How each AI model's picks settled — ranked by profit on this match (10 units staked per model).
New York City FC
4-3-3
● Confirmed
9
↓59′
Traore
11
↓70′
Magno
26
↓59′
Ojeda
8
Perea
7
⚽↓86′
Fernandez
32
Shore
2
Cavallo
6
Sands
13
↓87′
Martins
24
Gray
49
Freese
Bench (19)
Hannes Wolf ↑59′ · Malachi Jones ↑59′ · Maximo Carrizo ↑70′ · Seymour Reid ↑86′ · Mitja Ilenic ↑87′ · Kevin Pierre · Maxwell Murray · Cooper Flax · Tomas Romero · Alonso Martinez · Maxi Moralez · Kai Trewin · Arnau Farnos · Keaton Parks · Kevin O'Toole · Aiden O'Neill · Maclean Learned · Raul · Drew Baiera
Coach · Pascal Jansen
Match Preview
New York City FC vs Toronto FC Match Preview
AI-written editorial preview · updated 2026-07-29 23:35 UTC
NYCFC host Toronto FC in MLS clash
Nicolás Fernández Mercau has been a focal point for New York City FC, with his mentality and work rate earning praise from manager Pascal Jansen. Despite ongoing transfer speculation, Jansen has indicated the club will manage the situation, suggesting Fernández Mercau will remain a key figure as NYCFC look to build on recent positive results.
Team news and expected lineups
With no key absences reported for either side, both New York City FC and Toronto FC are expected to field strong lineups. Manager Pascal Jansen has suggested a focus on players performing well, implying that Fernández Mercau could continue to feature prominently for NYCFC. The exact starting XIs remain unconfirmed, but the focus will be on building attacking fluency.
Recent form and momentum
New York City FC arrive at Yankee Stadium with visible momentum, having secured recent positive results. Local coverage frames this fixture as an opportunity to continue building on their attacking form. In contrast, Toronto FC are concluding a road trip, which may present a challenge in terms of fatigue and recovery ahead of this match.
Head-to-head history
Historically, New York City FC have held the upper hand in recent encounters against Toronto FC in Major League Soccer. The last meeting in July 2025 saw NYCFC emerge victorious with a 3-1 scoreline. Prior to that, NYCFC secured a 1-0 win in April 2025. This recent history suggests a competitive dynamic between the two clubs.
Tactical considerations
Recent reports highlight NYCFC's attacking fluency and contributions from multiple forwards, indicating a tactical approach centred on proactive, front-foot attacking play. Manager Pascal Jansen appears comfortable preparing his team for structured games, even against opponents who dominate possession. Toronto FC, meanwhile, may need to be wary of conceding late goals, having struggled in the closing stages of recent matches, with five goals conceded after the 75th minute in their last ten outings.
The occasion at Yankee Stadium
The match is set to take place at Yankee Stadium, NYCFC's home venue for this fixture. The home crowd will likely be a factor as NYCFC look to leverage their recent positive home form. For Toronto FC, finishing a road trip in the Bronx adds a logistical element to consider, potentially impacting their preparation and energy levels for this matchday 18 encounter in Major League Soccer.
Toronto FC
4-5-1
● Confirmed
9
↓71′
Sargent
20
Salloi
21
Osorio
10
⚽↓71′
Mihailovic
6
↓71′
Dorsch
7
↓87′
Corbeanu
19
Franklin
25
Zimmerman
38
Gilman
22
Laryea
1
Gavran
Bench (14)
Derrick Etienne ↑71′ · Alonso Coello ↑71′ · Deandre Kerr ↑71′ · Malik Henry ↑87′ · Benjamin Kuscevic · Emilio Aristizabal · William Yarbrough · Raheem Edwards · Jules-Anthony Vilsaint · Markus Cimermancic · Lazar Stefanovic · Matheus Pereira · Nelson Palacio · Nicksoen Gomis
Coach · Robin Fraser
Confirmed by FIFA officials.
All Predictions
What each AI model picked for New York City FC vs Toronto FC
Every pick each model placed, market by market — with the odds they took.
Model
1X2
O/U
BTTS
AH
GS
CS
WizardLM
+11.1% ROI
·
·
·
·
ChatGPT
+5.9% ROI
·
·
·
·
Gemini
+5.3% ROI
·
·
·
·
·
Qwen
+4.7% ROI
·
·
·
·
GLM
+2.8% ROI
·
·
·
Le Chat
+0.5% ROI
·
·
·
·
Claude
+0.4% ROI
·
·
·
·
Grok
-1.0% ROI
·
·
·
·
DeepSeek
-2.9% ROI
·
·
·
·
Nemotron
-3.1% ROI
·
·
·
·
Seed
-3.4% ROI
·
·
·
·
·
ERNIE
-5.3% ROI
·
·
·
·
·
Kimi
-5.7% ROI
·
·
·
·
Nova
-11.0% ROI
·
·
·
·
·
Recent Form
New York City FC and Toronto FC's recent form
Last ten matches each side.
New York City FC
5
Wins
1
Draws
4
Losses
14
Scored
10
Conceded
2
Clean sheets
5
BTTS
25 JulMAJNew York City FC3–1Chicago Fire FCW
22 JulMAJColumbus Crew1–2New York City FCW
24 MayMAJNashville SC2–1New York City FCL
20 MayUS Columbus Crew1–0New York City FCL
16 MayMAJRed Bull New York1–1New York City FCD
13 MayMAJCharlotte FC0–1New York City FCW
10 MayMAJNew York City FC3–0Columbus CrewW
3 MayMAJNew York City FC0–2DC UnitedL
29 AprUS Red Bull New York1–3New York City FCW
25 AprMAJCF Montreal1–0New York City FCL
Toronto FC
0
Wins
4
Draws
6
Losses
11
Scored
20
Conceded
2
Clean sheets
8
BTTS
25 JulMAJDC United2–1Toronto FCL
22 JulMAJNew England Revolution0–0Toronto FCD
16 JulMAJCF Montreal0–0Toronto FCD
24 MayMAJChicago Fire FC2–1Toronto FCL
16 MayMAJCharlotte FC3–1Toronto FCL
9 MayMAJToronto FC2–4Inter Miami CFL
5 MayCANToronto FC1–3Atletico OttawaL
2 MayMAJToronto FC1–1San Jose EarthquakesD
25 AprMAJToronto FC1–2Atlanta UnitedL
22 AprMAJToronto FC3–3Philadelphia UnionD
Head to Head
New York City FC vs Toronto FC·last 10 meetings
6New York City FC wins
2Draws
2Toronto FC wins
3 Jul ’25New York City FC3 – 1Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
26 Apr ’25Toronto FC0 – 1New York City FCMajor League Soccer
11 May ’24Toronto FC2 – 3New York City FCMajor League Soccer
16 Mar ’24New York City FC2 – 1Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
24 Sep ’23New York City FC3 – 0Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
29 Apr ’23Toronto FC1 – 0New York City FCMajor League Soccer
24 Apr ’22New York City FC5 – 4Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
2 Apr ’22Toronto FC2 – 1New York City FCMajor League Soccer
8 Aug ’21Toronto FC2 – 2New York City FCMajor League Soccer
15 May ’21New York City FC1 – 1Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
