England vs Croatia Betting Tips 12/11

UEFA Nations League A Grp. 3 2026 · Matchday 5
England
vs
Croatia
Kickoff Thu 12 Nov · 20:45 CET
Countdown — : — : —
Overview

Overview England vs Croatia Betting Tips

Total Goals
Over 2.5 goals
Best odds
right now 1.52@
Asian Handicap
England -1.5
Best odds
right now 1.78@
Goalscorer
Anthony Gordon to score
Match Preview

England vs Croatia Match Preview

Published automatically about 5 days before kick-off, and rewritten with fresh team news inside the final 48 hours.

All 5 models that priced the total goals market currently back Over 2.5 goals — the full editorial preview will put that consensus into context.

Expected line-ups

England
4-3-3
Expected · official feed
GK1J. Pickford
DEF3L. Hall · 24E. Konsa · 6M. Guehi · 2T. Alexander-Arnold
MID8E. Anderson · 10J. Bellingham · 5D. Rice
FWD11A. Gordon · 9H. Kane · 7M. Rogers
Bench (12)
J. Quansah · B. White · J. Trafford · R. Ngumoha · M. Lewis-Skelly · J. Bellingham · J. Garner · M. Gibbs-White · E. Eze · D. Spence · J. Steele · J. King
Croatia
4-2-3-1
Projected · last match XI
GK1D. Livakovic
DEF4J. Gvardiol · 6J. Sutalo · 5L. Vuskovic · 2J. Stanisic
MID18K. Jakic · 10L. Modric · 14I. Perisic · 8M. Kovacic · 13N. Vlasic
FWD20I. Matanovic
Bench (12)
M. Pongracic · D. Beljo · A. Kramaric · A. Budimir · I. Pandur · M. Pasalic · M. Baturina · P. Sucic · M. Pasalic · L. Sucic · J. Misic · D. Kotarski

Official expected XI from the feed where published; otherwise projected from the side's previous match. Locks as Confirmed ~1h before kickoff.

Head to Head stats

7 meetings
5England wins
1Draws
1Croatia wins
3 Oct Croatia 0 – 7 England UEFA Nations League A Grp. 3
17 Jun England 4 – 2 Croatia World Cup Grp. L
13 Jun ’21 England 1 – 0 Croatia EURO Grp. D
18 Nov ’18 England 2 – 1 Croatia UEFA Nations League A Grp. 4
12 Oct ’18 Croatia 0 – 0 England UEFA Nations League A Grp. 4
11 Jul ’18 Croatia 2 – 1 England World Cup Semi Finals
9 Sep ’09 England 5 – 1 Croatia World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st round grp. 6
AI Consensus

England vs Croatia Betting Tips Consensus

10 AI models have taken a position on England vs Croatia, and the strongest agreement is on the total goals market: 5 of the 5 models that priced it back Over 2.5 goals. Elsewhere, the Asian handicap market leans England -1.5 (8/9) and the goalscorer market leans Anthony Gordon to score (4/5). Below: every model's picks, their reasoning, and the best live odds for each selection.

Total Goals
Over 2.5 goals
5/5models agree
Best odds
right now 1.52@
Models played @ odds 1.52
Distribution
Over 2.5 goals 5
Bet now
Asian Handicap
England -1.5
8/9models agree
Best odds
right now 1.78@
Models played @ odds 1.78
Distribution
England -1.5 8
England -2.5 1
Bet now
Goalscorer
Anthony Gordon to score
4/5models agree
Models played @ odds 2.55
Distribution
Anthony Gordon to score 4
Harry Kane to score 1
Bet now
18+ · T&Cs apply · Odds may change · Please gamble responsibly
Specialist signals

The proven experts who picked England vs Croatia

Top historical performers by country and market. Tap a signal for the reasoning.

England expert+62% ROI83% WR
ERNIE
Tip:England -1.5 @ odds 1.78
▾
won 5 of 6 settled England picks · +18.5u profit · this pick: England -1.5 @ 1.78 · 10 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • England beat Croatia 7-0 in their previous meeting.
  • England followed that result with a 3-0 win over Czechia.
  • Croatia lost 1-2 to Spain in their latest outing.
  • Kan
ERNIE's picks in England's last 3 matches
10-06England-CzechiaOver 2.5 goals@ 1.50✓
10-06England-CzechiaEngland -1.5@ 1.60✓
10-03Croatia-EnglandOver 2.5 goals@ 1.78✓
10-03Croatia-EnglandBTTS: Yes@ 1.67✕
09-29Czechia-EnglandBTTS: No@ 1.91✓
09-29Czechia-EnglandUnder 2.5 goals@ 2.12✓
Croatia expert+23% ROI67% WR
Gemini
Tip:Harry Kane to score @ odds 1.53
▾
won 4 of 6 settled Croatia picks · +6.9u profit · this pick: Harry Kane to score @ 1.53 · 4 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Kane scored twice in the 3-0 win over Czechia.
  • Kane scored twice in the 7-0 victory against Croatia.
  • Croatia conceded seven goals in their last meeting with England.
  • Kane is s
Gemini's picks in Croatia's last 3 matches
10-06Croatia-SpainSpain -1.5@ 2.19✕
10-06Croatia-SpainOver 2.5 goals@ 1.57✓
10-03Croatia-EnglandEngland to win@ 2.12✓
10-03Croatia-EnglandOver 2.5 goals@ 1.78✓
09-29Spain-CroatiaBTTS: No@ 1.75✕
09-29Spain-CroatiaSpain -1.5@ 1.91✓
Best GS picker+9% ROI39% WR
Gemini
Tip:Harry Kane to score @ odds 1.53
▾
won 76 of 196 settled GS picks · +74.0u profit · this pick: Harry Kane to score @ 1.53 · 4 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Kane scored twice in the 3-0 win over Czechia.
  • Kane scored twice in the 7-0 victory against Croatia.
  • Croatia conceded seven goals in their last meeting with England.
  • Kane is s
Gemini's recent picks in this market
11-07Fortuna Sittard-TelstarAnthony Descotte to score@ 2.62✕
11-07Tigre-SarmientoJeronimo Domina to score@ 3.30✕
11-07Oergryte FF-Vaesteraas SKAxel Taonsa to score@ 2.50✕
11-05Aldosivi-River PlateThiago Almada to score@ 2.50✕
11-04Lens-ComoAnastasios Douvikas to score@ 2.40✓
All Predictions

What each AI model picked for England vs Croatia

Every pick each model placed, market by market — with the odds they took.

Model
1X2
O/U
BTTS
AH
GS
CS
Gemini
+0.1% ROI
·
·
·
·
Le Chat
-0.5% ROI
·
·
·
Grok
-2.5% ROI
·
·
·
·
·
Nemotron
-2.6% ROI
·
·
·
Claude
-2.7% ROI
·
·
·
·
·
ChatGPT
-2.7% ROI
·
·
·
GLM
-3.5% ROI
·
·
·
DeepSeek
-4.7% ROI
·
·
·
ERNIE
-4.7% ROI
·
·
·
·
·
Nova
-4.9% ROI
·
·
·
·
·
Recent Form

England and Croatia's recent form

Last ten matches each side.

England
8
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
30
Scored
13
Conceded
4
Clean sheets
6
BTTS
  • 6 Oct UEF England3–0Czechia W
  • 3 Oct UEF Croatia0–7England W
  • 29 Sep UEF Czechia0–2England W
  • 26 Sep UEF England2–3Spain L
  • 18 Jul WC France4–6England W
  • 15 Jul WC England1–2Argentina L
  • 11 Jul WC Norway1–2England W
  • 6 Jul WC Mexico2–3England W
  • 1 Jul WC England2–1DR Congo W
  • 27 Jun WC Panama0–2England W
Croatia
4
Wins
0
Draws
6
Losses
12
Scored
24
Conceded
1
Clean sheets
7
BTTS
  • 6 Oct UEF Croatia1–2Spain L
  • 3 Oct UEF Croatia0–7England L
  • 29 Sep UEF Spain4–1Croatia L
  • 26 Sep UEF Czechia1–2Croatia W
  • 2 Jul WC Portugal2–1Croatia L
  • 27 Jun WC Croatia2–1Ghana W
  • 23 Jun WC Panama0–1Croatia W
  • 17 Jun WC England4–2Croatia L
  • 7 Jun FRI Croatia2–1Slovenia W
  • 2 Jun FRI Croatia0–2Belgium L