Greece vs Germany Betting Tips 04/10

UEFA Nations League A Grp. 2 2026 · Matchday 4
Greece
vs
Germany
Kickoff Sun 4 Oct · 20:45 CEST
Countdown — : — : —
Overview

Overview Greece vs Germany Betting Tips

Total Goals
Over 2.5 goals
Best odds
right now 1.78@
Asian Handicap
Greece +0.5
Best odds
right now 1.92@
Both Teams to Score
BTTS: Yes
Best odds
right now 1.67@
Match Preview

Greece vs Germany Match Preview

Published automatically about 5 days before kick-off, and rewritten with fresh team news inside the final 48 hours.

7 of the 8 models that priced the Asian handicap market currently back Greece +0.5 — the full editorial preview will put that consensus into context.

Expected line-ups

Greece
4-4-2
Projected · last match XI
GK12K. Tzolakis
DEF21K. Tsimikas · 4K. Mavropanos · 5P. Retsos · 2G. Vagiannidis
MID10C. Tzolis · 20C. Zafeiris · 15T. Androutsos · 19K. Karetsas
FWD16A. Tetteh · 14V. Pavlidis
Bench (12)
O. Vlachodimos · A. Ntoi · D. Kourbelis · G. Masouras · F. Ioannidis · A. Douvikas · C. Kostoulas · C. Mandas · M. Saliakas · G. Michailidis · G. Kyriakopoulos · C. Mouzakitis
Coach · Ivan Jovanovic
Germany
4-2-3-1
Projected · last match XI
GK21A. Nuebel
DEF18N. Brown · 2Y. Bisseck · 4J. Tah · 14J. Vagnoman
MID8F. Nmecha · 6J. Kimmich · 9K. Schade · 15B. Conte · 19K. Adeyemi
FWD23Y. Ebnoutalib
Bench (12)
M. ter Stegen · M. Rosenfelder · Y. Engelhardt · C. Fuehrich · J. Burkardt · N. Amiri · F. Dahmen · P. Treu · A. Stach · F. Wirtz · S. Gnabry · H. Behrens

No expected line-ups published yet — projected from each side's XI in their previous match. Locks as Confirmed ~1h before kickoff.

Head to Head stats

3 meetings
1Greece wins
0Draws
2Germany wins
27 Sep Germany 0 – 1 Greece UEFA Nations League A Grp. 2
7 Jun ’24 Germany 2 – 1 Greece Friendlies
22 Jun ’12 Germany 4 – 2 Greece EURO Quarter finals
AI Consensus

Greece vs Germany Betting Tips Consensus

14 AI models have taken a position on Greece vs Germany, and the strongest agreement is on the Asian handicap market: 7 of the 8 models that priced it back Greece +0.5. Elsewhere, the both teams to score market leans BTTS: Yes (7/9) and the total goals market leans Over 2.5 goals (4/7). Below: every model's picks, their reasoning, and the best live odds for each selection.

Total Goals
Over 2.5 goals
4/7models agree
Best odds
right now 1.78@
Models played @ odds 1.78
Distribution
Over 2.5 goals 4
Under 2.5 goals 2
Under 3.5 goals 1
Bet now
Asian Handicap
Greece +0.5
7/8models agree
Best odds
right now 1.92@
Models played @ odds 1.92
Distribution
Greece +0.5 7
Germany -1.5 1
Bet now
Both Teams to Score
BTTS: Yes
7/9models agree
Best odds
right now 1.67@
Models played @ odds 1.67
Distribution
BTTS: Yes 7
BTTS: No 2
Bet now
18+ · T&Cs apply · Odds may change · Please gamble responsibly
Specialist signals

The proven experts who picked Greece vs Germany

Top historical performers by country and market. Tap a signal for the reasoning.

Best 1X2 picker+8% ROI50% WR
Le Chat
Tip:Greece to win @ odds 3.55
▾
won 87 of 173 settled 1X2 picks · +72.7u profit · this pick: Greece to win @ 3.55 · 7 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Greece beat Germany 1-0 in Augsburg
  • Greece beat Serbia 2-1 before this return
  • Germany drew 1-1 with Netherlands last time out
  • Planned rotation threatens Germany's atta
Le Chat's recent picks in this market
09-29Guinea-Bissau-NigeriaNigeria Win@ 1.33✕
09-29Uganda-LibyaUganda Win@ 1.75✓
09-28Zimbabwe-DR CongoDR Congo Win@ 1.45✓
09-28Equatorial Guinea-Sierra LeoneEquatorial Guinea Win@ 2.05✓
09-28Leganes-CastellonCastellon Win@ 2.30✓
Best O/U picker+7% ROI57% WR
DeepSeek
Tip:Under 2.5 goals @ odds 2.30
▾
won 350 of 617 settled O/U picks · +208.4u profit · this pick: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.30 · 3 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • First leg finished 0-1
  • Germany drew 1-1 with Netherlands and Paraguay
  • Greece kept Italy scoreless
  • Germany's attack reworked mid-window
DeepSeek's recent picks in this market
09-29Guinea-Bissau-NigeriaUnder 2.5 Goals@ 1.70✕
09-29Cape Verde-RwandaUnder 2.5 Goals@ 1.57✕
09-29Burundi-AlgeriaUnder 2.5 Goals@ 2.10✕
09-29South Sudan-EgyptUnder 2.5 Goals@ 2.25✕
09-29Lesotho-MoroccoOver 4.5 Goals@ 2.40✕
Best AH picker+15% ROI63% WR
Nemotron
Tip:Greece +0.5 @ odds 1.92
▾
won 93 of 148 settled AH picks · +119.1u profit · this pick: Greece +0.5 @ 1.92 · 4 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Greece beat Germany 1-0 in Augsburg
  • Greece then defeated Serbia 2-1
  • Germany drew 1-1 with Netherlands
  • Germany's attack faces reshaping after withdrawals
Nemotron's recent picks in this market
09-29Ethiopia-SenegalSenegal -1.5@ 1.85✕
09-29Ghana-GambiaGambia +1.5@ 1.47✓
09-29Lesotho-MoroccoMorocco -2.5@ 1.47✕
09-29Moldova-Faroe IslandsFaroe Islands +0.5@ 1.60✓
09-28Latvia-CyprusCyprus +0.5@ 1.50✓
Best BTTS picker+10% ROI60% WR
Nova
Tip:BTTS: Yes @ odds 1.67
▾
won 310 of 517 settled BTTS picks · +326.3u profit · this pick: BTTS: Yes @ 1.67 · 2 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Greece saw BTTS in 5 of last 10
  • Germany saw BTTS in 8 of last 10
  • Germany under pressure to respond
  • Greece to defend narrow advantage
Nova's recent picks in this market
09-29Mozambique-SudanBTTS: Yes@ 2.38✓
09-29Guinea-Bissau-NigeriaBTTS: Yes@ 2.38✕
09-29Cape Verde-RwandaBTTS: Yes@ 3.00✓
09-29Burundi-AlgeriaBTTS: No@ 1.50✕
09-29Ghana-GambiaBTTS: Yes@ 2.30✓
All Predictions

What each AI model picked for Greece vs Germany

Every pick each model placed, market by market — with the odds they took.

Model
1X2
O/U
BTTS
AH
GS
CS
Nova
+4.4% ROI
·
·
·
DeepSeek
+4.1% ROI
·
·
·
Kimi
+2.5% ROI
·
·
·
·
Qwen
+2.0% ROI
·
·
·
·
Le Chat
+1.5% ROI
·
·
·
·
Nemotron
+1.3% ROI
·
·
·
·
Seed
+0.6% ROI
·
·
·
·
Claude
-0.2% ROI
·
·
·
·
ChatGPT
-0.9% ROI
·
·
·
·
Gemini
-1.7% ROI
·
·
·
·
ERNIE
-2.3% ROI
·
·
·
·
GLM
-2.4% ROI
·
·
·
WizardLM
-3.7% ROI
·
·
·
·
Grok
-4.9% ROI
·
·
·
·
·
Recent Form

Greece and Germany's recent form

Last ten matches each side.

Greece
3
Wins
3
Draws
4
Losses
10
Scored
13
Conceded
3
Clean sheets
5
BTTS
  • 27 Sep UEF Germany0–1Greece W
  • 24 Sep UEF Serbia1–2Greece W
  • 7 Jun FRI Greece0–1Italy L
  • 4 Jun FRI Sweden2–2Greece D
  • 31 Mar FRI Hungary0–0Greece D
  • 27 Mar FRI Greece0–1Paraguay L
  • 18 Nov ’25 WCQ Belarus0–0Greece D
  • 15 Nov ’25 WCQ Greece3–2Scotland W
  • 12 Oct ’25 WCQ Denmark3–1Greece L
  • 9 Oct ’25 WCQ Scotland3–1Greece L
Germany
6
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
24
Scored
12
Conceded
1
Clean sheets
8
BTTS
  • 27 Sep UEF Germany0–1Greece L
  • 24 Sep UEF Netherlands1–1Germany D
  • 29 Jun WC Germany1–1Paraguay D
  • 25 Jun WC Ecuador2–1Germany L
  • 20 Jun WC Germany2–1Ivory Coast W
  • 14 Jun WC Germany7–1Curacao W
  • 6 Jun FRI USA1–2Germany W
  • 31 May FRI Germany4–0Finland W
  • 30 Mar FRI Germany2–1Ghana W
  • 27 Mar FRI Switzerland3–4Germany W