08-15Excelsior-PSV EindhovenNoah Naujoks to score@ 3.50–
08-15Excelsior-PSV EindhovenBTTS: Yes@ 1.45✓
08-15Excelsior-PSV EindhovenOver 3.5 Goals@ 1.95✕
Best BTTS picker+7% ROI60% WR
Nemotron
Tip:BTTS: Yes @ odds 1.67✓ Won
▾
won 570 of 949 settled BTTS picks · +258.0u profit · this pick: BTTS: Yes @ 1.67 · 4 units
⚡ Why this pick
Ajax attack remains dangerously potent throughout
Excelsior score in most away games
Both teams find the net on regular basis
Rotation won't halt Ajax attacking threat
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💎 Value Pick High odds · high consensus✕ Lost
David Garden to score @ 4.00
5/6Models agree
83%Agreement
@ 4.00Avg odds
5 of 6 models who weighed this market converged on the same longshot pick — at average odds of 4.00. High-odds consensus is rare; when it does cluster, it's a stronger expected-value signal than a banker pick because the implied probability still leaves room above the true probability the models assign.
Ajax
4-3-3
● Confirmed
10
Gloukh
9
↓62′
Dolberg
11
↓61′
Tsigankov
8
⚽
Brandt
24
↓76′
Mokio
18
↓77′
Klaassen
12
↓23′
Henrique
15
Baas
6
Kehrer
3
Gaaei
1
ter Stegen
Bench (17)
Owen Wijndal ↑23′ · Oliver Edvardsen ↑61′ · Tolu Arokodare ↑62′⚽ · Sofyan Amrabat ↑76′ · Abdellah Ouazane ↑77′ · Lucas Rosa · Jofre Torrents · Maarten Paes · Dies Janse · Marcos Leonardo · Rayane Bounida · Charlie Setford · Rayane Bounida · Simon Adingra · Jan Faberski · Aaron Bouwman · Daley Blind
Coach · Michel
Match Preview
Ajax vs Excelsior Match Preview
AI-written editorial preview · updated 2026-09-17 21:12 UTC
Ajax look to extend scoring streak against visiting Excelsior
Ajax and Excelsior arrive at the Johan Cruijff ArenA this Saturday for matchday 7 of the Eredivisie, each looking to stamp their authority on the league campaign. The hosts enter the clash following a productive spell of attacking football, while the visitors arrive eager to bounce back from a narrow defeat in their most recent outing.
Ajax's surge in momentum
Ajax have navigated a demanding start to the season, balancing domestic duties with successful progress through their European qualification ties. Their recent form has been defined by a ruthless streak in front of goal, highlighted by consecutive five-goal hauls against Fortuna Sittard and Willem II. With Julian Brandt finding the back of the net consistently and Davy Klaassen providing a creative spark, the team has shown a dangerous ability to capitalize on late-game opportunities.
Excelsior's path to the ArenA
Excelsior have enjoyed a largely positive run, showing resilience and a clear attacking intent throughout their opening fixtures. Their recent form includes a commanding victory over Cambuur and a hard-fought draw against NEC Nijmegen, demonstrating that they are capable of finding the net against diverse opposition. Despite a recent setback against FC Utrecht, the side remains a threat, particularly through the playmaking of Irakli Yegoian, who has been central to their offensive output.
Team news and expected lineups
Ajax are expected to field Maarten Paes in goal, with a defensive line featuring Lucas Rosa, Thilo Kehrer, Youri Baas, and Owen Wijndal. The midfield engine room is expected to be anchored by Jorthy Mokio and Davy Klaassen, supporting a forward-thinking setup that includes Julian Brandt, Steven Berghuis, Kasper Dolberg, and Oscar Gloukh. Aaron Bouwman remains sidelined for the hosts due to injury.
Excelsior are expected to line up with Stijn van Gassel in goal behind a defensive unit of Casper Widell, Jan Plug, Kasey Bos, and Rick Meissen. The midfield is expected to feature Aymen Sliti, Irakli Yegoian, and Lennard Hartjes, tasked with supporting a front three of Eric da Silva Moreira, David Garden, and Agust Thorsteinsson. Both sides will look to leverage their depth as the game progresses into the final stages.
History between the sides
Recent meetings between these two clubs have been remarkably competitive and high-scoring affairs. While Ajax secured a 4-1 victory in January 2023, the subsequent four encounters have all ended in draws or a narrow win for Excelsior, including a 2-2 stalemate in February 2026. This history suggests that the visitors have found a tactical rhythm that often disrupts the traditional flow of the game at the Johan Cruijff ArenA.
The tactical challenge ahead
With both teams showing a tendency to score late in their recent matches, the closing minutes of Saturday's encounter could prove decisive. Ajax will aim to dictate the tempo and control possession in front of their home support, while Excelsior will look to exploit any gaps in transition. The ability of the respective midfields to sustain intensity will likely determine which side manages to secure the points in this matchday 7 clash.
Excelsior
4-3-3
● Confirmed
30
↓71′
Thorsteinsson
19
↓85′
Garden
7
⚽↓71′
Sliti
20
⚽
Hartjes
3
Meissen
8
Yegoian
15
Janssen
14
Plug
4
Widell
2
↓65′
da Silva Moreira
1
van Gassel
Bench (10)
Kasey Bos ↑65′ · Alireza Jahanbakhsh ↑71′ · Ilano Silva Timas ↑71′ · Mario Dominguez ↑85′ · Daniel van Vianen · Celton Biai · Valentin Sulzbacher · Osman Mohamed Turay · Guilliano Cairo · Nesto Groen
Coach · Ruben den Uil
Confirmed by FIFA officials.
All Predictions
What each AI model picked for Ajax vs Excelsior
Every pick each model placed, market by market — with the odds they took.
