FC Groningen vs Ajax Betting Tips 18/10

Eredivisie 2026 · Matchday 9
FC Groningen
vs
Ajax
Kickoff Sun 18 Oct · 16:45 CEST
Countdown — : — : —
Overview

Overview FC Groningen vs Ajax Betting Tips

Match Result
Ajax to win
Best odds
right now 1.83@
Total Goals
Over 3.5 goals
Best odds
right now 1.94@
Both Teams to Score
BTTS: Yes
Best odds
right now 1.40@
Match Preview

FC Groningen vs Ajax Match Preview

Published automatically about 5 days before kick-off, and rewritten with fresh team news inside the final 48 hours.

All 7 models that priced the both teams to score market currently back BTTS: Yes — the full editorial preview will put that consensus into context.

Expected line-ups

FC Groningen
4-2-3-1
Expected · official feed
GK1E. Vaessen
DEF33H. Hateboer · 5M. Rente · 3T. Blokzijl · 14J. Schreuders
MID24P. Clement · 8T. de Jonge · 11J. Ondrejka · 26T. van Bergen · 17D. van der Werff
FWD9B. Willumsson
Bench (10)
W. Prins · M. Csinger · L. Stubljar · A. Nordin · T. Land · O. Zawada · N. Eggens · P. Boevink · R. Metu · J. Mosselaar
Coach · Dick Lukkien
Ajax
4-3-3
Expected · official feed
GK1M. ter Stegen
DEF5O. Wijndal · 15Y. Baas · 6T. Kehrer · 2L. Rosa
MID8J. Brandt · 4S. Amrabat · 24J. Mokio
FWD10O. Gloukh · 99T. Arokodare · 11V. Tsigankov
Bench (12)
S. Adingra · D. Klaassen · O. Edvardsen · J. Torrents · M. Paes · Y. Bissouma · A. Bouwman · D. Janse · M. Leonardo · R. Bounida · C. Setford · A. Ouazane
Coach · Michel

Official expected line-ups for this match from the data feed. Locks as Confirmed ~1h before kickoff.

Head to Head stats

10 meetings
1FC Groningen wins
1Draws
8Ajax wins
21 May Ajax 2 – 0 FC Groningen Eredivisie ECL Playoff
7 Mar FC Groningen 3 – 1 Ajax Eredivisie
2 Dec ’25 Ajax 2 – 0 FC Groningen Eredivisie
14 May ’25 FC Groningen 2 – 2 Ajax Eredivisie
6 Oct ’24 Ajax 3 – 1 FC Groningen Eredivisie
16 May ’23 FC Groningen 2 – 3 Ajax Eredivisie
14 Aug ’22 Ajax 6 – 1 FC Groningen Eredivisie
2 Apr ’22 FC Groningen 1 – 3 Ajax Eredivisie
25 Sep ’21 Ajax 3 – 0 FC Groningen Eredivisie
7 Mar ’21 Ajax 3 – 1 FC Groningen Eredivisie
AI Consensus

FC Groningen vs Ajax Betting Tips Consensus

12 AI models have taken a position on FC Groningen vs Ajax, and the strongest agreement is on the both teams to score market: 7 of the 7 models that priced it back BTTS: Yes. Elsewhere, the total goals market leans Over 3.5 goals (5/5) and the goalscorer market leans Thom van Bergen to score (3/3). Below: every model's picks, their reasoning, and the best live odds for each selection.

Match Result
Ajax to win
4/7models agree
Best odds
right now 1.83@
Models played @ odds 1.83
Distribution
Ajax to win 4
Bet now
Total Goals
Over 3.5 goals
5/5models agree
Best odds
right now 1.94@
Models played @ odds 1.93–1.94
Distribution
Over 3.5 goals 5
Bet now
Both Teams to Score
BTTS: Yes
7/7models agree
Best odds
right now 1.40@
Models played @ odds 1.40
Distribution
BTTS: Yes 7
Bet now
18+ · T&Cs apply · Odds may change · Please gamble responsibly
Specialist signals

The proven experts who picked FC Groningen vs Ajax

Top historical performers by country and market. Tap a signal for the reasoning.

FC Groningen expert+60% ROI75% WR
GLM
Tip:Over 3.5 goals @ odds 1.94
▾
won 9 of 12 settled FC Groningen picks · +23.9u profit · this pick: Over 3.5 goals @ 1.94 · 4 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Groningen routed Excelsior 5-1 in their latest outing.
  • Ajax beat Willem II 5-1 in their recent win.
  • Tolu Arokodare is expected to lead Ajax's attack.
  • Thom van B
GLM's picks in FC Groningen's last 4 matches
10-11Excelsior-FC GroningenFC Groningen +0.5@ 1.58✓
10-11Excelsior-FC GroningenBTTS: Yes@ 1.50✓
10-11Excelsior-FC GroningenOver 2.5 goals@ 1.60✓
09-18FC Groningen-PEC ZwolleBTTS: Yes@ 1.51✕
09-18FC Groningen-PEC ZwolleBrynjolfur Andersen Willumsson to score@ 2.30✕
09-18FC Groningen-PEC ZwolleFC Groningen to win@ 1.69✓
09-12Go Ahead Eagles-FC GroningenDraw@ 3.90✓
09-12Go Ahead Eagles-FC GroningenOver 2.5 goals@ 1.52✕
09-12Go Ahead Eagles-FC GroningenBTTS: Yes@ 1.45✓
09-06FC Groningen-FC TwenteOver 2.5 goals@ 1.56✓
09-06FC Groningen-FC TwenteMarko Pjaca to score@ 4.20✓
09-06FC Groningen-FC TwenteBTTS: Yes@ 1.50✓
Ajax expert+83% ROI80% WR
Gemini
Tip:Over 3.5 goals @ odds 1.93
▾
won 8 of 10 settled Ajax picks · +41.6u profit · this pick: Over 3.5 goals @ 1.93 · 4 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Groningen dispatched Excelsior 5-1 in their last match.
  • Ajax put five past Willem II recently.
  • Both teams have shown a tendency to concede.
Gemini's picks in Ajax's last 5 matches
10-10Ajax-NEC NijmegenJulian Brandt to score@ 2.60✕
10-10Ajax-NEC NijmegenAjax -1.5@ 1.85✕
09-19Ajax-ExcelsiorAymen Sliti to score@ 6.50✓
09-19Ajax-ExcelsiorOver 3.5 goals@ 1.83✓
09-15Ajax-Willem IIOver 3.5 goals@ 1.66✓
09-15Ajax-Willem IIAjax -2.5@ 2.18✓
09-12Fortuna Sittard-AjaxAjax to win@ 1.60✓
09-12Fortuna Sittard-AjaxOver 2.5 goals@ 1.45✓
09-05Ajax-PSV EindhovenRicardo Pepi to score@ 2.05✓
09-05Ajax-PSV EindhovenOver 3.5 goals@ 1.88✓
Best 1X2 picker+18% ROI54% WR
Le Chat
Tip:Ajax to win @ odds 1.83
▾
won 178 of 332 settled 1X2 picks · +346.0u profit · this pick: Ajax to win @ 1.83 · 4 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Ajax drew 1-1 with NEC Nijmegen
  • Groningen demolished Excelsior 5-1
  • Ajax carry greater attacking depth
  • Midweek scheduling creates a late-game concern
Le Chat's recent picks in this market
10-12Famalicao-AlvercaFamalicao to win@ 1.87✕
10-12Real Valladolid-AlbaceteReal Valladolid to win@ 2.05✓
10-12Real Oviedo-EibarEibar to win@ 3.55✕
10-12America de Cali-Independiente MedellinAmerica de Cali to win@ 1.88✕
10-12Coventry City-Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United to win@ 2.18✕
All Predictions

What each AI model picked for FC Groningen vs Ajax

Every pick each model placed, market by market — with the odds they took.

Model
1X2
O/U
BTTS
AH
GS
CS
Nova
+2.1% ROI
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Kimi
+1.7% ROI
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Alibaba
+0.8% ROI
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Le Chat
+0.5% ROI
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Claude
+0.5% ROI
·
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Nemotron
-0.1% ROI
·
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ChatGPT
-0.5% ROI
·
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GLM
-2.0% ROI
·
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Gemini
-2.9% ROI
·
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WizardLM
-3.5% ROI
·
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ERNIE
-3.9% ROI
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Grok
-4.2% ROI
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Recent Form

FC Groningen and Ajax's recent form

Last ten matches each side.

FC Groningen
5
Wins
3
Draws
2
Losses
21
Scored
14
Conceded
3
Clean sheets
7
BTTS
  • 11 Oct ERE Excelsior1–5FC Groningen W
  • 18 Sep ERE FC Groningen3–0PEC Zwolle W
  • 12 Sep ERE Go Ahead Eagles1–1FC Groningen D
  • 6 Sep ERE FC Groningen2–2FC Twente D
  • 28 Aug ERE FC Groningen2–3Fortuna Sittard L
  • 23 Aug ERE PSV Eindhoven5–1FC Groningen L
  • 16 Aug ERE ADO Den Haag1–4FC Groningen W
  • 9 Aug ERE FC Groningen2–1FC Utrecht W
  • 1 Aug FRI FC Groningen1–0Real Valladolid W
  • 25 Jul FRI FC Groningen0–0NFC Volos D
Ajax
5
Wins
4
Draws
1
Losses
31
Scored
17
Conceded
1
Clean sheets
9
BTTS
  • 10 Oct ERE Ajax1–1NEC Nijmegen D
  • 19 Sep ERE Ajax2–2Excelsior D
  • 15 Sep ERE Ajax5–1Willem II W
  • 12 Sep ERE Fortuna Sittard1–5Ajax W
  • 5 Sep ERE Ajax1–3PSV Eindhoven L
  • 30 Aug ERE Telstar0–4Ajax W
  • 27 Aug CON Ajax5–3Sion W
  • 20 Aug CON Sion2–4Ajax W
  • 16 Aug ERE Ajax2–2SC Heerenveen D
  • 13 Aug CON Shelbourne2–2Ajax D