Newcastle United vs Aston Villa Betting Tips 17/10

Premier League 2026 · Matchday 7
Newcastle United
vs
Aston Villa
Kickoff Sat 17 Oct · 18:30 CEST
Countdown — : — : —
Overview

Overview Newcastle United vs Aston Villa Betting Tips

Match Result
Newcastle United to win
Best odds
right now 2.17@
Total Goals
Over 2.5 goals
Best odds
right now 1.65@
Both Teams to Score
BTTS: Yes
Best odds
right now 1.55@
Match Preview

Newcastle United vs Aston Villa Match Preview

Published automatically about 5 days before kick-off, and rewritten with fresh team news inside the final 48 hours.

All 6 models that priced the total goals market currently back Over 2.5 goals — the full editorial preview will put that consensus into context.

Expected line-ups

Newcastle United
4-2-3-1
Projected · last match XI
GK21L. Hornicek
DEF3L. Hall · 4S. Botman · 12M. Thiaw · 2V. Livramento
MID67L. Miley · 14S. Steur · 11H. Barnes · 28J. Willock · 23J. Murphy
FWD9Y. Wissa
Bench (5)
N. Pope · F. Schaer · A. Bamba · B. Toure · M. Miley
Coach · Matthias Jaissle
Aston Villa
4-2-3-1
Expected · official feed
GK1Z. Suzuki
DEF13M. Ruggeri · 5T. Mings · 3V. Lindeloef · 2M. Cash
MID35J. Gomes · 8B. Kamara · 44J. Manzambi · 10E. Buendia · 7J. McGinn
FWD11N. Jackson
Bench (9)
R. Barkley · P. Torres · A. Garnacho · T. Abraham · I. Mbaye · L. Bogarde · A. Wan-Bissaka · M. Bizot · A. Edward
Coach · Unai Emery

Official expected XI from the feed where published; otherwise projected from the side's previous match. Locks as Confirmed ~1h before kickoff.

Head to Head stats

10 meetings
5Newcastle United wins
2Draws
3Aston Villa wins
14 Feb Aston Villa 1 – 3 Newcastle United FA Cup
25 Jan Newcastle United 0 – 2 Aston Villa Premier League
16 Aug ’25 Aston Villa 0 – 0 Newcastle United Premier League
19 Apr ’25 Aston Villa 4 – 1 Newcastle United Premier League
26 Dec ’24 Newcastle United 3 – 0 Aston Villa Premier League
30 Jan ’24 Aston Villa 1 – 3 Newcastle United Premier League
12 Aug ’23 Newcastle United 5 – 1 Aston Villa Premier League
23 Jul ’23 Newcastle United 3 – 3 Aston Villa Club Friendlies
15 Apr ’23 Aston Villa 3 – 0 Newcastle United Premier League
29 Oct ’22 Newcastle United 4 – 0 Aston Villa Premier League
AI Consensus

Newcastle United vs Aston Villa Betting Tips Consensus

9 AI models have taken a position on Newcastle United vs Aston Villa, and the strongest agreement is on the total goals market: 6 of the 6 models that priced it back Over 2.5 goals. Elsewhere, the both teams to score market leans BTTS: Yes (5/5) and the goalscorer market leans Nicolas Jackson to score (3/3). Below: every model's picks, their reasoning, and the best live odds for each selection.

Match Result
Newcastle United to win
4/5models agree
Best odds
right now 2.17@
Models played @ odds 2.17
Distribution
Newcastle United to win 4
Aston Villa to win 1
Bet now
Total Goals
Over 2.5 goals
6/6models agree
Best odds
right now 1.65@
Models played @ odds 1.65
Distribution
Over 2.5 goals 6
Bet now
Both Teams to Score
BTTS: Yes
5/5models agree
Best odds
right now 1.55@
Models played @ odds 1.55
Distribution
BTTS: Yes 5
Bet now
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Specialist signals

The proven experts who picked Newcastle United vs Aston Villa

Top historical performers by country and market. Tap a signal for the reasoning.

Aston Villa expert+120% ROI100% WR
Nova
Tip:Aston Villa to win @ odds 3.35
▾
won 10 of 10 settled Aston Villa picks · +59.8u profit · this pick: Aston Villa to win @ 3.35 · 5 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Newcastle lost 4-1 to Leeds United
  • Newcastle beat Hull City 2-1
  • Villa drew 2-2 with Brentford
  • Villa beat Tottenham Hotspur 3-2
Nova's picks in Aston Villa's last 5 matches
10-10Aston Villa-BrentfordOver 2.5 goals@ 1.74✓
09-19Tottenham Hotspur-Aston VillaNicolas Jackson to score@ 3.35✓
09-19Tottenham Hotspur-Aston VillaAston Villa to win@ 3.80✓
09-19Tottenham Hotspur-Aston VillaBTTS: Yes@ 1.67✓
09-12Aston Villa-Nottingham ForestOver 2.5 goals@ 2.03✓
09-08Club Brugge-Aston VillaOver 2.5 goals@ 1.72✓
09-08Club Brugge-Aston VillaAston Villa to win@ 2.50✓
09-08Club Brugge-Aston VillaBTTS: Yes@ 1.61✓
09-05Hull City-Aston VillaBTTS: No@ 2.10✓
09-05Hull City-Aston VillaUnder 2.5 goals@ 1.99✓
Best 1X2 picker+19% ROI54% WR
Le Chat
Tip:Newcastle United to win @ odds 2.17
▾
won 177 of 329 settled 1X2 picks · +347.9u profit · this pick: Newcastle United to win @ 2.17 · 5 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Newcastle beat Hull City 2-1 in their latest league match.
  • Villa drew 2-2 with Brentford after beating Tottenham Hotspur 3-2.
  • Nicolas Jackson, Johan Manzambi and Emiliano
Le Chat's recent picks in this market
10-12Real Valladolid-AlbaceteReal Valladolid to win@ 2.05✓
10-12Real Oviedo-EibarEibar to win@ 3.55✕
10-12America de Cali-Independiente MedellinAmerica de Cali to win@ 1.88✕
10-12Atalanta-VeneziaAtalanta to win@ 1.66✓
10-12AGF-Soenderjyske FodboldAGF to win@ 1.65✓
Best BTTS picker+10% ROI58% WR
Nova
Tip:BTTS: Yes @ odds 1.55
▾
won 290 of 499 settled BTTS picks · +314.4u profit · this pick: BTTS: Yes @ 1.55 · 3 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Newcastle beat Hull City 2-1
  • Newcastle lost 1-4 to Leeds United
  • Villa drew 2-2 with Brentford
  • Villa beat Tottenham Hotspur 3-2
Nova's recent picks in this market
10-12Real Valladolid-AlbaceteBTTS: Yes@ 1.80✕
10-12Burgos CF-GranadaBTTS: Yes@ 1.88✕
10-12America de Cali-Independiente MedellinBTTS: Yes@ 1.87✓
10-12Atalanta-VeneziaBTTS: Yes@ 1.64✓
10-12AGF-Soenderjyske FodboldBTTS: Yes@ 1.57✕
Best GS picker+7% ROI28% WR
Nova
Tip:Nicolas Jackson to score @ odds 2.88
▾
won 60 of 218 settled GS picks · +43.9u profit · this pick: Nicolas Jackson to score @ 2.88 · 2 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Jackson scored in Villa's 3-2 win over Tottenham
  • Jackson also scored in the 2-2 Brentford draw
  • Jackson is expected to start
  • McGinn and Manzambi
Nova's recent picks in this market
10-13Chico FC-CucutaJaime Peralta to score@ 4.00–
10-12AGF-Soenderjyske FodboldJanni Serra to score@ 2.45✓
10-12Elfsborg-Halmstads BKMomoh Kamara to score@ 2.75✓
10-12KFUM-VaalerengaBilal Njie to score@ 3.60✓
10-11Modena-Hellas VeronaGiuseppe Caso to score@ 3.50✓
All Predictions

What each AI model picked for Newcastle United vs Aston Villa

Every pick each model placed, market by market — with the odds they took.

Model
1X2
O/U
BTTS
AH
GS
CS
Nova
+1.9% ROI
·
·
·
Kimi
+1.4% ROI
·
·
·
·
Claude
+0.5% ROI
·
·
·
Le Chat
+0.1% ROI
·
·
·
·
Nemotron
-0.1% ROI
·
·
·
·
ChatGPT
-0.6% ROI
·
·
·
·
GLM
-1.9% ROI
·
·
·
Gemini
-2.1% ROI
·
·
·
·
Grok
-4.3% ROI
·
·
·
·
·
Recent Form

Newcastle United and Aston Villa's recent form

Last ten matches each side.

Newcastle United
4
Wins
3
Draws
3
Losses
16
Scored
17
Conceded
2
Clean sheets
8
BTTS
  • 19 Sep PRE Newcastle United2–1Hull City W
  • 14 Sep PRE Leeds United4–1Newcastle United L
  • 8 Sep EFL Millwall0–1Newcastle United W
  • 5 Sep PRE Newcastle United2–2AFC Bournemouth D
  • 29 Aug PRE Tottenham Hotspur0–2Newcastle United W
  • 26 Aug EFL Newcastle United3–2West Bromwich Albion W
  • 23 Aug PRE Newcastle United2–2Liverpool D
  • 16 Aug FRI Newcastle United1–1Strasbourg D
  • 15 Aug FRI Newcastle United1–2Bayer Leverkusen L
  • 12 Aug FRI Everton3–1Newcastle United L
Aston Villa
4
Wins
2
Draws
4
Losses
16
Scored
17
Conceded
1
Clean sheets
7
BTTS
  • 10 Oct PRE Aston Villa2–2Brentford D
  • 2 Oct FRI Sevilla1–3Aston Villa W
  • 19 Sep PRE Tottenham Hotspur2–3Aston Villa W
  • 16 Sep EFL Coventry City1–3Aston Villa W
  • 12 Sep PRE Aston Villa1–2Nottingham Forest L
  • 8 Sep CHA Club Brugge2–3Aston Villa W
  • 5 Sep PRE Hull City0–0Aston Villa D
  • 31 Aug PRE Aston Villa0–1Arsenal L
  • 23 Aug PRE Brighton & Hove Albion4–0Aston Villa L
  • 15 Aug FRI Borussia Moenchengladbach2–1Aston Villa L