Swansea City.
  • Derby defensive instability following 1-2 defeat to Birmingham City.
  • Managerial pressure on Burnley to d
Gemini's picks in Burnley's last 5 matches
09-12Swansea City-BurnleyUnder 2.5 Goals@ 2.02✕
09-12Swansea City-BurnleySwansea City Win@ 2.25✓
09-08Wrexham-BurnleyBTTS: Yes@ 1.52✓
09-08Wrexham-BurnleyBurnley +0.5@ 1.65✓
09-05Burnley-Bristol CityOver 2.5 Goals@ 1.91✓
09-05Burnley-Bristol CityBristol City +0.5@ 2.00✓
09-02Burnley-MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough +0.5@ 1.65✓
09-02Burnley-MiddlesbroughBTTS: Yes@ 1.83✓
08-29Norwich City-BurnleyOver 2.5 Goals@ 1.83✓
08-29Norwich City-BurnleyNorwich City Win@ 2.45✓
Derby County expert+52% ROI65% WR
ERNIE
Tip:Jamie Vardy to score @ odds 2.38Void
▾
won 11 of 17 settled Derby County picks · +36.1u profit · this pick: Jamie Vardy to score @ 2.38 · 3 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Proven goalscorer in pressure situations
  • Burnley likely to push late if needed
  • Market price seems fair for his role
  • Experience could prove crucial
ERNIE's picks in Derby County's last 5 matches
09-12Derby County-Birmingham CityBTTS: Yes@ 1.80✓
09-12Derby County-Birmingham CityOver 2.5 Goals@ 2.02✓
09-09Derby County-West Bromwich AlbionWest Bromwich Albion +0.5@ 1.49✓
09-09Derby County-West Bromwich AlbionOver 2.5 Goals@ 1.95✕
09-05West Ham United-Derby CountyJarrod Bowen to score@ 2.45✕
09-05West Ham United-Derby CountyOver 2.5 Goals@ 1.75✓
09-05West Ham United-Derby CountyWest Ham United Win@ 1.39✓
09-01Portsmouth-Derby CountyAdrian Segecic to score@ 3.60✕
09-01Portsmouth-Derby CountyDerby County Win@ 3.60✓
09-01Portsmouth-Derby CountyOver 2.5 Goals@ 2.05✕
08-29Derby County-Swansea CityAdam Idah to score@ 4.00✕
08-29Derby County-Swansea CityOver 2.5 Goals@ 2.12✓
Best O/U picker+8% ROI58% WR
DeepSeek
Tip:Over 2.5 goals @ odds 1.91✕ Lost
▾
won 283 of 484 settled O/U picks · +206.0u profit · this pick: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.91 · 2 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Derby's recent matches have been high-scoring.
  • Derby concede freely on the road.
  • Expect an open game with chances.
DeepSeek's recent picks in this market
09-19Cremonese-Virtus EntellaOver 2.5 Goals@ 2.20✕
09-19Carrarese-BeneventoUnder 2.5 Goals@ 1.94✓
09-19Karlsruher SC-NuernbergOver 2.5 Goals@ 1.46✕
09-19Holstein Kiel-OsnabrueckOver 2.5 Goals@ 1.62✕
09-19Werder Bremen-AugsburgOver 2.5 Goals@ 1.50✓
Burnley
4-4-2
● Confirmed
11
⚽↓73′
Amdouni
7
↓73′
Bruun Larsen
23
↓89′
Pires
5
↓61′
Hatate
29
Laurent
10
↓61′
Edwards
44
Julio
3
Alleyne
15
Ahmedhodzic
14
Roberts
37
Coudert
Bench (16)
Ugo Raghouber ↑61′ · Largie Ramazani ↑61′ · Jamie Vardy ↑73′ · Andreas Hountondji ↑73′ · Oliver Sonne ↑89′ · Max Weiss · Kyle Walker · Hjalmar Ekdal · Armando Broja · Ashley Barnes · Jordan Beyer · Bashir Humphreys · Dastan Satpaev · Jaydon Banel · Enock Agyei · Josh Cullen
Coach · Nicky Hayen
Match Preview

Burnley vs Derby County Match Preview

AI-written editorial preview · updated 2026-09-17 17:56 UTC

Burnley and Derby County search for stability at Turf Moor

The tactical battle at Turf Moor this Saturday centres on a clash of motivations, as both sides look to address defensive vulnerabilities and secure a much-needed result. While Burnley are expected to push for control and territory on home soil, Derby County appear focused on tightening their structure to stop a recent slide in form.

Tactical approaches at Turf Moor

Burnley are expected to adopt an assertive stance, aiming to dictate the tempo and force the issue from the opening whistle. The home side is under pressure to secure a first league win of the season, and their tactical setup likely reflects a desire to play on the front foot rather than sitting back. Conversely, Derby County arrive with a clear mandate for defensive discipline. Recent comments from their head coach highlight a need for greater compactness, suggesting they will prioritise a solid block over an expansive, open game.

Derby County
4-4-2
● Confirmed
11
Szmodics
9
Morris
26
↓66′
Hedges
20
↓66′
Mowatt
4
↓78′
Ozoh
8
Clark
18
↓82′
Taylor
28
Sanderson
6
Klingen Langaas
23
Ward
31
Vickers
Bench (15)
Mohammed Fuseini ↑66′ ⚽ · Oscar Fraulo ↑66′ · Rhian Brewster ↑78′ · Rhian Brewster ↑78′ · Corey Blackett-Taylor ↑82′ · Richard O'Donnell · Lars-Joergen Salvesen · Max Johnston · Lewis Travis · Raymond Offor · Jacob Widell Zetterstroem · Derry Murkin · Matthew Clarke · Patrick Agyemang · Craig Forsyth
Coach · John Eustace

Confirmed by FIFA officials.

All Predictions

What each AI model picked for Burnley vs Derby County

Every pick each model placed, market by market — with the odds they took.

Model
1X2
O/U
BTTS
AH
GS
CS
DeepSeek
+4.9% ROI
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Nova
+4.2% ROI
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Le Chat
+4.1% ROI
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Nemotron
+3.0% ROI
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Qwen
+1.9% ROI
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ERNIE
+1.8% ROI
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Seed
+1.7% ROI
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Claude
+1.4% ROI
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Gemini
+1.1% ROI
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Kimi
+0.5% ROI
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GLM
-0.5% ROI
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ChatGPT
-0.8% ROI
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Grok
-1.3% ROI
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WizardLM
-1.9% ROI
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Recent Form

Burnley and Derby County's recent form

Last ten matches each side.

Burnley
0
Wins
5
Draws
5
Losses
9
Scored
18
Conceded
1
Clean sheets
8
BTTS
  • 12 Sep CHA Swansea City3–1Burnley L
  • 8 Sep CHA Wrexham1–1Burnley D
  • 5 Sep CHA Burnley1–2Bristol City L
  • 2 Sep CHA Burnley1–1Middlesbrough D
  • 29 Aug CHA Norwich City4–1Burnley L
  • 26 Aug EFL Bradford City0–0Burnley D
  • 23 Aug CHA West Bromwich Albion3–1Burnley L
  • 16 Aug CHA Burnley2–2West Ham United D
  • 8 Aug EFL Burnley1–1Notts County D
  • 2 Aug FRI Burnley0–1Torino L
Derby County
1
Wins
2
Draws
7
Losses
8
Scored
17
Conceded
1
Clean sheets
5
BTTS
  • 12 Sep CHA Derby County1–2Birmingham City L
  • 9 Sep CHA Derby County0–1West Bromwich Albion L
  • 5 Sep CHA West Ham United3–0Derby County L
  • 1 Sep CHA Portsmouth0–2Derby County W
  • 29 Aug CHA Derby County0–3Swansea City L
  • 22 Aug CHA Derby County2–2Cardiff City D
  • 15 Aug CHA Charlton Athletic2–1Derby County L
  • 8 Aug EFL Derby County1–2Lincoln City L
  • 4 Aug FRI Rotherham United1–1Derby County D
  • 1 Aug FRI Burton Albion1–0Derby County L
Head to Head

Burnley vs Derby County · last 10 meetings

6Burnley wins
4Draws
0Derby County wins
26 Aug ’25 Burnley 2 – 1 Derby County EFL Cup
8 Apr ’25 Derby County 0 – 0 Burnley Championship
10 Dec ’24 Burnley 0 – 0 Derby County Championship
25 Jan ’16 Burnley 4 – 1 Derby County Championship
21 Sep ’15 Derby County 0 – 0 Burnley Championship
1 Mar ’14 Burnley 2 – 0 Derby County Championship
31 Aug ’13 Derby County 0 – 3 Burnley Championship
26 Dec ’12 Burnley 2 – 0 Derby County Championship
22 Sep ’12 Derby County 1 – 2 Burnley Championship
21 Jan ’12 Burnley 0 – 0 Derby County Championship