How each AI model's picks settled — ranked by profit on this match (10 units staked per model).
Specialist signals
The proven experts who picked Estoril vs Arouca
Top historical performers by country and market. Tap a signal for the reasoning.
Estoril expert+39% ROI58% WR
GLM
Tip:BTTS: Yes @ odds 1.70✕ Lost
▾
won 7 of 12 settled Estoril picks · +15.8u profit · this pick: BTTS: Yes @ 1.70 · 2 units
⚡ Why this pick
Estoril scored against Benfica despite losing 1-2.
They were blanked 0-2 by Rio Ave in their previous match.
Arouca beat Maritimo 2-1 in their latest outing.
B
GLM's picks in Estoril's last 4 matches
08-31Benfica-EstorilVangelis Pavlidis to score@ 1.55✓
08-31Benfica-EstorilOver 2.5 Goals@ 1.40✓
08-31Benfica-EstorilBTTS: Yes@ 2.05✓
08-22Estoril-Rio AveEstoril Win@ 2.00✕
08-22Estoril-Rio AveUnder 2.5 Goals@ 2.05✓
08-22Estoril-Rio AveBTTS: No@ 2.15✓
08-16Nacional-EstorilBTTS: Yes@ 1.70✕
08-16Nacional-EstorilNacional Win@ 2.80✓
08-16Nacional-EstorilYanis Begraoui to score@ 2.88✕
08-07Estoril-FamalicaoFamalicao Win@ 2.33✕
08-07Estoril-FamalicaoBTTS: No@ 2.15✕
08-07Estoril-FamalicaoUnder 2.5 Goals@ 1.95✓
Arouca expert+137% ROI73% WR
Claude
Tip:Ivan Barbero to score @ odds 2.80✕ Lost
▾
won 8 of 11 settled Arouca picks · +54.7u profit · this pick: Ivan Barbero to score @ 2.80 · 2 units
⚡ Why this pick
Barbero scored in Arouca's 2-1 win over Maritimo.
Estoril lost 1-2 to Benfica in their latest match.
Estoril also lost 0-2 to Rio Ave and Nacional.
Djouahra and
Claude's picks in Arouca's last 4 matches
08-29Arouca-MaritimoSimo Bouzaidi to score@ 4.50–
08-29Arouca-MaritimoCS: 2-1@ 9.50✓
08-29Arouca-MaritimoArouca Win@ 2.35✓
08-23FC Porto-AroucaFC Porto -1.5@ 1.72✓
08-23FC Porto-AroucaGabriel Veiga to score@ 4.20✓
08-23FC Porto-AroucaBTTS: No@ 1.65✓
08-16Arouca-MoreirenseCS: 1-0@ 8.00✕
08-16Arouca-MoreirenseArouca Win@ 2.17✓
08-16Arouca-MoreirenseUnder 2.5 Goals@ 1.74✕
08-08Vitoria de Guimaraes-AroucaUnder 2.5 Goals@ 1.94✓
08-08Vitoria de Guimaraes-AroucaArouca +0.5@ 1.98✓
Best AH picker+14% ROI58% WR
WizardLM
Tip:Arouca +0.5 @ odds 1.65✓ Won
▾
won 142 of 244 settled AH picks · +201.4u profit · this pick: Arouca +0.5 @ 1.65 · 6 units
⚡ Why this pick
Estoril lost 2-1 to Benfica in their latest outing.
Rio Ave beat Estoril 2-0 before that defeat.
Arouca beat Maritimo 2-1 and Moreirense 4-0.
Barbero, Djouahra and Gozalbez are e
WizardLM's recent picks in this market
09-07Nantes-NancyNancy +0.5@ 1.91✕
09-07Udinese-LazioLazio +0.5@ 1.46✓
09-07Mjaellby-IFK GoeteborgIFK Göteborg +0.5@ 1.79✓
09-06Valencia-BarcelonaBarcelona -1.5@ 1.83✓
09-06Malaga-LevanteLevante +0.5@ 1.60✓
Best BTTS picker+7% ROI60% WR
Nemotron
Tip:BTTS: Yes @ odds 1.70✕ Lost
▾
won 387 of 644 settled BTTS picks · +175.2u profit · this pick: BTTS: Yes @ 1.70 · 3 units
⚡ Why this pick
Estoril scored in a 1-2 loss to Benfica
Estoril failed to score against Rio Ave
Arouca beat Maritimo 2-1 last time out
Barbero and Begraoui are expected to l
Nemotron's recent picks in this market
09-07Palermo-SampdoriaBTTS: Yes@ 1.91✓
09-07Sabadell-CordobaBTTS: Yes@ 1.85✓
09-07Bromley-AFC WimbledonBTTS: Yes@ 1.75✕
09-07Nantes-NancyBTTS: Yes@ 1.77✕
09-07Udinese-LazioBTTS: Yes@ 2.00✓
💎 Value Pick High odds · high consensus✕ Lost
Arouca to win @ 3.16
6/8Models agree
75%Agreement
@ 3.16Avg odds
6 of 8 models who weighed this market converged on the same longshot pick — at average odds of 3.16. High-odds consensus is rare; when it does cluster, it's a stronger expected-value signal than a banker pick because the implied probability still leaves room above the true probability the models assign.
Estoril
4-2-3-1
● Confirmed
14
Begraoui
7
↓79′
Lacximicant
12
Carvalho
98
↓75′
Garcia
5
↓46′
Tsoungui
10
↓85′
Holsgrove
3
Medrano
15
Sierra
4
Ferro
2
↓79′
Sanchez
1
Robles
Bench (11)
Jordan Arnolin ↑46′ · Peixinho ↑75′ · Pedro Carvalho ↑79′ · Rafik Guitane ↑79′ · Tiago Brito ↑85′ · Axel Camblan · Martin Turk · Tiago Parente · Samuel Amissah · Luis Gomes · Xavi Sintes
Coach · Vasco Matos
Match Preview
Estoril vs Arouca Match Preview
AI-written editorial preview · updated 2026-09-05 19:17 UTC
Estoril and Arouca seek tactical edge at Antonio Coimbra da Mota
The tactical battle at the Antonio Coimbra da Mota this Monday evening hinges on whether Estoril can find a defensive rhythm to disrupt an Arouca side currently playing with significantly more attacking confidence. As the two sides meet for this Liga Portugal matchday 5 fixture, the hosts are searching for their first win of the campaign, while the visitors arrive looking to build on a positive start to their season.
Defensive structures and tactical setups
Estoril are expected to line up with a back five, featuring Stelios Andreou, Ferro, Ismael Sierra, and Fernando Medrano tasked with providing stability. The inclusion of Xeka and Joao Carvalho in midfield suggests an attempt to control the tempo, but they will need to be disciplined to prevent Arouca from exploiting gaps in transition.
Arouca appear likely to deploy a more fluid formation, with Javi Sanchez and Jose Fontan anchoring the defence in front of goalkeeper Ignacio de Arruabarrena. Their midfield, bolstered by Taichi Fukui and Tiago Esgaio, has shown a tendency to press high, which could place immediate pressure on Estoril’s backline as they look to play out from the back.
Key personnel in the attacking third
For Estoril, the goalscoring burden falls on the expected forward partnership of Yanis Begraoui and Andre Lacximicant. Their ability to hold up the ball and bring the midfield into play will be vital if the home side is to break their winless streak and put their opponents under sustained pressure.
Arouca will look to the movement of Ivan Barbero and Pablo Gozalbez to stretch the Estoril defence. With Nais Djouahra providing creativity from midfield, the visitors have shown they can be ruthless in front of goal, as evidenced by their four-goal haul against Moreirense earlier in the season.
Form and momentum heading into the tie
Estoril have endured a difficult start to the season, failing to secure a victory in their opening four league matches. Their recent 2-1 loss to Benfica highlighted a struggle to maintain intensity for the full ninety minutes, a trend they will be desperate to reverse on home soil.
In contrast, Arouca arrive with a sense of stability, having secured three wins in their last four competitive outings. Their defensive organization has been a standout feature, with the side keeping clean sheets in half of their last 10 matches across all competitions, providing a solid foundation for their attacking players to operate with freedom.
Historical context of the fixture
Recent encounters between these two sides have often been high-scoring and unpredictable affairs. The most recent meeting in April 2026 saw Arouca edge a 3-2 victory, while the previous clash at this venue in November 2025 was a thrilling 4-3 win for Estoril. Both teams have shown a history of finding the net against one another, suggesting that Monday's match could once again develop into an open contest if either side finds an early breakthrough.
Arouca
4-2-3-1
● Confirmed
17
↓75′
Barbero
7
Djouahra
10
↓75′
Gozalbez
19
↓85′
Trezza
6
↓46′
van Ee
8
Fukui
18
Lebedenko
3
Fontan
5
Popovic
28
Esgaio
12
de Arruabarrena
Bench (11)
Pedro Santos ↑46′ · Mateo Flores ↑75′ · Dylan Nandin ↑75′ · Brian Mansilla ↑85′ · Jakub Vinarcik · Diogo Monteiro · Fally Mayulu · Mario Climent · Martim Duarte · Si-Hoo Park · Miguel Puche
Coach · Vasco Seabra
Confirmed by FIFA officials.
All Predictions
What each AI model picked for Estoril vs Arouca
Every pick each model placed, market by market — with the odds they took.
