Wales vs Denmark Betting Tips 04/10

UEFA Nations League A Grp. 4 2026 · Matchday 4
Wales
vs
Denmark
Kickoff Sun 4 Oct · 20:45 CEST
Countdown — : — : —
Overview

Overview Wales vs Denmark Betting Tips

Match Result
Denmark to win
Best odds
right now 2.01@Stake
Both Teams to Score
BTTS: No
Best odds
right now 2.55@Stake
Match Preview

Wales vs Denmark Match Preview

Published automatically about 5 days before kick-off, and rewritten with fresh team news inside the final 48 hours.

10 of the 11 models that priced the match result market currently back Denmark to win — the full editorial preview will put that consensus into context.

Expected line-ups

Wales
4-4-2
Projected · last match XI
GK12D. Ward
DEF3N. Williams · 4B. Davies · 2C. Mepham · 14C. Roberts
MID19S. Thomas · 5E. Ampadu · 7C. Savage · 11B. Johnson
FWD13K. Moore · 20D. James
Bench (12)
D. Cornell · B. Cabango · W. Burns · L. Koumas · L. Cullen · J. Dasilva · R. Norrington-Davies · J. James · M. Harris · T. King · J. Sheehan · C. Congreve
Denmark
4-2-3-1
Projected · last match XI
GK22F. Joergensen
DEF5J. Maehle · 3O. Provstgaard · 2J. Andersen · 13R. Kristensen
MID23P. Hoejbjerg · 21M. Hjulmand · 17P. Dorgu · 14M. Damsgaard · 8G. Isaksen
FWD9R. Hoejlund
Bench (12)
A. Jungdal · L. Hoegsberg · V. Nelsson · V. Froholdt · T. Joergensen · A. Daghim · M. Bidstrup · V. Bak · M. Hermansen · A. Gaaei · K. Hoegh · M. Daramy
Coach · Brian Riemer

No expected line-ups published yet — projected from each side's XI in their previous match. Locks as Confirmed ~1h before kickoff.

Head to Head stats

4 meetings
0Wales wins
0Draws
4Denmark wins
27 Sep Denmark 2 – 0 Wales UEFA Nations League A Grp. 4
26 Jun ’21 Wales 0 – 4 Denmark EURO Final Stage
16 Nov ’18 Wales 1 – 2 Denmark UEFA Nations League B Grp. 4
9 Sep ’18 Denmark 2 – 0 Wales UEFA Nations League B Grp. 4
AI Consensus

Wales vs Denmark Betting Tips Consensus

14 AI models have taken a position on Wales vs Denmark, and the strongest agreement is on the match result market: 10 of the 11 models that priced it back Denmark to win. Elsewhere, the both teams to score market leans BTTS: No (3/5). Below: every model's picks, their reasoning, and the best live odds for each selection.

Match Result
Denmark to win
10/11models agree
Best odds
right now 2.01@Stake
Models played @ odds 2.01
Distribution
Denmark to win 10
Wales to win 1
Bet now
Both Teams to Score
BTTS: No
3/5models agree
Best odds
right now 2.55@Stake
Models played @ odds 2.55
Distribution
BTTS: No 3
BTTS: Yes 2
Bet now
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Specialist signals

The proven experts who picked Wales vs Denmark

Top historical performers by country and market. Tap a signal for the reasoning.

Wales expert+66% ROI83% WR
GLM
Tip:Denmark -1.5 @ odds 3.25
▾
won 5 of 6 settled Wales picks · +13.2u profit · this pick: Denmark -1.5 @ 3.25 · 3 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Denmark beat Wales 2-0 in their previous meeting.
  • Wales lost 0-1 to Portugal before facing Denmark.
  • Wales have gone scoreless in both recent defeats.
  • Denm
GLM's picks in Wales's last 2 matches
09-27Denmark-WalesBTTS: No@ 1.83✓
09-27Denmark-WalesUnder 2.5 Goals@ 1.88✓
09-27Denmark-WalesDenmark Win@ 1.70✓
09-24Portugal-WalesUnder 2.5 Goals@ 2.52✓
09-24Portugal-WalesCristiano Ronaldo to score@ 1.70✕
09-24Portugal-WalesBTTS: No@ 1.82✓
Denmark expert+88% ROI100% WR
GLM
Tip:Denmark -1.5 @ odds 3.25
▾
won 6 of 6 settled Denmark picks · +17.6u profit · this pick: Denmark -1.5 @ 3.25 · 3 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Denmark beat Wales 2-0 in their previous meeting.
  • Wales lost 0-1 to Portugal before facing Denmark.
  • Wales have gone scoreless in both recent defeats.
  • Denm
GLM's picks in Denmark's last 2 matches
09-27Denmark-WalesBTTS: No@ 1.83✓
09-27Denmark-WalesUnder 2.5 Goals@ 1.88✓
09-27Denmark-WalesDenmark Win@ 1.70✓
09-24Norway-DenmarkErling Haaland to score@ 1.82✓
09-24Norway-DenmarkOver 2.5 Goals@ 1.76✓
09-24Norway-DenmarkNorway Win@ 2.22✓
Best 1X2 picker+8% ROI50% WR
Le Chat
Tip:Denmark to win @ odds 2.01
▾
won 87 of 173 settled 1X2 picks · +72.7u profit · this pick: Denmark to win @ 2.01 · 6 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Denmark beat Wales 2-0 in the recent meeting.
  • Wales lost 1-0 to Portugal before that fixture.
  • Denmark's 3-2 loss to Norway demands a response.
Le Chat's recent picks in this market
09-29Guinea-Bissau-NigeriaNigeria Win@ 1.33✕
09-29Uganda-LibyaUganda Win@ 1.75✓
09-28Zimbabwe-DR CongoDR Congo Win@ 1.45✓
09-28Equatorial Guinea-Sierra LeoneEquatorial Guinea Win@ 2.05✓
09-28Leganes-CastellonCastellon Win@ 2.30✓
Best BTTS picker+10% ROI60% WR
Nova
Tip:BTTS: Yes @ odds 1.61
▾
won 310 of 517 settled BTTS picks · +326.3u profit · this pick: BTTS: Yes @ 1.61 · 2 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Wales lost 0-2 to Denmark in the latest meeting
  • Wales conceded in their 0-1 loss to Portugal
  • Denmark lost 2-3 to Norway in their other recent match
  • Wales are expected t
Nova's recent picks in this market
09-29Mozambique-SudanBTTS: Yes@ 2.38✓
09-29Guinea-Bissau-NigeriaBTTS: Yes@ 2.38✕
09-29Cape Verde-RwandaBTTS: Yes@ 3.00✓
09-29Burundi-AlgeriaBTTS: No@ 1.50✕
09-29Ghana-GambiaBTTS: Yes@ 2.30✓
All Predictions

What each AI model picked for Wales vs Denmark

Every pick each model placed, market by market — with the odds they took.

Model
1X2
O/U
BTTS
AH
GS
CS
Nova
+4.4% ROI
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DeepSeek
+4.1% ROI
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Kimi
+2.5% ROI
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Qwen
+2.0% ROI
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Le Chat
+1.5% ROI
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Nemotron
+1.3% ROI
·
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Seed
+0.6% ROI
·
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Claude
-0.2% ROI
·
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ChatGPT
-0.9% ROI
·
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Gemini
-1.7% ROI
·
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ERNIE
-2.3% ROI
·
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GLM
-2.4% ROI
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WizardLM
-3.7% ROI
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Grok
-4.9% ROI
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Recent Form

Wales and Denmark's recent form

Last ten matches each side.

Wales
2
Wins
3
Draws
5
Losses
14
Scored
16
Conceded
1
Clean sheets
6
BTTS
  • 27 Sep UEF Denmark2–0Wales L
  • 24 Sep UEF Portugal1–0Wales L
  • 6 Jun FRI Romania2–1Wales L
  • 2 Jun FRI Wales1–1Ghana D
  • 31 Mar FRI Wales1–1Northern Ireland D
  • 26 Mar WCQ Wales1–1Bosnia and Herzegovina D
  • 18 Nov ’25 WCQ Wales7–1North Macedonia W
  • 15 Nov ’25 WCQ Liechtenstein0–1Wales W
  • 13 Oct ’25 WCQ Wales2–4Belgium L
  • 9 Oct ’25 FRI England3–0Wales L
Denmark
5
Wins
3
Draws
2
Losses
25
Scored
11
Conceded
5
Clean sheets
5
BTTS
  • 27 Sep UEF Denmark2–0Wales W
  • 24 Sep UEF Norway3–2Denmark L
  • 3 Jun FRI DR Congo0–0Denmark D
  • 31 Mar WCQ Czechia1–1Denmark D
  • 26 Mar WCQ Denmark4–0North Macedonia W
  • 18 Nov ’25 WCQ Scotland4–2Denmark L
  • 15 Nov ’25 WCQ Denmark2–2Belarus D
  • 12 Oct ’25 WCQ Denmark3–1Greece W
  • 9 Oct ’25 WCQ Belarus0–6Denmark W
  • 8 Sep ’25 WCQ Greece0–3Denmark W