Premier League 2026 · Matchday 4
Leeds United
vs
Newcastle United
Kickoff Mon 14 Sep · 21:00 CEST
Countdown — : — : —

Leeds United vs Newcastle United Betting Tips 14/09

AI Consensus

Leeds United vs Newcastle United Betting Tips Consensus

Total Goals✓ Won
Over 2.5 goals
8/8models agree
Odds1.75@
Models played @ odds 1.86
Distribution
Over 2.5 goals 8
Bet now
Both Teams to Score✓ Won
BTTS: Yes
7/8models agree
Odds1.59@Stake
Models played @ odds 1.65
Distribution
BTTS: Yes 7
BTTS: No 1
Bet now
Goalscorer✕ Lost
Harvey Barnes to score
4/8models agree
Models played @ odds 4.00
Distribution
Harvey Barnes to score 4
Dominic Calvert-Lewin to score 3
Joseph Willock to score 1
Bet now
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Specialist signals

The proven experts who picked Leeds United vs Newcastle United

Top historical performers by country and market. Tap a signal for the reasoning.

Leeds United expert+59% ROI57% WR
Qwen
Tip:Over 2.5 goals @ odds 1.86✓ Won
▾
won 4 of 7 settled Leeds United picks · +17.7u profit · this pick: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.86 · 6 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Leeds involved in wild Chelsea cup tie
  • Newcastle shipped two goals against Bournemouth
  • Both attacks carrying strong scoring momentum
  • Jaissle publicly demanding more aggressive starts
Qwen's picks in Leeds United's last 3 matches
09-05Brighton & Hove Albion-Leeds UnitedUnder 2.5 Goals@ 2.01✓
09-05Brighton & Hove Albion-Leeds UnitedLeeds United +0.5@ 1.93✓
08-30Leeds United-BrentfordDraw@ 3.60✓
08-30Leeds United-BrentfordUnder 2.5 Goals@ 2.25✓
08-22Nottingham Forest-Leeds UnitedIgor Jesus to score@ 3.10✕
08-22Nottingham Forest-Leeds UnitedNottingham Forest Win@ 2.39✕
08-22Nottingham Forest-Leeds UnitedBTTS: Yes@ 1.75✕
Newcastle United expert+44% ROI67% WR
DeepSeek
Tip:Harvey Barnes to score @ odds 4.00✕ Lost
▾
won 4 of 6 settled Newcastle United picks · +13.2u profit · this pick: Harvey Barnes to score @ 4.00 · 4 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Barnes is expected to start for Newcastle.
  • His output makes him a genuine midfield scoring threat.
  • Joelinton is absent from Newcastle's squad.
  • Leeds conce
DeepSeek's picks in Newcastle United's last 3 matches
09-05Newcastle United-AFC BournemouthBTTS: Yes@ 1.50✓
09-05Newcastle United-AFC BournemouthMarcus Tavernier to score@ 4.50✓
08-29Tottenham Hotspur-Newcastle UnitedBTTS: Yes@ 1.57✕
08-29Tottenham Hotspur-Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United +0.5@ 1.72✓
08-23Newcastle United-LiverpoolOver 2.5 Goals@ 1.53✓
08-23Newcastle United-LiverpoolLiverpool Win@ 1.98✕
Best O/U picker+8% ROI59% WR
DeepSeek
Tip:Over 2.5 goals @ odds 1.86✓ Won
▾
won 250 of 427 settled O/U picks · +190.0u profit · this pick: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.86 · 6 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Leeds lost 3-6 to Chelsea in their cup tie.
  • Newcastle drew 2-2 with Bournemouth after defensive lapses.
  • Rodon, Burn and Joelinton are absent from the squa
DeepSeek's recent picks in this market
09-14Rio Ave-Estrela da AmadoraOver 2.5 Goals@ 2.09✓
09-14Celta Fortuna-EibarOver 2.5 Goals@ 2.15✓
09-14Red Star-MetzOver 2.5 Goals@ 2.00✕
09-14Torino-RomaOver 2.5 Goals@ 1.95✕
09-14FC Midtjylland-Broendby IFOver 2.5 Goals@ 1.63✓
Best BTTS picker+8% ROI60% WR
Nemotron
Tip:BTTS: Yes @ odds 1.65✓ Won
▾
won 510 of 845 settled BTTS picks · +246.5u profit · this pick: BTTS: Yes @ 1.65 · 3 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Leeds conceded six against Chelsea
  • Newcastle drew 2-2 with Bournemouth
  • Leeds scored in a 1-1 draw with Brighton
  • Wissa and Barnes are expected to start
Nemotron's recent picks in this market
09-14Rio Ave-Estrela da AmadoraBTTS: Yes@ 1.83✓
09-14Celta Fortuna-EibarBTTS: Yes@ 1.85✕
09-14Cucuta-MillonariosBTTS: Yes@ 2.00✓
09-14Red Star-MetzBTTS: Yes@ 1.75✕
09-14Inter-UdineseBTTS: Yes@ 2.05✓
Leeds United
3-5-2
● Confirmed
19
⚽↓72′
Okafor
9
⚽↓78′
Calvert-Lewin
3
↓72′
Gudmundsson
22
↓72′
Tanaka
4
Ampadu
18
↓88′
Stach
2
⚽↓83′
Bogle
5
Muharemovic
30
Elvedi
24
Justin
1
Trafford
Bench (12)
Harry Wilson ↑72′ · Brenden Aaronson ↑72′ · Melvin Bard ↑72′ · Lukas Nmecha ↑78′ · Daniel James ↑83′ · Sean Longstaff ↑88′ · Jaka Bijol · Michael Zetterer · Jean Bahoya · Ilia Gruev · Joe Rodon · Mateo Joseph
Coach · Daniel Farke
Match Preview

Leeds United vs Newcastle United Match Preview

AI-written editorial preview · updated 2026-09-12 19:03 UTC

Leeds and Newcastle clash in Monday night Premier League showdown

The tactical battle at Elland Road this Monday hinges on whether Leeds United’s structured pressure can contain the late-game surges that have defined Newcastle United’s recent form. As the final fixture of the Premier League matchday 4, both sides arrive looking to assert control in a game where the home crowd is expected to play a significant role.

Tactical shapes and the battle for control

Leeds United are expected to line up in a 3-4-2-1 formation, a system that prioritizes width and allows their wing-backs to push high into the final third. By utilizing Ethan Ampadu, Nico Elvedi, and Tarik Muharemovic in a back three, they aim to build from the back while maintaining a solid defensive block. This structure is designed to funnel play through the midfield, where Ao Tanaka and Anton Stach will be tasked with dictating the tempo against a mobile Newcastle engine room.

Newcastle United are expected to counter with a setup focused on pace and transition, likely relying on the energy of their midfield unit. With players like Joseph Willock and Harvey Barnes operating in the middle and forward areas, the visitors will look to exploit spaces left behind the Leeds wing-backs. Their approach suggests a willingness to absorb pressure and strike quickly, a tactic that has served them well in recent outings.

Newcastle United
4-2-3-1
● Confirmed
9
Wissa
11
Barnes
7
↓57′
Fernandez-Pardo
23
↓57′
Murphy
67
↓80′
Miley
6
↓19′
Gonzalez
3
Hall
4
Botman
12
Thiaw
37
↓58′
Dedic
21
Hornicek
Bench (13)
Sean Steur ↑19′ · Bazoumana Toure ↑57′ ⚽ · Joseph Willock ↑57′ · Valentino Livramento ↑58′ · Aladji Bamba ↑80′ · Nick Pope · Fabian Schaer · Jacob Ramsey · Amar Dedic · Ewen Jaouen · William Osula · Joelinton · Daniel Burn
Coach · Matthias Jaissle

Confirmed by FIFA officials.

All Predictions

What each AI model picked for Leeds United vs Newcastle United

Every pick each model placed, market by market — with the odds they took.

Model
1X2
O/U
BTTS
AH
GS
CS
DeepSeek
+5.3% ROI
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Le Chat
+4.2% ROI
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Nova
+3.1% ROI
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ERNIE
+1.9% ROI
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Nemotron
+1.7% ROI
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Seed
+1.7% ROI
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Qwen
+1.6% ROI
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Claude
+1.4% ROI
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Gemini
+1.2% ROI
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Kimi
+0.8% ROI
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ChatGPT
+0.0% ROI
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GLM
-0.0% ROI
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Grok
-1.8% ROI
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WizardLM
-2.2% ROI
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Recent Form

Leeds United and Newcastle United's recent form

Last ten matches each side.

Leeds United
6
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
20
Scored
11
Conceded
5
Clean sheets
5
BTTS
  • 9 Sep EFL Chelsea6–3Leeds United L
  • 5 Sep PRE Brighton & Hove Albion1–1Leeds United D
  • 30 Aug PRE Leeds United1–1Brentford D
  • 25 Aug EFL Nottingham Forest0–2Leeds United W
  • 22 Aug PRE Nottingham Forest0–1Leeds United W
  • 15 Aug FRI Leeds United4–0Augsburg W
  • 12 Aug FRI Manchester United1–1Leeds United D
  • 8 Aug FRI Leeds United2–0RB Leipzig W
  • 2 Aug FRI Liverpool2–4Leeds United W
  • 30 Jul FRI Leeds United1–0Sunderland W
Newcastle United
4
Wins
3
Draws
3
Losses
16
Scored
17
Conceded
2
Clean sheets
8
BTTS
  • 8 Sep EFL Millwall0–1Newcastle United W
  • 5 Sep PRE Newcastle United2–2AFC Bournemouth D
  • 29 Aug PRE Tottenham Hotspur0–2Newcastle United W
  • 26 Aug EFL Newcastle United3–2West Bromwich Albion W
  • 23 Aug PRE Newcastle United2–2Liverpool D
  • 16 Aug FRI Newcastle United1–1Strasbourg D
  • 15 Aug FRI Newcastle United1–2Bayer Leverkusen L
  • 12 Aug FRI Everton3–1Newcastle United L
  • 8 Aug FRI Valencia1–2Newcastle United W
  • 29 Jul FRI Bristol City4–1Newcastle United L
Head to Head

Leeds United vs Newcastle United · last 10 meetings

2Leeds United wins
5Draws
3Newcastle United wins
7 Jan Newcastle United 4 – 3 Leeds United Premier League
30 Aug ’25 Leeds United 0 – 0 Newcastle United Premier League
13 May ’23 Leeds United 2 – 2 Newcastle United Premier League
31 Dec ’22 Newcastle United 0 – 0 Leeds United Premier League
22 Jan ’22 Leeds United 0 – 1 Newcastle United Premier League
17 Sep ’21 Newcastle United 1 – 1 Leeds United Premier League
26 Jan ’21 Newcastle United 1 – 2 Leeds United Premier League
16 Dec ’20 Leeds United 5 – 2 Newcastle United Premier League
14 Apr ’17 Newcastle United 1 – 1 Leeds United Championship
20 Nov ’16 Leeds United 0 – 2 Newcastle United Championship