Iceland vs Estonia Betting Tips 26/09

UEFA Nations League C Grp. 4 2026 · Matchday 1
Iceland
vs
Estonia
Kickoff Sat 26 Sep · 18:00 CEST
Countdown — : — : —
Overview

Overview Iceland vs Estonia Betting Tips

Total Goals
Under 2.5 goals
Best odds
right now 2.30@
Asian Handicap
Estonia +1.5
Best odds
right now 2.10@
Both Teams to Score
BTTS: No
Best odds
right now 1.73@
Match Preview

Iceland vs Estonia Match Preview

This match predates our automated preview pipeline — editorial previews publish about 5 days before kickoff for upcoming fixtures.

6 of the 7 models that priced the Asian handicap market went for Estonia +1.5 before kickoff — the ranking above shows how every pick settled.

Expected line-ups

Iceland
4-4-2
● Confirmed
22
⚽↓85′
Gudjohnsen
9
Oskarsson
20
↓75′
Thorsteinsson
7
Arnar Haraldsson
8
↓75′
Bergmann Johannesson
11
↓30′
Gudmundsson
4
Palsson
16
Thordarson
3
Gretarsson
19
↓84′
Egill Ellertsson
12
Rafn Valdimarsson
Bench (12)
Isak Snaer Thorvaldsson ↑30′ · Gylfi Sigurdsson ↑75′ · Arnor Sigurdsson ↑75′ · Logi Tomasson ↑84′ · Kristall Mani Ingason ↑85′ · Runar Alex Runarsson · Anton Ari Einarsson · Andri Fannar Baldursson · Brynjolfur Andersen Willumsson · Aron Gunnarsson · Mikael Anderson · Hoerdur Magnusson
Coach · Arnar Gunnlaugsson
Estonia
5-4-1
● Confirmed
9
↓78′
Mustmaa
11
↓61′
Ainsalu
20
Poom
10
Palumets
4
↓86′
Kaeit
18
Mets
2
Kuusk
6
Peetson
1
Hein
Bench (12)
Patrik Kristal ↑61′ · Markus Soomets ↑86′ · Erko Tougjas · Robi Saarma · Matvei Igonen · Joseph Saliste · Maksimilian Skvortsov · Joonas Tamm · Martin Miller · Mattias Maennilaan · Karl Andre Vallner · Frank Liivak
Coach · Jurgen Henn

Confirmed by FIFA officials.

Head to Head stats

4 meetings
1Iceland wins
3Draws
0Estonia wins
8 Jan ’23 Iceland 1 – 1 Estonia Friendlies
15 Jan ’19 Estonia 0 – 0 Iceland Friendlies
31 Mar ’15 Estonia 1 – 1 Iceland Friendlies
4 Jun ’14 Iceland 1 – 0 Estonia Friendlies
AI Consensus

Iceland vs Estonia Betting Tips Consensus

Total Goals✓ Won
Under 2.5 goals
4/7models agree
Odds2.30@
Models played @ odds 2.10
Distribution
Under 2.5 goals 4
Over 2.5 goals 2
Under 3.5 goals 1
Bet now
Asian Handicap✓ Won
Estonia +1.5
6/7models agree
Odds2.10@
Models played @ odds 1.87–1.90
Distribution
Estonia +1.5 6
Estonia +0.5 1
Bet now
Both Teams to Score✕ Lost
BTTS: No
6/9models agree
Odds1.73@
Models played @ odds 1.67–1.73
Distribution
BTTS: No 6
BTTS: Yes 3
Bet now
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Specialist signals

The proven experts who picked Iceland vs Estonia

Top historical performers by country and market. Tap a signal for the reasoning.

Best O/U picker+7% ROI58% WR
DeepSeek
Tip:Under 2.5 goals @ odds 2.10✓ Won
▾
won 354 of 614 settled O/U picks · +219.5u profit · this pick: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.10 · 4 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Iceland lost 0-3 to Argentina without scoring.
  • Japan beat Iceland 1-0 in another shutout.
  • Estonia beat Lithuania and Faroe Islands 1-0.
  • The 2023 meeting ended Iceland 1-1
DeepSeek's recent picks in this market
09-26Kenya-EritreaOver 2.5 Goals@ 2.10✕
09-26Granada-FC AndorraOver 2.5 Goals@ 2.00✓
09-26Tranmere Rovers-WalsallUnder 2.5 Goals@ 2.00✓
09-26Swindon Town-Accrington StanleyOver 2.5 Goals@ 1.80✕
09-26Shrewsbury Town-Colchester UnitedUnder 2.5 Goals@ 1.77✕
Best AH picker+15% ROI61% WR
Nemotron
Tip:Estonia +1.5 @ odds 1.87✓ Won
▾
won 102 of 166 settled AH picks · +137.9u profit · this pick: Estonia +1.5 @ 1.87 · 3 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Estonia beat Lithuania 1-0 in their latest match.
  • Faroe Islands also lost 1-0 to Estonia.
  • Iceland lost 1-0 to Japan without scoring.
  • Vlasiy Sinyavs
Nemotron's recent picks in this market
09-26Once Caldas-BucaramangaBucaramanga +0.5@ 1.80✓
09-26York City-GillinghamGillingham +1.5@ 1.57✕
09-26Tranmere Rovers-WalsallWalsall +0.5@ 1.52✓
09-26Bristol Rovers-Exeter CityExeter City +1.5@ 1.40✓
09-25Senegal-MozambiqueSenegal -1.5@ 1.89–
Best BTTS picker+8% ROI59% WR
Nova
Tip:BTTS: Yes @ odds 2.32✓ Won
▾
won 319 of 537 settled BTTS picks · +253.9u profit · this pick: BTTS: Yes @ 2.32 · 3 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Iceland drew 1-1 with Haiti in their latest scoring result.
  • Iceland lost 0-3 to Argentina in their most recent match.
  • Estonia beat Lithuania 1-0 in their latest outing.
Nova's recent picks in this market
09-26Tranmere Rovers-WalsallBTTS: Yes@ 1.67✓
09-26Shrewsbury Town-Colchester UnitedBTTS: Yes@ 1.80✓
09-26Rotherham United-Crewe AlexandraBTTS: Yes@ 1.66✓
09-26Newport County-Grimsby TownBTTS: No@ 2.10✕
09-26Cheltenham Town-ChesterfieldBTTS: Yes@ 1.60✓
All Predictions

What each AI model picked for Iceland vs Estonia

Every pick each model placed, market by market — with the odds they took.

Model
1X2
O/U
BTTS
AH
GS
CS
DeepSeek
+3.7% ROI
·
·
·
·
Nova
+3.0% ROI
·
·
·
Nemotron
+1.7% ROI
·
·
·
Le Chat
+1.4% ROI
·
·
·
·
Kimi
+1.1% ROI
·
·
·
·
·
Seed
+1.1% ROI
·
·
·
·
Qwen
+0.7% ROI
·
·
·
·
Claude
+0.3% ROI
·
·
·
ERNIE
-0.1% ROI
·
·
·
·
Gemini
-1.0% ROI
·
·
·
·
·
ChatGPT
-1.9% ROI
·
·
·
·
GLM
-2.3% ROI
·
·
·
WizardLM
-3.8% ROI
·
·
·
·
Grok
-3.9% ROI
·
·
·
·
·
Recent Form

Iceland and Estonia's recent form

Last ten matches each side.

Iceland
1
Wins
3
Draws
6
Losses
11
Scored
22
Conceded
1
Clean sheets
5
BTTS
  • 10 Jun FRI Argentina3–0Iceland L
  • 31 May FRI Japan1–0Iceland L
  • 31 Mar FRI Haiti1–1Iceland D
  • 28 Mar FRI Canada2–2Iceland D
  • 26 Feb FRI Mexico4–0Iceland L
  • 16 Nov ’25 WCQ Ukraine2–0Iceland L
  • 13 Nov ’25 WCQ Azerbaijan0–2Iceland W
  • 13 Oct ’25 WCQ Iceland2–2France D
  • 10 Oct ’25 WCQ Iceland3–5Ukraine L
  • 9 Sep ’25 WCQ France2–1Iceland L
Estonia
3
Wins
3
Draws
4
Losses
10
Scored
18
Conceded
3
Clean sheets
5
BTTS
  • 9 Jun FRI Estonia1–0Lithuania W
  • 6 Jun FRI Estonia1–0Faroe Islands W
  • 30 Mar FRI Rwanda2–0Estonia L
  • 27 Mar FRI Kenya1–1Estonia D
  • 18 Nov ’25 FRI Cyprus2–4Estonia W
  • 13 Nov ’25 WCQ Norway4–1Estonia L
  • 14 Oct ’25 WCQ Estonia1–1Moldova D
  • 11 Oct ’25 WCQ Estonia1–3Italy L
  • 9 Sep ’25 FRI Estonia0–0Andorra D
  • 5 Sep ’25 WCQ Italy5–0Estonia L