Premier League 2026 · Matchday 4
Leeds United
vs
Newcastle United
Kickoff Mon 14 Sep · 21:00 CEST
Countdown — : — : —

Leeds United vs Newcastle United Betting Tips 14/09

AI Consensus

Leeds United vs Newcastle United Betting Tips Consensus

12 AI models have taken a position on Leeds United vs Newcastle United, and the strongest agreement is on the total goals market: 6 of the 6 models that priced it back Over 2.5 goals. Elsewhere, the both teams to score market leans BTTS: Yes (6/7) and the goalscorer market leans Harvey Barnes to score (4/6). Below: every model's picks, their reasoning, and the best live odds for each selection.

Total Goals
Over 2.5 goals
6/6models agree
Best odds
right now
1.86@
Models played @ odds 1.86
Distribution
Over 2.5 goals 6
Bet now
Both Teams to Score
BTTS: Yes
6/7models agree
Best odds
right now
1.65@
Models played @ odds 1.65
Distribution
BTTS: Yes 6
BTTS: No 1
Bet now
Goalscorer
Harvey Barnes to score
4/6models agree
Models played @ odds 4.00
Distribution
Harvey Barnes to score 4
Joseph Willock to score 1
Dominic Calvert-Lewin to score 1
Bet now
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Specialist signals

The proven experts who picked Leeds United vs Newcastle United

Top historical performers by country and market. Tap a signal for the reasoning.

Leeds United expert+59% ROI57% WR
Qwen
Tip:Over 2.5 goals @ odds 1.86
won 4 of 7 settled Leeds United picks · +17.7u profit · this pick: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.86 · 6 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Leeds involved in wild Chelsea cup tie
  • Newcastle shipped two goals against Bournemouth
  • Both attacks carrying strong scoring momentum
  • Jaissle publicly demanding more aggressive starts
Qwen's picks in Leeds United's last 3 matches
09-05Brighton & Hove Albion-Leeds UnitedUnder 2.5 Goals@ 2.01
09-05Brighton & Hove Albion-Leeds UnitedLeeds United +0.5@ 1.93
08-30Leeds United-BrentfordDraw@ 3.60
08-30Leeds United-BrentfordUnder 2.5 Goals@ 2.25
08-22Nottingham Forest-Leeds UnitedIgor Jesus to score@ 3.10
08-22Nottingham Forest-Leeds UnitedNottingham Forest Win@ 2.39
08-22Nottingham Forest-Leeds UnitedBTTS: Yes@ 1.75
Newcastle United expert+44% ROI67% WR
DeepSeek
Tip:Harvey Barnes to score @ odds 4.00
won 4 of 6 settled Newcastle United picks · +13.2u profit · this pick: Harvey Barnes to score @ 4.00 · 4 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Barnes is expected to start for Newcastle.
  • His output makes him a genuine midfield scoring threat.
  • Joelinton is absent from Newcastle's squad.
  • Leeds conce
DeepSeek's picks in Newcastle United's last 3 matches
09-05Newcastle United-AFC BournemouthBTTS: Yes@ 1.50
09-05Newcastle United-AFC BournemouthMarcus Tavernier to score@ 4.50
08-29Tottenham Hotspur-Newcastle UnitedBTTS: Yes@ 1.57
08-29Tottenham Hotspur-Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United +0.5@ 1.72
08-23Newcastle United-LiverpoolOver 2.5 Goals@ 1.53
08-23Newcastle United-LiverpoolLiverpool Win@ 1.98
Best GS picker+12% ROI27% WR
DeepSeek
Tip:Harvey Barnes to score @ odds 4.00
won 73 of 268 settled GS picks · +121.0u profit · this pick: Harvey Barnes to score @ 4.00 · 4 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Barnes is expected to start for Newcastle.
  • His output makes him a genuine midfield scoring threat.
  • Joelinton is absent from Newcastle's squad.
  • Leeds conce
DeepSeek's recent picks in this market
09-09SSC Napoli-ArsenalKevin De Bruyne to score@ 5.50
09-09Sporting CP-GalatasarayGabriel Sara to score@ 6.00
09-09Barcelona-FeyenoordFermin Lopez to score@ 2.35
09-09Liverpool-Atletico MadridJeremy Jacquet to score@ 9.50
09-09Paris Saint-Germain-Slovan BratislavaKhvicha Kvaratskhelia to score@ 1.61
Leeds United
3-5-2
Expected · official feed
19
Okafor
9
Calvert-Lewin
3
Gudmundsson
22
Tanaka
4
Ampadu
18
Stach
2
Bogle
5
Muharemovic
30
Elvedi
24
Justin
1
Trafford
Bench (12)
Daniel James · Sean Longstaff · Harry Wilson · Brenden Aaronson · Lukas Nmecha · Jaka Bijol · Michael Zetterer · Jean Bahoya · Melvin Bard · Joe Rodon · Ilia Gruev · Mateo Joseph
Coach · Daniel Farke
Match Preview

Leeds United vs Newcastle United Match Preview

AI-written editorial preview · updated 2026-09-09 20:21 UTC

Leeds and Newcastle clash in tactical Premier League encounter

The tactical intrigue at Elland Road this Monday centres on how Leeds United’s fluid, adaptable structure will contend with Newcastle United’s late-game potency. As the two sides meet for this Premier League matchday 4 fixture, the battle for control in the middle of the pitch promises to be the defining feature of the evening.

The tactical battle for midfield control

Leeds United are expected to employ a setup designed to keep opponents guessing, with Daniel Farke emphasizing a desire for his side to remain difficult to predict. With Ao Tanaka, Anton Stach, and a deep-lying midfield presence, Leeds will aim to disrupt Newcastle’s rhythm through quick transitions. The expected inclusion of Noah Okafor and Dominic Calvert-Lewin suggests a forward line capable of stretching the play, forcing the visitors to be disciplined in their defensive shape.

Newcastle United
4-2-3-1
Expected · official feed
9
Wissa
11
Barnes
28
Willock
19
Elanga
67
Miley
6
Gonzalez
3
Hall
4
Botman
12
Thiaw
37
Dedic
21
Hornicek
Bench (12)
Nick Pope · Valentino Livramento · Fabian Schaer · Matias Fernandez-Pardo · Aladji Bamba · Sean Steur · Bazoumana Toure · Jacob Murphy · Jacob Ramsey · Joelinton · William Osula · Daniel Burn
Coach · Matthias Jaissle

Official expected line-ups for this match from the data feed. Locks as Confirmed ~1h before kickoff.

All Predictions

What each AI model picked for Leeds United vs Newcastle United

Every pick each model placed, market by market — with the odds they took.

Model
1X2
O/U
BTTS
AH
GS
CS
DeepSeek
+7.9% ROI
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Le Chat
+5.8% ROI
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Nova
+5.1% ROI
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ERNIE
+3.4% ROI
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Claude
+2.8% ROI
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Qwen
+2.3% ROI
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ChatGPT
+1.8% ROI
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GLM
+1.7% ROI
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Seed
+1.6% ROI
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Kimi
+0.8% ROI
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WizardLM
+0.0% ROI
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Grok
-0.2% ROI
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Recent Form

Leeds United and Newcastle United's recent form

Last ten matches each side.

Leeds United
6
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
20
Scored
11
Conceded
5
Clean sheets
5
BTTS
  • 9 Sep EFL Chelsea6–3Leeds United L
  • 5 Sep PRE Brighton & Hove Albion1–1Leeds United D
  • 30 Aug PRE Leeds United1–1Brentford D
  • 25 Aug EFL Nottingham Forest0–2Leeds United W
  • 22 Aug PRE Nottingham Forest0–1Leeds United W
  • 15 Aug FRI Leeds United4–0Augsburg W
  • 12 Aug FRI Manchester United1–1Leeds United D
  • 8 Aug FRI Leeds United2–0RB Leipzig W
  • 2 Aug FRI Liverpool2–4Leeds United W
  • 30 Jul FRI Leeds United1–0Sunderland W
Newcastle United
4
Wins
3
Draws
3
Losses
16
Scored
17
Conceded
2
Clean sheets
8
BTTS
  • 8 Sep EFL Millwall0–1Newcastle United W
  • 5 Sep PRE Newcastle United2–2AFC Bournemouth D
  • 29 Aug PRE Tottenham Hotspur0–2Newcastle United W
  • 26 Aug EFL Newcastle United3–2West Bromwich Albion W
  • 23 Aug PRE Newcastle United2–2Liverpool D
  • 16 Aug FRI Newcastle United1–1Strasbourg D
  • 15 Aug FRI Newcastle United1–2Bayer Leverkusen L
  • 12 Aug FRI Everton3–1Newcastle United L
  • 8 Aug FRI Valencia1–2Newcastle United W
  • 29 Jul FRI Bristol City4–1Newcastle United L
Head to Head

Leeds United vs Newcastle United · last 10 meetings

2Leeds United wins
5Draws
3Newcastle United wins
7 Jan Newcastle United 4 – 3 Leeds United Premier League
30 Aug ’25 Leeds United 0 – 0 Newcastle United Premier League
13 May ’23 Leeds United 2 – 2 Newcastle United Premier League
31 Dec ’22 Newcastle United 0 – 0 Leeds United Premier League
22 Jan ’22 Leeds United 0 – 1 Newcastle United Premier League
17 Sep ’21 Newcastle United 1 – 1 Leeds United Premier League
26 Jan ’21 Newcastle United 1 – 2 Leeds United Premier League
16 Dec ’20 Leeds United 5 – 2 Newcastle United Premier League
14 Apr ’17 Newcastle United 1 – 1 Leeds United Championship
20 Nov ’16 Leeds United 0 – 2 Newcastle United Championship