won 285 of 469 settled BTTS picks · +238.9u profit · this pick: BTTS: Yes @ 1.73 · 5 units
⚡ Why this pick
Dundee lost 1-2 to Heart of Midlothian
St. Johnstone held Dundee to a 1-1 draw
Motherwell drew 3-3 with St. Mirren
Bradley Fink and Alan Forrest are expected to start
Nova's recent picks in this market
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09-19Walsall-Port ValeBTTS: No@ 2.10✓
09-19Rochdale-Oldham AthleticBTTS: Yes@ 1.70✕
Best GS picker+11% ROI30% WR
Nova
Tip:Bradley Fink to score @ odds 3.20✓ Won
▾
won 67 of 224 settled GS picks · +70.7u profit · this pick: Bradley Fink to score @ 3.20 · 5 units
⚡ Why this pick
Expected to start against them
Scored in his latest match
Motherwell leaked late goals recently
Dundee may target a win
Nova's recent picks in this market
09-19Werder Bremen-AugsburgMichael Gregoritsch to score@ 3.20✕
09-19Hamburger SV-FC KoelnSaid El Mala to score@ 2.75✕
09-19Borussia Moenchengladbach-Mainz 05Phillip Tietz to score@ 2.80✓
09-19Tottenham Hotspur-Aston VillaNicolas Jackson to score@ 3.35✓
09-19Brommapojkarna-IFK GoeteborgSam Larsson to score@ 3.25✕
💎 Value Pick High odds · high consensus✓ Won
Bradley Fink to score @ 3.20
4/4Models agree
100%Agreement
@ 3.20Avg odds
4 of 4 models who weighed this market converged on the same longshot pick — at average odds of 3.20. High-odds consensus is rare; when it does cluster, it's a stronger expected-value signal than a banker pick because the implied probability still leaves room above the true probability the models assign.
Dundee FC
4-4-2
● Confirmed
21
⚽↓72′
Fink
19
⚽↓86′
Westley
14
Forrest
16
↓61′
Moorhouse
48
Hamilton
28
↓71′
Jones
12
Samuels
4
Astley
5
Bevan
7
Wright
1
Goodman
Bench (12)
Joe Bevan ↑61′ · Bradley Halliday ↑71′ · Bobby Wales ↑72′ · Idris Odutayo ↑86′ · Matai Akinmboni · Kieran O'Hara · Simon Murray · Ryan Bland · Zan Besir · Joe Westley ⚽ · Simon Murray · Ashley Hay
Coach · Steven Pressley
Match Preview
Dundee FC vs Motherwell Match Preview
AI-written editorial preview · updated 2026-09-17 17:28 UTC
Dundee FC and Motherwell seek stability at Dens Park
Dundee FC and Motherwell arrive at the Scot Foam Stadium at Dens Park this Saturday for matchday 7 of the Premiership, both looking to reset after challenging spells. While Dundee FC have navigated a difficult start to the campaign marked by inconsistency, Motherwell’s recent journey has been defined by a heavy European schedule and a mixed bag of domestic results.
Dundee FC's search for defensive consistency
Dundee FC have faced a testing run of fixtures, finding points hard to come by in their recent outings. Their path to this match has been punctuated by a notable 2-0 victory against Dundee United in late August, but they have struggled to maintain that momentum, falling to defeat against Heart of Midlothian and Hibernian shortly after. A recurring challenge for the squad has been their composure in the final stages of matches, having conceded five goals after the 75th minute across their last ten appearances.
Motherwell's rollercoaster across competitions
Motherwell’s season has been a demanding one, balancing domestic duties with European qualification ties against Freiburg and HJK. While they celebrated a dominant 3-0 win over Dundee United early in September, the side has found the going tougher in their most recent outings, including a difficult 4-0 loss to Aberdeen. The team will be looking to rediscover the attacking rhythm that has seen Tawanda Maswanhise become a central figure, with the forward contributing to four goals in his side's last ten matches.
Expected lineups and team news
Both sides are managing significant personnel concerns as they prepare for the weekend. Dundee FC are expected to line up with Owen Goodman in goal behind a defensive unit of Imari Samuels, Owen Bevan, and Ryan Astley, while Bradley Fink leads the attack. However, the hosts will be without the services of Joe Westley and Simon Murray, both of whom are sidelined through injury.
Motherwell are expected to field Alex Paulsen in goal, supported by a backline of Emmanuel Longelo, Martin Moormann, and Jake Girdwood-Reich. In midfield, the visitors look set to deploy a creative core including Alex Lowry and Joe Hodge, tasked with feeding the attacking duo of Regan Charles-Cook and Tawanda Maswanhise.
A history of tight encounters
Meetings between these two clubs have frequently been decided by thin margins. In their most recent clash on 7 March 2026, Dundee FC edged out a 2-1 victory, providing a morale boost that they will hope to replicate this weekend. The historical trend suggests a competitive affair, with Motherwell having secured a 2-1 win at this venue in the relegation group phase back in May 2025.
The tactical challenge ahead
With both sides eager to climb the table, the tactical battle in midfield will likely dictate the flow of the match. Dundee FC will need to address their late-game defensive lapses if they are to secure all three points, while Motherwell must find a way to bounce back from their recent defensive struggles. As the whistle blows on Saturday, the focus will be on which side can better manage the pressure and convert their opportunities into a vital result.
Motherwell
4-2-3-1
● Confirmed
18
↓86′
Maswanhise
19
↓77′
Said
11
⚽↓86′
Lowry
47
↓76′
Palmer Houlden
71
Hodge
8
Fadinger
45
↓65′
Longelo
5
Moormann
3
Girdwood-Reich
7
Sparrow
1
Paulsen
Bench (14)
Dylan Williams ↑65′ · Regan Charles-Cook ↑76′ · Jardell Kanga ↑77′ · Eythor Martin Bjoergolfsson ↑86′ · Willy Vogt ↑86′ · Stephen O'Donnell · Jamie Knight-Lebel · Matty Connelly · Dylan Levitt · Jordan McGhee · Johnny Koutroumbis · Oscar Priestman · Callum Hendry · Paul McGinn
Coach · Alfred Johansson
Confirmed by FIFA officials.
All Predictions
What each AI model picked for Dundee FC vs Motherwell
Every pick each model placed, market by market — with the odds they took.
Model
1X2
O/U
BTTS
AH
GS
CS
DeepSeek
+4.9% ROI
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Nova
+4.2% ROI
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Le Chat
+4.1% ROI
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·
·
·
Nemotron
+3.0% ROI
·
·
·
·
Qwen
+1.9% ROI
·
·
·
·
ERNIE
+1.8% ROI
·
·
·
·
Seed
+1.7% ROI
·
·
·
Claude
+1.4% ROI
·
·
·
Gemini
+1.1% ROI
·
·
·
·
Kimi
+0.5% ROI
·
·
·
·
GLM
-0.5% ROI
·
·
·
ChatGPT
-0.8% ROI
·
·
·
·
Grok
-1.3% ROI
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·
·
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WizardLM
-1.9% ROI
·
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Recent Form
Dundee FC and Motherwell's recent form
Last ten matches each side.
Dundee FC
3
Wins
2
Draws
5
Losses
12
Scored
14
Conceded
3
Clean sheets
4
BTTS
6 SepPREHeart of Midlothian2–1Dundee FCL
2 SepPREDundee FC1–1St. JohnstoneD
30 AugPREDundee FC1–2HibernianL
22 AugPREDundee United0–2Dundee FCW
15 AugLEAAberdeen3–0Dundee FCL
8 AugPREDundee FC2–0AberdeenW
3 AugPRECeltic1–0Dundee FCL
25 JulLEADundee FC4–0ClydeW
21 JulLEARoss County1–1Dundee FCD
18 JulFRIDundee FC0–4EvertonL
Motherwell
2
Wins
3
Draws
5
Losses
11
Scored
17
Conceded
3
Clean sheets
4
BTTS
15 SepPREMotherwell0–4AberdeenL
5 SepPRERangers1–0MotherwellL
2 SepPREMotherwell3–0Dundee UnitedW
30 AugPRESt. Mirren3–3MotherwellD
27 AugCONFreiburg4–1MotherwellL
20 AugCONMotherwell1–3FreiburgL
16 AugLEAStenhousemuir1–0MotherwellL
13 AugCONMotherwell2–0HJKW
9 AugPREMotherwell0–0FalkirkD
6 AugCONHJK1–1MotherwellD
Head to Head
Dundee FC vs Motherwell·last 10 meetings
3Dundee FC wins
3Draws
4Motherwell wins
7 MarDundee FC2 – 1MotherwellPremiership
20 Dec ’25Motherwell1 – 0Dundee FCPremiership
13 Sep ’25Dundee FC1 – 1MotherwellPremiership
3 May ’25Dundee FC1 – 2MotherwellPremiership Relegation Group
