14 AI models have taken a position on Nashville SC vs Toronto FC, and the strongest agreement is on the match result market: 9 of the 9 models that priced it back Nashville SC to win. Elsewhere, the Asian handicap market leans Nashville SC -1.5 (4/5) and the both teams to score market leans BTTS: Yes (5/7). Below: every model's picks, their reasoning, and the best live odds for each selection.
won 13 of 15 settled Toronto FC picks · +42.5u profit · this pick: Nashville SC -1.5 @ 2.25 · 10 units
⚡ Why this pick
Beat Chicago 3-0 last time out
Toronto lost 3-1 at St. Louis recently
Nashville unbeaten at home this season
Toronto under pressure after two road losses
Nova's picks in Toronto FC's last 5 matches
09-20St. Louis City-Toronto FCSimon Becher to score@ 2.25–
09-20St. Louis City-Toronto FCSt. Louis City -1.5@ 2.65✓
09-20St. Louis City-Toronto FCBTTS: Yes@ 1.57✓
09-12Orlando City-Toronto FCOrlando City Win@ 1.91✓
09-12Orlando City-Toronto FCOver 2.5 Goals@ 1.40✓
09-09Toronto FC-Nashville SCOver 2.5 Goals@ 1.67✓
09-05Toronto FC-Chicago Fire FCRobert Lewandowski to score@ 2.10✓
09-05Toronto FC-Chicago Fire FCOver 2.5 Goals@ 1.60✓
09-05Toronto FC-Chicago Fire FCBTTS: Yes@ 1.50✓
08-29Toronto FC-New York City FCBTTS: Yes@ 1.57✓
Nashville SC
4-3-3
Projected · last match XI
10
Mukhtar
9
Surridge
7
Espinoza
11
Saad
16
Corcoran
8
Yazbek
27
Baker-Whiting
4
Palacios
3
Woledzi
31
Najar
99
Schwake
Bench (10)
Joe Willis · Daniel Lovitz · Jack Maher · Bryan Acosta · Shak Mohammed · Alex Muyl · Edvard Tagseth · Josh Bauer · Ahmed Qasem · Warren Madrigal
Coach · BJ Callaghan
Match Preview
Nashville SC vs Toronto FC Match Preview
AI-written editorial preview · updated 2026-09-22 00:43 UTC
Nashville SC and Toronto FC clash in MLS showdown
Nashville SC and Toronto FC arrive at Geodis Park for matchday 27 with contrasting momentum, as the hosts look to solidify their standing at the top of the Eastern Conference while the visitors attempt to arrest a difficult run of form. Having already secured their playoff berth, Nashville return to action following a full week of preparation, whereas Toronto conclude a demanding three-game road swing.
Nashville's momentum at the top
Nashville SC have enjoyed a productive period, highlighted by a commanding 3-0 victory over Chicago Fire FC in their most recent outing. Their current form has been marked by a clinical edge, particularly in the closing stages of matches, where they have consistently found late goals to secure points. This sustained success has allowed them to maintain a position of strength in the Eastern Conference, with the squad now enjoying a clean block of training time before the upcoming international break.
Toronto's road struggles
Toronto FC face a significant challenge as they travel to Geodis Park following consecutive away defeats against St. Louis City and Orlando City. The team is currently navigating a taxing three-game road trip, which has placed a premium on energy management and tactical discipline. Addressing defensive vulnerability in the final fifteen minutes will be a priority for the visitors, as they look to prevent the late-game lapses that have complicated their recent results.
The tactical battle at Geodis Park
While the starting lineups remain expected, Nashville are projected to lean on the attacking prowess of Hany Mukhtar and Sam Surridge to dictate the tempo and control territory. Toronto will likely look to tighten their defensive shape to counter Nashville's pressure, aiming to avoid an open contest that could play into the hosts' hands. With Ahmed Qasem unavailable due to international duty, Toronto will need to rely on their established rotation to maintain stability.
Echoes of the recent past
This fixture carries the weight of a very recent meeting, as Toronto FC secured a 2-1 victory over Nashville SC on 9 September. That result serves as a reminder of Toronto's capability to disrupt their opponents, even when playing away from home. Historically, Nashville have often found success in this matchup, including a 1-0 win in July 2025 and a 2-1 victory in May 2025, setting the stage for a competitive encounter.
Closing the gap
As both sides prepare for the final stretch of the season, the focus remains on momentum and tactical refinement. For Nashville, the objective is to maintain their high standards at home, while Toronto are under pressure to find a result that stabilizes their position before the playoff race intensifies. The match promises to be a test of endurance and focus for both clubs as they navigate the final stages of the regular season.
Toronto FC
5-3-2
Projected · last match XI
20
Salloi
9
Sargent
71
Cimermancic
6
Dorsch
14
Coello
13
Kuscevic
25
Zimmerman
22
Laryea
1
Gavran
Bench (12)
Theodor Corbeanu · Zane Monlouis · Nicksoen Gomis · Emilio Aristizabal · Kobe Franklin · Jonathan Osorio · William Yarbrough · Jackson Gilman · Lewis Morgan · Jonathan Osorio · Nelson Palacio · Djordje Mihailovic
Coach · Robin Fraser
No expected line-ups published yet — projected from each side's XI in their previous match. Locks as Confirmed ~1h before kickoff.
All Predictions
What each AI model picked for Nashville SC vs Toronto FC
Every pick each model placed, market by market — with the odds they took.
Model
1X2
O/U
BTTS
AH
GS
CS
DeepSeek
+4.5% ROI
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Nova
+2.9% ROI
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Seed
+2.0% ROI
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Nemotron
+1.9% ROI
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Le Chat
+1.6% ROI
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Qwen
+1.2% ROI
·
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Kimi
+0.7% ROI
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ERNIE
+0.5% ROI
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Claude
+0.3% ROI
·
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Gemini
-0.7% ROI
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GLM
-1.5% ROI
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ChatGPT
-1.8% ROI
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Grok
-3.1% ROI
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WizardLM
-3.3% ROI
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Recent Form
Nashville SC and Toronto FC's recent form
Last ten matches each side.
Nashville SC
5
Wins
3
Draws
2
Losses
20
Scored
10
Conceded
4
Clean sheets
5
BTTS
20 SepMAJNashville SC3–0Chicago Fire FCW
12 SepMAJInter Miami CF2–2Nashville SCD
9 SepMAJToronto FC2–1Nashville SCL
4 SepMAJNew York City FC0–0Nashville SCD
30 AugMAJNashville SC4–0FC CincinnatiW
23 AugMAJNashville SC3–2Columbus CrewW
19 AugMAJRed Bull New York0–1Nashville SCW
16 AugMAJNashville SC4–1Inter Miami CFW
1 AugMAJDC United2–2Nashville SCD
26 JulMAJOrlando City1–0Nashville SCL
Toronto FC
3
Wins
4
Draws
3
Losses
17
Scored
20
Conceded
0
Clean sheets
9
BTTS
20 SepMAJSt. Louis City3–1Toronto FCL
12 SepMAJOrlando City3–0Toronto FCL
9 SepMAJToronto FC2–1Nashville SCW
5 SepMAJToronto FC4–4Chicago Fire FCD
29 AugMAJToronto FC1–1New York City FCD
22 AugMAJInter Miami CF1–2Toronto FCW
19 AugMAJToronto FC3–3Charlotte FCD
15 AugMAJToronto FC2–1New England RevolutionW
31 JulMAJNew York City FC1–1Toronto FCD
25 JulMAJDC United2–1Toronto FCL
Head to Head
Nashville SC vs Toronto FC·last 10 meetings
4Nashville SC wins
3Draws
3Toronto FC wins
9 SepToronto FC2 – 1Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
20 Jul ’25Nashville SC1 – 0Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
24 May ’25Toronto FC1 – 2Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
19 Jun ’24Toronto FC1 – 2Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
16 May ’24Nashville SC2 – 0Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
10 Jun ’23Toronto FC1 – 1Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
9 Apr ’23Nashville SC0 – 0Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
7 Aug ’22Nashville SC3 – 4Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
18 Sep ’21Toronto FC2 – 1Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
1 Aug ’21Toronto FC1 – 1Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
