UEFA Nations League C Grp. 4 2026 · Matchday 1
Iceland
vs
Estonia
Kickoff Sat 26 Sep · 18:00 CEST
Countdown — : — : —

Iceland vs Estonia Betting Tips 26/09

AI Consensus

Iceland vs Estonia Betting Tips Consensus

10 AI models have taken a position on Iceland vs Estonia, and the strongest agreement is on the Asian handicap market: 4 of the 5 models that priced it back Estonia +1.5. Elsewhere, the both teams to score market leans BTTS: No (5/7) and the total goals market leans Under 2.5 goals (3/5). Below: every model's picks, their reasoning, and the best live odds for each selection.

Total Goals
Under 2.5 goals
3/5models agree
Best odds
right now 2.10@
Models played @ odds 2.10
Distribution
Under 2.5 goals 3
Over 2.5 goals 1
Under 3.5 goals 1
Bet now
Asian Handicap
Estonia +1.5
4/5models agree
Best odds
right now 1.90@
Models played @ odds 1.87
Distribution
Estonia +1.5 4
Estonia +0.5 1
Bet now
Both Teams to Score
BTTS: No
5/7models agree
Best odds
right now 1.67@
Models played @ odds 1.67–1.73
Distribution
BTTS: No 5
BTTS: Yes 2
Bet now
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Specialist signals

The proven experts who picked Iceland vs Estonia

Top historical performers by country and market. Tap a signal for the reasoning.

Best O/U picker+10% ROI59% WR
DeepSeek
Tip:Under 2.5 goals @ odds 2.10
▾
won 341 of 579 settled O/U picks · +276.2u profit · this pick: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.10 · 4 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Iceland lost 0-3 to Argentina without scoring.
  • Japan beat Iceland 1-0 in another shutout.
  • Estonia beat Lithuania and Faroe Islands 1-0.
  • The 2023 meeting ended Iceland 1-1
DeepSeek's recent picks in this market
09-20Hellas Verona-LR VicenzaOver 2.5 Goals@ 1.94✓
09-20Modena-EmpoliOver 2.5 Goals@ 1.96✓
09-20Mantova-PisaUnder 2.5 Goals@ 1.88✕
09-20S.S. Arezzo-SudtirolUnder 2.5 Goals@ 1.65✕
09-20Vitoria de Guimaraes-MoreirenseUnder 2.5 Goals@ 1.92✓
Best AH picker+18% ROI63% WR
Nemotron
Tip:Estonia +1.5 @ odds 1.87
▾
won 99 of 158 settled AH picks · +155.0u profit · this pick: Estonia +1.5 @ 1.87 · 3 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Estonia beat Lithuania 1-0 in their latest match.
  • Faroe Islands also lost 1-0 to Estonia.
  • Iceland lost 1-0 to Japan without scoring.
  • Vlasiy Sinyavs
Nemotron's recent picks in this market
09-20Santa Clara-BragaSanta Clara +0.5@ 1.76✓
09-20Arminia Bielefeld-FC HeidenheimFC Heidenheim +0.5@ 1.82✓
09-20Bayer Leverkusen-RB LeipzigBayer Leverkusen -1.5@ 3.30✓
09-20Sabadell-Real OviedoReal Oviedo +0.5@ 1.60✕
09-20Wolverhampton Wanderers-West Bromwich AlbionWest Bromwich Albion +0.5@ 2.08✕
Iceland
4-4-2
Projected · last match XI
7
Arnar Haraldsson
9
Oskarsson
19
Egill Ellertsson
8
Bergmann Johannesson
14
Fannar Baldursson
11
Gudmundsson
4
Palsson
3
Gretarsson
23
Magnusson
2
Tomasson
1
Olafsson
Bench (12)
Hakon Rafn Valdimarsson · Anton Ari Einarsson · Gisli Thordarson · Hjoertur Hermannsson · Gylfi Sigurdsson · Dagur Dan Thorhallsson · Kristall Mani Ingason · Aron Gunnarsson · Jon Thorsteinsson · Kristian Hlynsson · Arnor Sigurdsson · Daniel Gudjohnsen
Match Preview

Iceland vs Estonia Match Preview

Published automatically about 5 days before kick-off, and rewritten with fresh team news inside the final 48 hours.

4 of the 5 models that priced the Asian handicap market currently back Estonia +1.5 — the full editorial preview will put that consensus into context.

Estonia
4-2-3-1
Expected · official feed
9
Maennilaan
17
Miller
24
Kaeit
7
Saarma
10
Palumets
4
Soomets
19
Schjoenning-Larsen
18
Mets
2
Kuusk
6
Peetson
1
Hein
Bench (16)
Maksim Paskotsi · Maksimilian Skvortsov · Henri Anier · Erko Tougjas · Tanel Tammik · Joseph Saliste · Patrik Kristal · Frank Liivak · Karel Mustmaa · Markus Poom · Alex Tamm · Karl Andre Vallner · Matvei Igonen · Mihkel Ainsalu · Sander Alamaa · Vlasiy Sinyavskiy
Coach · Jurgen Henn

Official expected XI from the feed where published; otherwise projected from the side's previous match. Locks as Confirmed ~1h before kickoff.

All Predictions

What each AI model picked for Iceland vs Estonia

Every pick each model placed, market by market — with the odds they took.

Model
1X2
O/U
BTTS
AH
GS
CS
DeepSeek
+4.3% ROI
·
·
·
·
Le Chat
+2.1% ROI
·
·
·
·
Seed
+2.1% ROI
·
·
·
·
Nemotron
+2.0% ROI
·
·
·
Qwen
+1.0% ROI
·
·
·
·
Claude
+0.6% ROI
·
·
·
Gemini
-0.9% ROI
·
·
·
·
·
GLM
-1.3% ROI
·
·
·
ChatGPT
-1.8% ROI
·
·
·
·
Grok
-3.2% ROI
·
·
·
·
·
Recent Form

Iceland and Estonia's recent form

Last ten matches each side.

Iceland
1
Wins
3
Draws
6
Losses
11
Scored
22
Conceded
1
Clean sheets
5
BTTS
  • 10 Jun FRI Argentina3–0Iceland L
  • 31 May FRI Japan1–0Iceland L
  • 31 Mar FRI Haiti1–1Iceland D
  • 28 Mar FRI Canada2–2Iceland D
  • 26 Feb FRI Mexico4–0Iceland L
  • 16 Nov ’25 WCQ Ukraine2–0Iceland L
  • 13 Nov ’25 WCQ Azerbaijan0–2Iceland W
  • 13 Oct ’25 WCQ Iceland2–2France D
  • 10 Oct ’25 WCQ Iceland3–5Ukraine L
  • 9 Sep ’25 WCQ France2–1Iceland L
Estonia
3
Wins
3
Draws
4
Losses
10
Scored
18
Conceded
3
Clean sheets
5
BTTS
  • 9 Jun FRI Estonia1–0Lithuania W
  • 6 Jun FRI Estonia1–0Faroe Islands W
  • 30 Mar FRI Rwanda2–0Estonia L
  • 27 Mar FRI Kenya1–1Estonia D
  • 18 Nov ’25 FRI Cyprus2–4Estonia W
  • 13 Nov ’25 WCQ Norway4–1Estonia L
  • 14 Oct ’25 WCQ Estonia1–1Moldova D
  • 11 Oct ’25 WCQ Estonia1–3Italy L
  • 9 Sep ’25 FRI Estonia0–0Andorra D
  • 5 Sep ’25 WCQ Italy5–0Estonia L
Head to Head

Iceland vs Estonia · recent meetings

1Iceland wins
3Draws
0Estonia wins
8 Jan ’23 Iceland 1 – 1 Estonia Friendlies
15 Jan ’19 Estonia 0 – 0 Iceland Friendlies
31 Mar ’15 Estonia 1 – 1 Iceland Friendlies
4 Jun ’14 Iceland 1 – 0 Estonia Friendlies