Serie A 2026 · Matchday 1
Roma
vs
Fiorentina
Kickoff Mon 24 Aug · 20:45 CEST
Countdown — : — : —

Roma vs Fiorentina Betting Tips 24/08

AI Consensus

Roma vs Fiorentina Betting Tips Consensus

Match Result✓ Won
Roma to win
10/10models agree
Odds1.75@
Models played @ odds 1.62–1.67
Distribution
Roma to win 10
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Total Goals✓ Won
Over 2.5 goals
8/8models agree
Odds1.95@
Models played @ odds 1.96–1.97
Distribution
Over 2.5 goals 8
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Both Teams to Score✕ Lost
BTTS: Yes
3/3models agree
Odds1.91@
Models played @ odds 1.95
Distribution
BTTS: Yes 3
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Specialist signals

The proven experts who picked Roma vs Fiorentina

Top historical performers by country and market. Tap a signal for the reasoning.

Best O/U picker+9% ROI64% WR
ChatGPT
Tip:Over 2.5 goals @ odds 1.96✓ Won
▾
won 168 of 264 settled O/U picks · +110.6u profit · this pick: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.96 · 5 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Roma drew 2-2 with Borussia Dortmund.
  • Roma lost 0-3 to Brighton & Hove Albion.
  • Fiorentina's latest match was a 4-1 win over Benevento.
  • Dybala and Soulé are exp
ChatGPT's recent picks in this market
08-24Celta Fortuna-FC AndorraOver 2.5 Goals@ 1.90✓
08-24Bologna-LazioUnder 2.5 Goals@ 1.74✓
08-24Broendby IF-SilkeborgOver 2.5 Goals@ 1.53✓
08-24Malmoe FF-DjurgaardenUnder 3.5 Goals@ 1.57✓
08-23Hellas Verona-Ascoli Calcio 1898 FCUnder 2.5 Goals@ 1.91✕
Best GS picker+18% ROI32% WR
DeepSeek
Tip:Paulo Dybala to score @ odds 4.50✕ Lost
▾
won 37 of 116 settled GS picks · +79.4u profit · this pick: Paulo Dybala to score @ 4.50 · 3 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Roma drew 2-2 with Borussia Dortmund in their latest friendly.
  • Dybala scored in Roma's 4-0 win over Fiorentina last May.
  • Soule and Malen should create space around the
DeepSeek's recent picks in this market
08-24Osasuna-LevanteAnte Budimir to score@ 2.70✕
08-23Sporting Gijon-Burgos CFDavid Gonzalez to score@ 4.00✕
08-23Elche-BarcelonaRaphinha to score@ 3.90✓
08-23West Bromwich Albion-BurnleyZian Flemming to score@ 2.90–
08-23Lommel-WesterloRalf Seuntjens to score@ 2.75–
💎 Value Pick High odds · high consensus ✕ Lost

Paulo Dybala to score @ 4.50

8/8Models agree
100%Agreement
@ 4.50Avg odds

8 of 8 models who weighed this market converged on the same longshot pick — at average odds of 4.50. High-odds consensus is rare; when it does cluster, it's a stronger expected-value signal than a banker pick because the implied probability still leaves room above the true probability the models assign.

Roma
3-4-2-1
● Confirmed
14
⚽⚽⚽↓68′
Malen
86
↓54′
Mora
21
↓79′
Dybala
43
Wesley
17
↓79′
Kone
4
Cristante
55
Lulli
22
↓68′
Hermoso
5
N'Dicka
23
Mancini
99
Svilar
Bench (14)
Matias Soule ↑54′ · Konstantinos Koulierakis ↑68′ · Santiago Castro ↑68′ · Neil El Aynaoui ↑79′ · Niccolo Pisilli ↑79′ ⚽ · Nahuel Molina · Jan Ziolkowski · Giorgio De Marzi · Robinio Vaz · Daniele Ghilardi · Pierluigi Gollini · Anass Salah-Eddine · Devyne Rensch · Lorenzo Pellegrini
Coach · Gian Piero Gasperini
Match Preview

Roma vs Fiorentina Match Preview

AI-written editorial preview · updated 2026-08-22 18:49 UTC

Roma and Fiorentina set for Serie A opening night at the Olimpico

The opening matchday of the new Serie A season brings a tactical clash of styles to the Stadio Olimpico this Monday, 24 August 2026. Roma and Fiorentina will look to stamp their authority on the campaign early, with both sides expected to rely on established attacking partnerships to break down their opponent's defensive structure.

Tactical shapes and expected lineups

Roma are expected to field a side built on defensive stability, with a back four of Wesley, Mario Hermoso, Evan N'Dicka, and Gianluca Mancini protecting goalkeeper Mile Svilar. In the middle, Manu Kone and Bryan Cristante are expected to anchor the midfield, allowing Matias Soule to link up with the attacking duo of Donyell Malen and Paulo Dybala. This setup aims to control the tempo while providing the creative freedom needed for their forwards to exploit space in the final third.

Fiorentina, meanwhile, are expected to counter with their own balanced approach, anchored by David de Gea in goal. Their defensive line, featuring Victor Valdepenas, Luca Ranieri, and Radu Dragusin, will be tasked with containing Roma’s movement, while a crowded midfield including Joao Mario, Nicolo Fagioli, and Cher Ndour will look to disrupt the hosts' rhythm. Up front, the pairing of Albert Gudmundsson and Moise Kean will be expected to provide the direct threat for the visitors.

Fiorentina
4-3-2-1
● Confirmed
32
Pellegrino
14
↓74′
Atta
30
↓63′
Mastantuono
4
↓62′
Brescianini
44
↓62′
Fagioli
27
Ndour
2
Dodo
6
Ranieri
3
Dragusin
17
↓81′
Mario
43
de Gea
Bench (15)
Alex Jimenez ↑62′ · Christ Inao Oulai ↑62′ · Moise Kean ↑63′ · Rolando Mandragora ↑74′ · Victor Valdepenas ↑81′ · Marin Pongracic · Albert Gudmundsson · Luca Lezzerini · Brando Mazzeo · Viery · Oliver Christensen · Federico Croci · Eman Kospo · Giovanni Fabbian · Fabiano Parisi
Coach · Fabio Grosso

Confirmed by FIFA officials.

All Predictions

What each AI model picked for Roma vs Fiorentina

Every pick each model placed, market by market — with the odds they took.

Model
1X2
O/U
BTTS
AH
GS
CS
ChatGPT
+5.7% ROI
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DeepSeek
+4.6% ROI
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Kimi
+2.4% ROI
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Nemotron
+1.4% ROI
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Le Chat
+0.9% ROI
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Claude
+0.6% ROI
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Qwen
+0.5% ROI
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Gemini
+0.2% ROI
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Grok
-0.3% ROI
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WizardLM
-1.3% ROI
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Nova
-1.4% ROI
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ERNIE
-1.9% ROI
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GLM
-4.3% ROI
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Recent Form

Roma and Fiorentina's recent form

Last ten matches each side.

Roma
6
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
27
Scored
15
Conceded
4
Clean sheets
5
BTTS
  • 15 Aug FRI Borussia Dortmund2–2Roma D
  • 8 Aug FRI Brighton & Hove Albion3–0Roma L
  • 4 Aug FRI Newport County1–4Roma W
  • 1 Aug FRI Cardiff City4–1Roma L
  • 26 Jul FRI Cannes3–3Roma D
  • 23 Jul FRI Roma6–0ASD Trastevere W
  • 24 May SER Hellas Verona0–2Roma W
  • 17 May SER Roma2–0Lazio W
  • 10 May SER Parma Calcio 19132–3Roma W
  • 4 May SER Roma4–0Fiorentina W
Fiorentina
5
Wins
4
Draws
1
Losses
22
Scored
9
Conceded
4
Clean sheets
6
BTTS
  • 14 Aug COP Fiorentina4–1Benevento W
  • 6 Aug FRI Fiorentina1–1Deportivo de A Coruna D
  • 1 Aug FRI Real Madrid2–2Fiorentina D
  • 29 Jul FRI Watford0–1Fiorentina W
  • 25 Jul FRI Queens Park Rangers3–2Fiorentina L
  • 22 Jul FRI Fiorentina1–0Gubbio W
  • 19 Jul FRI Fiorentina8–1Fiorentina U20 W
  • 22 May SER Fiorentina1–1Atalanta D
  • 17 May SER Juventus0–2Fiorentina W
  • 10 May SER Fiorentina0–0Genoa D
Head to Head

Roma vs Fiorentina · last 10 meetings

5Roma wins
2Draws
3Fiorentina wins
4 May Roma 4 – 0 Fiorentina Serie A
5 Oct ’25 Fiorentina 1 – 2 Roma Serie A
4 May ’25 Roma 1 – 0 Fiorentina Serie A
27 Oct ’24 Fiorentina 5 – 1 Roma Serie A
10 Mar ’24 Fiorentina 2 – 2 Roma Serie A
10 Dec ’23 Roma 1 – 1 Fiorentina Serie A
27 May ’23 Fiorentina 2 – 1 Roma Serie A
15 Jan ’23 Roma 2 – 0 Fiorentina Serie A
9 May ’22 Fiorentina 2 – 0 Roma Serie A
22 Aug ’21 Roma 3 – 1 Fiorentina Serie A