Peterborough United vs Notts County Betting Tips 03/10

League One 2026 · Matchday 9
Peterborough United
vs
Notts County
Kickoff Sat 3 Oct · 16:00 CEST
Countdown — : — : —
Overview

Overview Peterborough United vs Notts County Betting Tips

Total Goals
Over 2.5 goals
Best odds
right now
1.70@
Asian Handicap
Notts County +0.5
Best odds
right now
1.68@
Both Teams to Score
BTTS: Yes
Best odds
right now
1.58@Stake
Match Preview

Peterborough United vs Notts County Match Preview

AI-written editorial preview · updated 2026-09-28 22:09 UTC

Peterborough and Notts County face off in League One transition

The tactical battle at the Weston Homes Stadium this Saturday hinges on how Peterborough United respond to a significant period of internal upheaval. As the hosts look to stabilize their League One campaign on matchday 9, the question remains whether a change in leadership will spark a fresh tactical approach against a resilient Notts County side.

The impact of managerial change at Peterborough

Peterborough United enter this fixture following the departure of manager Luke Williams, a move that has cast uncertainty over their immediate tactical identity. With the club currently positioned low in the table, the focus this week has been on an interim reset rather than tactical continuity. The players face the challenge of adapting to new expectations under the shadow of a recent poor run of results.

Tactical challenges for the visiting side

Notts County arrive in Peterborough looking to build on their recent EFL Trophy success against Grimsby Town. Their League One form has been defined by a series of tight contests, including draws against Huddersfield Town and Luton Town. They will likely look to exploit any defensive disorganization that often accompanies a managerial transition, aiming to dictate the tempo in midfield.

Defensive stability as a primary objective

For Peterborough, the immediate priority is tightening a backline that has struggled to keep clean sheets in recent league outings. Their most recent result, a 1-0 loss to Stockport County, highlighted the difficulty they have faced in breaking down organized opponents. The home side will need to find a balance between defensive discipline and the need to secure points to climb the table.

Historical context of the fixture

These two clubs share a history of competitive encounters, most notably a high-scoring 4-3 FA Cup victory for Peterborough in November 2024. While that match was a cup tie, the historical data reflects a rivalry that often produces tight, hard-fought affairs. Both teams will be looking to draw on their past experiences to secure a vital result in this League One clash.

Assessing the current form

Both sides have experienced inconsistent spells leading into this matchday. While Peterborough have struggled to find rhythm in the league, Notts County have proven difficult to beat, though they have also found wins hard to come by in recent weeks. The outcome will likely depend on which team manages the pressure of the occasion more effectively as they navigate the middle stages of the season.

Expected line-ups

Peterborough United
4-2-3-1
Projected · last match XI
GK1A. Bass
DEF2C. Johnston · 18L. Mendonca · 12J. Feeney · 14H. Mills
MID16B. Woods · 4L. Kelly · 19B. Shofowoke · 45H. Ashfield · 11O. Edwards
FWD9H. Leonard
Bench (7)
C. Ndi · E. Weir · H. Jones · E. Williams · C. Conn-Clarke · D. Ormerod · J. Dornelly
Coach · Ryan Harley
Notts County
Projected · last match XI

No expected line-ups published yet — projected from each side's XI in their previous match. Locks as Confirmed ~1h before kickoff.

Head to Head stats

10 meetings
7Peterborough United wins
2Draws
1Notts County wins
30 Nov ’24 Peterborough United 4 – 3 Notts County FA Cup
20 Dec ’16 Peterborough United 2 – 0 Notts County FA Cup
4 Dec ’16 Notts County 2 – 2 Peterborough United FA Cup
24 Jan ’15 Notts County 1 – 2 Peterborough United League One
13 Sep ’14 Peterborough United 0 – 0 Notts County League One
21 Jan ’14 Peterborough United 4 – 3 Notts County League One
10 Aug ’13 Notts County 2 – 4 Peterborough United League One
20 Jul ’11 Notts County 2 – 3 Peterborough United Club Friendlies
8 Mar ’11 Notts County 0 – 1 Peterborough United League One
28 Sep ’10 Peterborough United 2 – 3 Notts County League One
AI Consensus

Peterborough United vs Notts County Betting Tips Consensus

14 AI models have taken a position on Peterborough United vs Notts County, and the strongest agreement is on the both teams to score market: 7 of the 7 models that priced it back BTTS: Yes. Elsewhere, the total goals market leans Over 2.5 goals (8/11) and the Asian handicap market leans Notts County +0.5 (7/10). Below: every model's picks, their reasoning, and the best live odds for each selection.

Total GoalsVoid
Over 2.5 goals
8/11models agree
Odds1.70@
Models played @ odds 1.70
Distribution
Over 2.5 goals 8
Under 2.5 goals 2
Under 3.5 goals 1
Bet now
Asian HandicapVoid
Notts County +0.5
7/10models agree
Odds1.68@
Models played @ odds 1.68
Distribution
Notts County +0.5 7
Bet now
Both Teams to ScoreVoid
BTTS: Yes
7/7models agree
Odds1.58@Stake
Models played @ odds 1.58
Distribution
BTTS: Yes 7
Bet now
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Specialist signals

The proven experts who picked Peterborough United vs Notts County

Top historical performers by country and market. Tap a signal for the reasoning.

Peterborough United expert+24% ROI60% WR
Le Chat
Tip:BTTS: Yes @ odds 1.58Void
▾
won 9 of 15 settled Peterborough United picks · +16.8u profit · this pick: BTTS: Yes @ 1.58 · 6 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Peterborough conceded in their Stockport defeat
  • Notts County beat Grimsby Town 2-1
  • Neither defence has looked secure lately
  • Caretaker uncertainty can disrupt defensive organisation
Le Chat's picks in Peterborough United's last 5 matches
09-26Stockport County-Peterborough UnitedStockport County Win@ 1.42✓
09-19Peterborough United-Doncaster RoversBTTS: Yes@ 1.53✕
09-19Peterborough United-Doncaster RoversDoncaster Rovers +0.5@ 1.62✓
09-12Milton Keynes Dons-Peterborough UnitedPeterborough United +0.5@ 1.88✓
09-12Milton Keynes Dons-Peterborough UnitedOver 2.5 Goals@ 1.60✕
09-12Milton Keynes Dons-Peterborough UnitedBTTS: Yes@ 1.53✓
09-05Peterborough United-Sheffield WednesdayBTTS: Yes@ 1.50✓
09-05Peterborough United-Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday Win@ 2.15✓
09-01Peterborough United-StevenageBTTS: Yes@ 1.78✕
09-01Peterborough United-StevenageOver 2.5 Goals@ 2.00✕
09-01Peterborough United-StevenageDraw@ 3.50✓
Notts County expert+33% ROI47% WR
DeepSeek
Tip:BTTS: Yes @ odds 1.58Void
▾
won 7 of 15 settled Notts County picks · +22.9u profit · this pick: BTTS: Yes @ 1.58 · 6 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Peterborough lost 0-1 to Stockport County.
  • Peterborough beat Colchester United 3-1.
  • Notts County beat Grimsby Town 2-1.
  • Notts County conceded against Reading and Bradford City
DeepSeek's picks in Notts County's last 5 matches
09-26Notts County-BlackpoolNotts County Win@ 2.35–
09-26Notts County-BlackpoolUnder 2.5 Goals@ 1.82–
09-26Notts County-BlackpoolBTTS: Yes@ 1.67–
09-19Reading-Notts CountyOver 2.5 Goals@ 1.82✕
09-19Reading-Notts CountyReading Win@ 1.91✓
09-19Reading-Notts CountyBTTS: Yes@ 1.73✕
09-12Notts County-Bradford CityBTTS: No@ 2.00✓
09-12Notts County-Bradford CityNotts County +0.5@ 1.60✕
09-05Huddersfield Town-Notts CountyBTTS: Yes@ 1.82✓
09-05Huddersfield Town-Notts CountyOver 2.5 Goals@ 1.87✕
09-01Doncaster Rovers-Notts CountyBTTS: Yes@ 1.80✓
09-01Doncaster Rovers-Notts CountyDoncaster Rovers Win@ 1.91✕
Best O/U picker+8% ROI57% WR
DeepSeek
Tip:Over 2.5 goals @ odds 1.70Void
▾
won 373 of 659 settled O/U picks · +246.7u profit · this pick: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.70 · 4 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Last H2H was a 4-3 thriller
  • Peterborough put three past Colchester
  • Both teams are conceding freely
  • Under is a narrow path
DeepSeek's recent picks in this market
10-03Albacete-EibarOver 2.5 Goals@ 2.02✓
10-03Deportivo Cali-Alianza FCUnder 2.5 Goals@ 1.70✕
10-03Chesterfield-Tranmere RoversUnder 2.5 Goals@ 2.20✕
10-03Independiente Rivadavia-Gimnasia LPOver 2.5 Goals@ 2.02✕
10-03Boca Juniors-UnionOver 2.5 Goals@ 2.15✓
All Predictions

What each AI model picked for Peterborough United vs Notts County

Every pick each model placed, market by market — with the odds they took.

Model
1X2
O/U
BTTS
AH
GS
CS
Nova
+5.0% ROI
·
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DeepSeek
+4.6% ROI
·
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Le Chat
+2.9% ROI
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·
·
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Kimi
+2.8% ROI
·
·
·
·
Qwen
+2.1% ROI
·
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Nemotron
+1.8% ROI
·
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Seed
+0.6% ROI
·
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·
ChatGPT
+0.6% ROI
·
·
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·
Claude
-0.7% ROI
·
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Gemini
-1.6% ROI
·
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ERNIE
-1.8% ROI
·
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·
GLM
-2.0% ROI
·
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WizardLM
-3.7% ROI
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Grok
-4.5% ROI
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Recent Form

Peterborough United and Notts County's recent form

Last ten matches each side.

Peterborough United
3
Wins
3
Draws
4
Losses
15
Scored
16
Conceded
1
Clean sheets
6
BTTS
  • 26 Sep LEA Stockport County1–0Peterborough United L
  • 22 Sep EFL Peterborough United3–1Colchester United W
  • 19 Sep LEA Peterborough United0–2Doncaster Rovers L
  • 15 Sep EFL Peterborough United3–3Barnsley D
  • 12 Sep LEA Milton Keynes Dons1–1Peterborough United D
  • 5 Sep LEA Peterborough United1–2Sheffield Wednesday L
  • 1 Sep LEA Peterborough United0–0Stevenage D
  • 29 Aug LEA Blackpool4–0Peterborough United L
  • 25 Aug EFL Watford1–5Peterborough United W
  • 22 Aug LEA Peterborough United2–1Mansfield Town W
Notts County
2
Wins
5
Draws
3
Losses
10
Scored
13
Conceded
0
Clean sheets
7
BTTS
  • 22 Sep EFL Notts County2–1Grimsby Town W
  • 19 Sep LEA Reading2–0Notts County L
  • 12 Sep LEA Notts County0–1Bradford City L
  • 5 Sep LEA Huddersfield Town1–1Notts County D
  • 1 Sep LEA Doncaster Rovers1–1Notts County D
  • 29 Aug LEA Notts County2–1Burton Albion W
  • 22 Aug LEA Luton Town2–2Notts County D
  • 15 Aug LEA Notts County1–1Leicester City D
  • 8 Aug EFL Burnley1–1Notts County D
  • 18 Jul FRI Notts County0–2Nottingham Forest L