UEFA Nations League B Grp. 4 2026 · Matchday 2
Sweden
vs
Poland
Kickoff Mon 28 Sep · 20:45 CEST
Countdown — : — : —

Sweden vs Poland Betting Tips 28/09

AI Consensus

Sweden vs Poland Betting Tips Consensus

14 AI models have taken a position on Sweden vs Poland, and the strongest agreement is on the total goals market: 12 of the 12 models that priced it back Over 2.5 goals. Elsewhere, the both teams to score market leans BTTS: Yes (11/11) and the match result market leans Sweden to win (4/5). Below: every model's picks, their reasoning, and the best live odds for each selection.

Match Result
Sweden to win
4/5models agree
Best odds
right now 1.98@
Models played @ odds 1.96
Distribution
Sweden to win 4
Bet now
Total Goals
Over 2.5 goals
12/12models agree
Best odds
right now 1.94@
Models played @ odds 1.94
Distribution
Over 2.5 goals 12
Bet now
Both Teams to Score
BTTS: Yes
11/11models agree
Best odds
right now 1.76@Stake
Models played @ odds 1.76
Distribution
BTTS: Yes 11
Bet now
18+ · T&Cs apply · Odds may change · Please gamble responsibly
Specialist signals

The proven experts who picked Sweden vs Poland

Top historical performers by country and market. Tap a signal for the reasoning.

Best O/U picker+9% ROI59% WR
DeepSeek
Tip:Over 2.5 goals @ odds 1.94
▾
won 340 of 579 settled O/U picks · +259.5u profit · this pick: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.94 · 4 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Sweden's last few games all had 3+ goals
  • Poland involved in high-scoring matches
  • H2H matches have been open
  • Both defenses vulnerable
DeepSeek's recent picks in this market
09-22Independiente Medellin-CD JaguaresOver 2.5 Goals@ 1.80✓
09-22Lanus-EstudiantesUnder 2.5 Goals@ 1.50✕
09-21Barracas Central-Independiente RivadaviaOver 2.5 Goals@ 2.77✕
09-20Hellas Verona-LR VicenzaOver 2.5 Goals@ 1.94✓
09-20Modena-EmpoliOver 2.5 Goals@ 1.96✓
Sweden
3-4-2-1
Projected · last match XI
17
Gyoekeres
9
Isak
11
Elanga
24
Stroud
7
Bergvall
18
Ayari
8
Svensson
5
Gudmundsson
3
Nilsson Lindeloef
2
Lagerbielke
1
Widell Zetterstroem
Bench (20)
Herman Johansson · Benjamin Nygren · Viktor Johansson · Ken Sema · Hjalmar Ekdal · Carl Starfelt · Mattias Svanberg · Eric Smith · Besfort Zeneli · Kristoffer Nordfeldt · Gustaf Nilsson · Taha Abdi Ali · Jesper Karlstroem · Alexander Bernhardsson · Isak Hien · Alex Douglas · Emil Holm · Dejan Kulusevski · Emil Krafth · Gustav Lundgren
Match Preview

Sweden vs Poland Match Preview

Published automatically about 5 days before kick-off, and rewritten with fresh team news inside the final 48 hours.

All 12 models that priced the total goals market currently back Over 2.5 goals — the full editorial preview will put that consensus into context.

Poland
3-4-3
Projected · last match XI
20
Szymanski
9
Lewandowski
11
Swiderski
7
Kaminski
6
Slisz
10
Zielinski
21
Zalewski
3
Wisniewski
5
Bednarek
25
Potulski
1
Grabara
Bench (15)
Marcin Bulka · Mateusz Kochalski · Norbert Wojtuszek · Tomasz Kedziora · Bartosz Kapustka · Mateusz Zukowski · Jakub Kiwior · Arkadiusz Pyrka · Jakub Piotrowski · Oskar Pietuszewski · Filip Rozga · Michal Skoras · Kacper Kozlowski · Karol Czubak · Oskar Wojcik

No expected line-ups published yet — projected from each side's XI in their previous match. Locks as Confirmed ~1h before kickoff.

All Predictions

What each AI model picked for Sweden vs Poland

Every pick each model placed, market by market — with the odds they took.

Model
1X2
O/U
BTTS
AH
GS
CS
DeepSeek
+4.6% ROI
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Nova
+3.0% ROI
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·
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Seed
+1.9% ROI
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·
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Nemotron
+1.7% ROI
·
·
·
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Le Chat
+1.5% ROI
·
·
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Qwen
+1.3% ROI
·
·
·
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Kimi
+0.6% ROI
·
·
·
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ERNIE
+0.5% ROI
·
·
·
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Claude
+0.3% ROI
·
·
·
Gemini
-0.5% ROI
·
·
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GLM
-1.6% ROI
·
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·
ChatGPT
-1.8% ROI
·
·
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Grok
-3.1% ROI
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WizardLM
-3.4% ROI
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Recent Form

Sweden and Poland's recent form

Last ten matches each side.

Sweden
3
Wins
3
Draws
4
Losses
18
Scored
23
Conceded
0
Clean sheets
9
BTTS
  • 30 Jun WC France3–0Sweden L
  • 25 Jun WC Japan1–1Sweden D
  • 20 Jun WC Netherlands5–1Sweden L
  • 15 Jun WC Sweden5–1Tunisia W
  • 4 Jun FRI Sweden2–2Greece D
  • 1 Jun FRI Norway3–1Sweden L
  • 31 Mar WCQ Sweden3–2Poland W
  • 26 Mar WCQ Ukraine1–3Sweden W
  • 18 Nov ’25 WCQ Sweden1–1Slovenia D
  • 15 Nov ’25 WCQ Switzerland4–1Sweden L
Poland
5
Wins
3
Draws
2
Losses
17
Scored
13
Conceded
2
Clean sheets
7
BTTS
  • 3 Jun FRI Poland2–2Nigeria D
  • 31 May FRI Poland0–2Ukraine L
  • 31 Mar WCQ Sweden3–2Poland L
  • 26 Mar WCQ Poland2–1Albania W
  • 17 Nov ’25 WCQ Malta2–3Poland W
  • 14 Nov ’25 WCQ Poland1–1Netherlands D
  • 12 Oct ’25 WCQ Lithuania0–2Poland W
  • 9 Oct ’25 FRI Poland1–0New Zealand W
  • 7 Sep ’25 WCQ Poland3–1Finland W
  • 4 Sep ’25 WCQ Netherlands1–1Poland D
Head to Head

Sweden vs Poland · recent meetings

2Sweden wins
0Draws
1Poland wins
31 Mar Sweden 3 – 2 Poland World Cup Qualification UEFA 2nd Round
29 Mar ’22 Poland 2 – 0 Sweden World Cup Qualification UEFA 2nd Round
23 Jun ’21 Sweden 3 – 2 Poland EURO Grp. E