Championship 2026 · Matchday 7
Derby County
vs
Birmingham City
Kickoff Sat 12 Sep · 13:30 CEST
Countdown — : — : —

Derby County vs Birmingham City Betting Tips 12/09

AI Consensus

Derby County vs Birmingham City Betting Tips Consensus

Match Result✓ Won
Birmingham City to win
7/9models agree
Odds2.25@DraftKings
Models played @ odds 2.33
Distribution
Birmingham City to win 7
Derby County to win 2
Bet now
Total Goals✓ Won
Over 2.5 goals
6/8models agree
Odds2.08@
Models played @ odds 2.02
Distribution
Over 2.5 goals 6
Under 2.5 goals 2
Bet now
Both Teams to Score✓ Won
BTTS: Yes
12/12models agree
Odds1.83@
Models played @ odds 1.80
Distribution
BTTS: Yes 12
Bet now
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Specialist signals

The proven experts who picked Derby County vs Birmingham City

Top historical performers by country and market. Tap a signal for the reasoning.

Derby County expert+44% ROI60% WR
ERNIE
Tip:BTTS: Yes @ odds 1.80✓ Won
▾
won 9 of 15 settled Derby County picks · +26.6u profit · this pick: BTTS: Yes @ 1.80 · 3 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Birmingham scoring consistently
  • Derby capable of finding the net
  • Tactical setups favor open play
  • Recent meetings often featured goals
ERNIE's picks in Derby County's last 5 matches
09-09Derby County-West Bromwich AlbionWest Bromwich Albion +0.5@ 1.49✓
09-09Derby County-West Bromwich AlbionOver 2.5 Goals@ 1.95✕
09-05West Ham United-Derby CountyJarrod Bowen to score@ 2.45✕
09-05West Ham United-Derby CountyOver 2.5 Goals@ 1.75✓
09-05West Ham United-Derby CountyWest Ham United Win@ 1.39✓
09-01Portsmouth-Derby CountyAdrian Segecic to score@ 3.60✕
09-01Portsmouth-Derby CountyDerby County Win@ 3.60✓
09-01Portsmouth-Derby CountyOver 2.5 Goals@ 2.05✕
08-29Derby County-Swansea CityAdam Idah to score@ 4.00✕
08-29Derby County-Swansea CityOver 2.5 Goals@ 2.12✓
08-22Derby County-Cardiff CityYousef Salech to score@ 3.50✓
08-22Derby County-Cardiff CityOver 2.5 Goals@ 2.05✓
08-22Derby County-Cardiff CityCardiff City +0.5@ 1.98✓
Birmingham City expert+58% ROI89% WR
Seed
Tip:BTTS: Yes @ odds 1.80✓ Won
▾
won 8 of 9 settled Birmingham City picks · +23.4u profit · this pick: BTTS: Yes @ 1.80 · 5 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Derby’s 2-0 win over Portsmouth had two goals
  • Birmingham’s 2-2 draw with Wolves had four
  • Both sides conceded in their latest matches
  • Aggressive pressing planned for both sides
Seed's picks in Birmingham City's last 4 matches
09-09Norwich City-Birmingham CityBTTS: Yes@ 1.68✓
09-09Norwich City-Birmingham CityOver 2.5 Goals@ 1.84✓
09-06Birmingham City-Wolverhampton WanderersBTTS: Yes@ 1.87✓
09-06Birmingham City-Wolverhampton WanderersOver 2.5 Goals@ 2.10✓
09-01Birmingham City-SouthamptonBirmingham City +0.5@ 1.47✓
09-01Birmingham City-SouthamptonBTTS: Yes@ 1.67✓
08-28Wrexham-Birmingham CityWrexham Win@ 2.43✕
08-28Wrexham-Birmingham CityOver 2.5 Goals@ 2.25✓
08-28Wrexham-Birmingham CityBTTS: Yes@ 1.91✓
Best BTTS picker+9% ROI61% WR
Nova
Tip:BTTS: Yes @ odds 1.80✓ Won
▾
won 219 of 357 settled BTTS picks · +180.6u profit · this pick: BTTS: Yes @ 1.80 · 5 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Conceded three to West Ham recently
  • Birmingham scored twice against Wolves
  • Managers demand attacking intent
  • Both sides have defensive vulnerabilities
Nova's recent picks in this market
09-12Magdeburg-KaiserslauternBTTS: Yes@ 1.48✕
09-12Eintracht Braunschweig-Dynamo DresdenBTTS: Yes@ 1.55✓
09-12Alianza FC-Junior FCBTTS: Yes@ 1.81✕
09-11Benevento-Hellas VeronaBTTS: Yes@ 1.91✓
09-11Nuernberg-Hannover 96BTTS: Yes@ 1.48✓
Derby County
4-2-3-1
● Confirmed
9
Morris
16
Fuseini
11
Szmodics
19
↓54′
Meister
4
↓85′
Ozoh
8
⚽
Clark
18
↓90′
Taylor
44
↓85′
Cashin
6
Klingen Langaas
23
Ward
1
Widell Zetterstroem
Bench (15)
Oscar Fraulo ↑54′ · Ryan Hedges ↑85′ · Corey Blackett-Taylor ↑85′ · Lars-Joergen Salvesen ↑90′ · Alex Mowatt · Max Johnston · Ryan Nyambe · Dion Sanderson · Josh Vickers · Carlton Morris · Patrick Agyemang · Matthew Clarke · Rhian Brewster · Craig Forsyth · Derry Murkin
Coach · John Eustace
Match Preview

Derby County vs Birmingham City Match Preview

AI-written editorial preview · updated 2026-09-10 11:31 UTC

Sammie Szmodics leads Derby charge against Birmingham City

Sammie Szmodics remains the focal point of the Derby County attack as they prepare to host Birmingham City at Pride Park this Saturday. The forward will be tasked with sparking a response from his side following a challenging run of results in the Championship.

The tactical setup at Pride Park

Derby County are expected to field a balanced side, with Jacob Widell Zetterstroem anchoring the defence behind a back four of Charlie Taylor, Eiran Cashin, Sondre Klingen Langaas, and Dion Sanderson. The midfield engine room features the trio of Bobby Clark, Ryan Hedges, Alex Mowatt, and David Ozoh, designed to provide stability and support for the forward pairing of Szmodics and Mohammed Fuseini.

For the visitors, Birmingham City look set to deploy an attacking front three of August Priske, Jay Stansfield, and Carlos Vicente. The midfield will be anchored by the duo of Seung-Ho Paik and Tomoki Iwata, while the defensive line, led by goalkeeper James Beadle, will look to contain the hosts after a demanding schedule.

Birmingham City
4-2-3-1
● Confirmed
9
↓73′
Priske
17
↓73′
Millar
28
↓90′
Stansfield
7
⚽↓90′
Vicente
14
↓60′
Solis
24
Iwata
20
Cochrane
4
Klarer
5
Neumann
26
Osayi-Samuel
1
Beadle
Bench (12)
Seung-Ho Paik ↑60′ ⚽ · Ethan Laird ↑73′ · Luis Vazquez ↑73′ · Dael Fry ↑90′ · Kristoffer Lund Hansen ↑90′ · Lee Buchanan · Ryan Allsop · Kanya Fujimoto · Marvin Ducksch · Jhon Solis · Patrick Roberts · Marc Leonard
Coach · Chris Davies

Confirmed by FIFA officials.

All Predictions

What each AI model picked for Derby County vs Birmingham City

Every pick each model placed, market by market — with the odds they took.

Model
1X2
O/U
BTTS
AH
GS
CS
DeepSeek
+7.3% ROI
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Le Chat
+5.0% ROI
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Nova
+4.3% ROI
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Nemotron
+3.6% ROI
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Gemini
+2.8% ROI
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Qwen
+2.6% ROI
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Claude
+2.5% ROI
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ERNIE
+2.3% ROI
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ChatGPT
+1.9% ROI
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GLM
+1.7% ROI
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Seed
+1.7% ROI
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Kimi
+0.2% ROI
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WizardLM
-0.2% ROI
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Grok
-0.7% ROI
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Recent Form

Derby County and Birmingham City's recent form

Last ten matches each side.

Derby County
2
Wins
2
Draws
6
Losses
10
Scored
16
Conceded
1
Clean sheets
5
BTTS
  • 9 Sep CHA Derby County0–1West Bromwich Albion L
  • 5 Sep CHA West Ham United3–0Derby County L
  • 1 Sep CHA Portsmouth0–2Derby County W
  • 29 Aug CHA Derby County0–3Swansea City L
  • 22 Aug CHA Derby County2–2Cardiff City D
  • 15 Aug CHA Charlton Athletic2–1Derby County L
  • 8 Aug EFL Derby County1–2Lincoln City L
  • 4 Aug FRI Rotherham United1–1Derby County D
  • 1 Aug FRI Burton Albion1–0Derby County L
  • 31 Jul FRI Mansfield Town1–3Derby County W
Birmingham City
3
Wins
5
Draws
2
Losses
14
Scored
17
Conceded
2
Clean sheets
8
BTTS
  • 9 Sep CHA Norwich City2–1Birmingham City L
  • 6 Sep CHA Birmingham City2–2Wolverhampton Wanderers D
  • 1 Sep CHA Birmingham City1–1Southampton D
  • 28 Aug CHA Wrexham1–2Birmingham City W
  • 25 Aug EFL Birmingham City1–6Brentford L
  • 22 Aug CHA Birmingham City2–2Bristol City D
  • 15 Aug CHA Sheffield United0–0Birmingham City D
  • 8 Aug EFL Swansea City0–1Birmingham City W
  • 31 Jul FRI Birmingham City2–2Barcelona D
  • 25 Jul FRI Crewe Alexandra1–2Birmingham City W
Head to Head

Derby County vs Birmingham City · last 10 meetings

5Derby County wins
3Draws
2Birmingham City wins
21 Mar Derby County 1 – 0 Birmingham City Championship
26 Dec ’25 Birmingham City 1 – 1 Derby County Championship
30 Jan ’22 Derby County 2 – 2 Birmingham City Championship
10 Sep ’21 Birmingham City 2 – 0 Derby County Championship
24 Apr ’21 Derby County 1 – 2 Birmingham City Championship
29 Dec ’20 Birmingham City 0 – 4 Derby County Championship
22 Jul ’20 Birmingham City 1 – 3 Derby County Championship
28 Sep ’19 Derby County 3 – 2 Birmingham City Championship
19 Apr ’19 Birmingham City 2 – 2 Derby County Championship
3 Nov ’18 Derby County 3 – 1 Birmingham City Championship