Werder Bremen vs Paderborn Betting Tips 17/10

Bundesliga 2026 · Matchday 6
Werder Bremen
vs
Paderborn
Kickoff Sat 17 Oct · 15:30 CEST
Countdown — : — : —
Overview

Overview Werder Bremen vs Paderborn Betting Tips

Match Result
Werder Bremen to win
Best odds
right now
1.85@
Total Goals
Over 2.5 goals
Best odds
right now
1.57@
Both Teams to Score
BTTS: Yes
Best odds
right now
1.55@
Match Preview

Werder Bremen vs Paderborn Match Preview

AI-written editorial preview · updated 2026-10-12 14:08 UTC

Werder Bremen look to maintain momentum at the WESERSTADION

Werder Bremen enter this matchday 6 clash with a clear objective to build upon their recent resilience in the Bundesliga. The two sides are set to meet at the Wohninvest WESERSTADION on Saturday, 17 October 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 15:30 CET.

A familiar test on home soil

This encounter carries a sense of familiarity, as the two clubs met twice in pre-season friendlies back in August, both of which ended in 2-2 draws. While those matches were exhibition affairs, the competitive history between the sides suggests a tight contest, including a narrow 1-0 win for Werder Bremen in the DFB Pokal back in October 2024. Both teams will be looking to establish dominance early in this Bundesliga meeting to avoid the stalemate outcomes that have defined their recent history.

Werder Bremen's late-game threat

Werder Bremen have shown a remarkable ability to remain dangerous until the final whistle, with seven of their goals in their last nine matches arriving after the 75th minute. This persistence has been a hallmark of their early campaign, helping them secure results even when the match appears to be slipping away. With Niclas Fuellkrug providing a lethal focal point in attack and Marco Gruell consistently contributing to the side's goal tally, the hosts possess the personnel to punish any defensive lapses from Paderborn.

Team news and expected lineups

Werder Bremen head into the fixture with a notable absence, as Amos Pieper remains sidelined due to injury. The expected XI for the hosts features Karl Hein in goal, protected by a back four of Arthur, Oskar Wojcik, Marco Friedl, and Olivier Deman. In midfield, the trio of Ludovit Reis, Youri Regeer, and Chuki are expected to provide the engine room, supporting an attacking line of Eren Dinkci, Marco Gruell, and Niclas Fuellkrug.

Paderborn's search for consistency

Paderborn arrive at the WESERSTADION aiming to bounce back from a recent defeat to VfB Stuttgart. Their setup is expected to feature Nahuel Noll in goal, behind a defensive unit of Jano ter Horst, Tjark Scheller, Mattes Hansen, and Laurin Curda. The midfield is likely to be anchored by Laurin Ulrich and Santiago Castaneda, with Raphael Obermair, Gabriel Vidovic, Marvin Pieringer, and Stefano Marino tasked with leading the charge against the Werder Bremen defence.

Tactical outlook for the match

Given their respective forms, the tactical battle will likely centre on whether Paderborn can withstand the late-game pressure that has become a trademark of Werder Bremen's play. The hosts' ability to find the net in the dying stages of their recent Bundesliga outings suggests that Paderborn must maintain their concentration for the full ninety minutes. With both sides familiar with each other's styles, the match is poised to be a tactical chess match where the first goal could prove decisive in setting the tone for the afternoon.

Expected line-ups

Werder Bremen
4-2-3-1
Expected · official feed
GK1K. Hein
DEF2O. Deman · 32M. Friedl · 3O. Wojcik · 13Arthur
MID44Y. Regeer · 15L. Reis · 17M. Gruell · 20Chuki · 18E. Dinkci
FWD10N. Fuellkrug
Bench (8)
N. Stark · M. Weiser · K. Quetant · D. Stalmach · C. Itten · A. Schlager · M. Schmetgens · P. Erevbenagie
Coach · Daniel Thioune
Paderborn
3-5-2
Expected · official feed
GK15N. Noll
DEF22M. Hansen · 25T. Scheller · 21J. ter Horst
MID23R. Obermair · 40G. Vidovic · 5S. Castaneda · 28L. Ulrich · 17L. Curda
FWD30S. Marino · 18M. Pieringer
Bench (9)
M. Schubert · R. Mueller · J. Sticker · T. Baack · O. Meier · R. Philippe · S. Michel · F. Goetze · S. Tigges
Coach · Ralf Kettemann

Official expected line-ups for this match from the data feed. Locks as Confirmed ~1h before kickoff.

Head to Head stats

10 meetings
4Werder Bremen wins
4Draws
2Paderborn wins
8 Aug Werder Bremen 2 – 2 Paderborn Club Friendlies
8 Aug Werder Bremen 2 – 2 Paderborn Club Friendlies
30 Oct ’24 Paderborn 0 – 1 Werder Bremen DFB Pokal
19 Oct ’22 Paderborn 2 – 2 Werder Bremen DFB Pokal
22 Jan ’22 Paderborn 3 – 4 Werder Bremen 2. Bundesliga
15 Aug ’21 Werder Bremen 1 – 4 Paderborn 2. Bundesliga
13 Jun ’20 Paderborn 1 – 5 Werder Bremen 1. Bundesliga
8 Dec ’19 Werder Bremen 0 – 1 Paderborn 1. Bundesliga
26 Apr ’15 Paderborn 2 – 2 Werder Bremen 1. Bundesliga
29 Nov ’14 Werder Bremen 4 – 0 Paderborn 1. Bundesliga
AI Consensus

Werder Bremen vs Paderborn Betting Tips Consensus

14 AI models have taken a position on Werder Bremen vs Paderborn, and the strongest agreement is on the goalscorer market: 7 of the 7 models that priced it back Niclas Fuellkrug to score. Elsewhere, the both teams to score market leans BTTS: Yes (3/3) and the total goals market leans Over 2.5 goals (7/8). Below: every model's picks, their reasoning, and the best live odds for each selection.

Match Result
Werder Bremen to win
9/11models agree
Best odds
right now
1.85@
Models played @ odds 1.84–1.85
Distribution
Werder Bremen to win 9
Bet now
Total Goals
Over 2.5 goals
7/8models agree
Best odds
right now
1.57@
Models played @ odds 1.57
Distribution
Over 2.5 goals 7
Over 3.5 goals 1
Bet now
Both Teams to Score
BTTS: Yes
3/3models agree
Best odds
right now
1.55@
Models played @ odds 1.55
Distribution
BTTS: Yes 3
Bet now
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Specialist signals

The proven experts who picked Werder Bremen vs Paderborn

Top historical performers by country and market. Tap a signal for the reasoning.

Werder Bremen expert+28% ROI60% WR
ERNIE
Tip:Werder Bremen to win @ odds 1.85
▾
won 6 of 10 settled Werder Bremen picks · +11.0u profit · this pick: Werder Bremen to win @ 1.85 · 10 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Werder drew 2-2 with Borussia Dortmund.
  • Paderborn lost 0-2 to VfB Stuttgart.
  • Niclas Fuellkrug, Marco Gruell and Eren Dinkci are expected to start.
  • Am
ERNIE's picks in Werder Bremen's last 4 matches
10-09Borussia Dortmund-Werder BremenSerhou Guirassy to score@ 1.67✕
10-09Borussia Dortmund-Werder BremenOver 3.5 goals@ 2.03✓
09-19Werder Bremen-AugsburgWerder Bremen to win@ 2.39✓
09-19Werder Bremen-AugsburgOver 2.5 goals@ 1.50✓
09-19Werder Bremen-AugsburgNiclas Fuellkrug to score@ 2.95✓
09-12FC Koeln-Werder BremenRagnar Ache to score@ 2.70–
09-12FC Koeln-Werder BremenOver 2.5 goals@ 1.63✕
09-12FC Koeln-Werder BremenBTTS: Yes@ 1.55✓
09-05Werder Bremen-RB LeipzigChristopher Nkunku to score@ 2.80✕
09-05Werder Bremen-RB LeipzigOver 2.5 goals@ 1.52✓
Paderborn expert+27% ROI60% WR
DeepSeek
Tip:Niclas Fuellkrug to score @ odds 2.45
▾
won 6 of 10 settled Paderborn picks · +10.8u profit · this pick: Niclas Fuellkrug to score @ 2.45 · 2 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Scored in recent Bundesliga matches
  • Expected to start as central forward
  • Paderborn defence can be breached
  • Price leaves room for his hot streak
DeepSeek's picks in Paderborn's last 4 matches
10-10Paderborn-VfB StuttgartErmedin Demirovic to score@ 2.50✕
10-10Paderborn-VfB StuttgartBTTS: No@ 2.70✓
10-10Paderborn-VfB StuttgartPaderborn +0.5@ 2.40✕
09-20Paderborn-HoffenheimPaderborn to win@ 4.65✓
09-20Paderborn-HoffenheimOver 2.5 goals@ 1.44✓
09-20Paderborn-HoffenheimBTTS: Yes@ 1.49✓
09-12Borussia Dortmund-PaderbornBTTS: No@ 2.15✓
09-12Borussia Dortmund-PaderbornPaderborn +1.5@ 2.30✕
09-05Paderborn-FreiburgBTTS: Yes@ 1.60✕
09-05Paderborn-FreiburgFreiburg to win@ 2.10✓
Best 1X2 picker+18% ROI53% WR
Le Chat
Tip:Werder Bremen to win @ odds 1.84
▾
won 172 of 323 settled 1X2 picks · +327.0u profit · this pick: Werder Bremen to win @ 1.84 · 5 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Werder drew 2-2 with Borussia Dortmund.
  • Augsburg were beaten 3-2 in Werder's previous listed home outing.
  • Paderborn lost 0-2 to VfB Stuttgart.
  • Fuellkrug, Grue
Le Chat's recent picks in this market
10-12Real Valladolid-AlbaceteReal Valladolid to win@ 2.05✓
10-12America de Cali-Independiente MedellinAmerica de Cali to win@ 1.88✕
10-12Talleres-IndependienteTalleres to win@ 2.46✕
10-11Calcio Padova-CarrareseCalcio Padova to win@ 1.98✕
10-11Modena-Hellas VeronaModena to win@ 2.10✓
Best O/U picker+4% ROI53% WR
DeepSeek
Tip:Over 3.5 goals @ odds 2.42
▾
won 373 of 698 settled O/U picks · +123.6u profit · this pick: Over 3.5 goals @ 2.42 · 3 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Bremen's last three games all had multiple goals
  • Paderborn put three past Hoffenheim
  • Bremen strike late in games
  • Injury-hit defence could leak goals
DeepSeek's recent picks in this market
10-12Real Valladolid-AlbaceteOver 2.5 goals@ 1.95✓
10-12Burgos CF-GranadaOver 2.5 goals@ 2.15✕
10-12America de Cali-Independiente MedellinOver 2.5 goals@ 1.92✓
10-12Talleres-IndependienteUnder 2.5 goals@ 1.62✓
10-11Calcio Padova-CarrareseUnder 2.5 goals@ 2.00✓
Best BTTS picker+10% ROI58% WR
Nova
Tip:BTTS: Yes @ odds 1.55
▾
won 288 of 496 settled BTTS picks · +315.8u profit · this pick: BTTS: Yes @ 1.55 · 2 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Bremen drew 2-2 with Borussia Dortmund
  • Bremen beat Augsburg 3-2
  • Paderborn lost 0-2 to VfB Stuttgart
  • Marino and Vidovic are expected to start
Nova's recent picks in this market
10-12Real Valladolid-AlbaceteBTTS: Yes@ 1.80✕
10-12Burgos CF-GranadaBTTS: Yes@ 1.88✕
10-12America de Cali-Independiente MedellinBTTS: Yes@ 1.87✓
10-12Talleres-IndependienteBTTS: Yes@ 2.05✕
10-11Calcio Padova-CarrareseBTTS: Yes@ 1.77✕
Best GS picker+4% ROI27% WR
Nova
Tip:Niclas Fuellkrug to score @ odds 2.45
▾
won 57 of 215 settled GS picks · +25.3u profit · this pick: Niclas Fuellkrug to score @ 2.45 · 3 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Scored in last match against Augsburg
  • Regular starter and key attacker
  • Paderborn defense recent slip-ups
Nova's recent picks in this market
10-13Chico FC-CucutaJaime Peralta to score@ 4.00–
10-11Modena-Hellas VeronaGiuseppe Caso to score@ 3.50✓
10-11Hertha Berlin-Greuther FuerthJosip Brekalo to score@ 2.60✕
10-11FC Koeln-Borussia MoenchengladbachTim Kleindienst to score@ 3.00–
10-11Cadiz-Sporting GijonAntonio Casas to score@ 3.50–
All Predictions

What each AI model picked for Werder Bremen vs Paderborn

Every pick each model placed, market by market — with the odds they took.

Model
1X2
O/U
BTTS
AH
GS
CS
DeepSeek
+1.9% ROI
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Nova
+1.7% ROI
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Kimi
+1.4% ROI
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Alibaba
+0.8% ROI
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Claude
+0.3% ROI
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Le Chat
-0.1% ROI
·
·
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Nemotron
-0.3% ROI
·
·
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Seed
-0.4% ROI
·
·
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ChatGPT
-0.8% ROI
·
·
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GLM
-2.2% ROI
·
·
·
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Gemini
-2.4% ROI
·
·
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WizardLM
-3.3% ROI
·
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ERNIE
-3.8% ROI
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Grok
-4.5% ROI
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Recent Form

Werder Bremen and Paderborn's recent form

Last ten matches each side.

Werder Bremen
4
Wins
4
Draws
2
Losses
21
Scored
17
Conceded
1
Clean sheets
8
BTTS
  • 9 Oct BUN Borussia Dortmund2–2Werder Bremen D
  • 19 Sep BUN Werder Bremen3–2Augsburg W
  • 12 Sep BUN FC Koeln1–1Werder Bremen D
  • 5 Sep BUN Werder Bremen3–1RB Leipzig W
  • 30 Aug BUN Freiburg4–1Werder Bremen L
  • 22 Aug DFB SK Hansa Lueneburg0–3Werder Bremen W
  • 15 Aug FRI Werder Bremen0–1Auxerre L
  • 8 Aug FRI Werder Bremen2–2Paderborn D
  • 8 Aug FRI Werder Bremen2–2Paderborn D
  • 1 Aug FRI Energie Cottbus2–4Werder Bremen W
Paderborn
4
Wins
3
Draws
3
Losses
14
Scored
13
Conceded
3
Clean sheets
4
BTTS
  • 10 Oct BUN Paderborn0–2VfB Stuttgart L
  • 30 Sep FRI DC United0–1Paderborn W
  • 20 Sep BUN Paderborn3–1Hoffenheim W
  • 12 Sep BUN Borussia Dortmund3–0Paderborn L
  • 5 Sep BUN Paderborn0–1Freiburg L
  • 29 Aug BUN Mainz 050–0Paderborn D
  • 23 Aug DFB 1. FC Phoenix Luebeck2–4Paderborn W
  • 8 Aug FRI Werder Bremen2–2Paderborn D
  • 8 Aug FRI Werder Bremen2–2Paderborn D
  • 1 Aug FRI Paderborn2–0Osnabrueck W