Heart of Midlothian vs St. Mirren Betting Tips 10/10

Premiership 2026 · Matchday 8
Heart of Midlothian
vs
St. Mirren
Kickoff Sat 10 Oct · 16:00 CEST
Countdown — : — : —
Overview

Overview Heart of Midlothian vs St. Mirren Betting Tips

Match Result
Heart of Midlothian to win
Best odds
right now
1.48@
Total Goals
Over 2.5 goals
Best odds
right now
1.52@
Asian Handicap
Heart of Midlothian -1.5
Best odds
right now
2.20@
Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian vs St. Mirren Match Preview

AI-written editorial preview · updated 2026-10-05 19:07 UTC

James Wilson leads Hearts charge against St. Mirren at Tynecastle

James Wilson enters this Premiership clash as the focal point of the Heart of Midlothian attack, having demonstrated clinical form with five goals in his last seven appearances. His ability to spearhead the frontline will be vital as the hosts look to navigate a congested schedule that begins with this crucial meeting at Tynecastle Park.

The expected XI and squad management

Heart of Midlothian are expected to line up with Beau Reus in goal, protected by a defensive unit featuring Laurent Mendy, Stephen Kingsley, Stuart Findlay, Jamie McCart, and Christian Dahle Borchgrevink. The midfield core is anticipated to be anchored by Joshua McPake and Tomas Magnusson, with Wilson partnered by Claudio Braga and Calvin Miller in attack. While manager Wouter Vrancken has noted that Stuart Findlay should be fit to feature, the squad remains without Blair Spittal, Tom Renaud, and Craig Halkett, though Malachi Fagan-Walcott is available for selection.

St. Mirren are expected to field Jacob Chapman in goal behind a backline of Declan John, Henry Fieldson, and Calvin Ramsay. Alexandros Gogic is expected to anchor the midfield alongside Ryan Carr, Killian Phillips, and Ismeal Kabia, while Eseosa Sule and Fraser Taylor lead the attacking line. The visitors travel to Tynecastle missing Samuel Ramos, who remains sidelined through injury.

Form and the road to Tynecastle

Hearts arrive at this fixture following a mixed run in the Premiership, including a recent draw against Kilmarnock and a narrow defeat to Falkirk. However, their earlier momentum—highlighted by a victory over Hibernian and a win against St. Johnstone—remains a positive baseline for the side. Their tendency to strike late is a notable trait, with a significant portion of their recent goals arriving in the final quarter of matches.

St. Mirren have experienced an uneven start to their campaign, struggling to find consistency in their recent league outings. Their last three Premiership fixtures saw them fall to Dundee United, Rangers, and Celtic, leaving them in need of a sharp response. They will look to recapture the defensive discipline that earned them a clean sheet victory over Kilmarnock earlier in September.

Historical context and tactical outlook

Meetings between these two clubs have been closely contested, with St. Mirren claiming a 1-0 win in their most recent Premiership encounter back in February 2026. Hearts previously secured a 2-0 victory in January, illustrating the narrow margins that often define this fixture. The tactical battle will likely hinge on how Hearts manage their energy levels ahead of their upcoming European commitments while maintaining the pressure on the St. Mirren backline.

With Hearts balancing the intensity of a nine-game run in 29 days, the ability of players like Joshua McPake to influence the game will be paramount. If the hosts can maintain their late-game threat, they may be able to break down a St. Mirren side that is eager to prove themselves after a difficult run of results. The atmosphere at Tynecastle will play its part as both teams look to secure vital points in the Premiership standings.

Expected line-ups

Heart of Midlothian
4-4-2
Expected · official feed
GK1B. Reus
DEF3S. Kingsley · 17S. Findlay · 5J. McCart · 2C. Borchgrevink
MID15J. McPake · 22T. Magnusson · 78L. Mendy · 7C. Miller
FWD10C. Braga · 21J. Wilson
Bench (12)
O. McEntee · Ageu · J. Williams · P. Kabore · H. Milne · S. Guendouz · E. Kabangu · J. Altena · S. Kerjota · R. Fulton · Y. Dhanda · R. Mato
Coach · Wouter Vrancken
St. Mirren
4-2-3-1
Expected · official feed
GK1J. Chapman
DEF3D. John · 53H. Fieldson · 13A. Gogic · 47C. Ramsay
MID30F. Taylor · 8R. Carr · 48P. Nsio · 88K. Phillips · 19I. Kabia
FWD9E. Sule
Bench (9)
J. Richardson · R. King · L. Jackson · L. Thomas · J. Young · M. Fraser · C. Mochrie · N. Agrafiotis · R. Mullen
Coach · Craig McLeish

Official expected line-ups for this match from the data feed. Locks as Confirmed ~1h before kickoff.

Head to Head stats

10 meetings
4Heart of Midlothian wins
4Draws
2St. Mirren wins
3 Feb St. Mirren 1 – 0 Heart of Midlothian Premiership
14 Jan Heart of Midlothian 2 – 0 St. Mirren Premiership
29 Oct ’25 St. Mirren 2 – 2 Heart of Midlothian Premiership
16 Aug ’25 St. Mirren 1 – 1 Heart of Midlothian League Cup Final Stage
26 Feb ’25 Heart of Midlothian 3 – 1 St. Mirren Premiership
10 Feb ’25 St. Mirren 1 – 1 Heart of Midlothian FA Cup
19 Oct ’24 Heart of Midlothian 4 – 0 St. Mirren Premiership
21 Sep ’24 St. Mirren 2 – 1 Heart of Midlothian Premiership
15 May ’24 St. Mirren 2 – 2 Heart of Midlothian Premiership Championship Group
6 Apr ’24 St. Mirren 1 – 2 Heart of Midlothian Premiership
AI Consensus

Heart of Midlothian vs St. Mirren Betting Tips Consensus

14 AI models have taken a position on Heart of Midlothian vs St. Mirren, and the strongest agreement is on the total goals market: 9 of the 9 models that priced it back Over 2.5 goals. Elsewhere, the goalscorer market leans James Wilson to score (5/5) and the match result market leans Heart of Midlothian to win (7/8). Below: every model's picks, their reasoning, and the best live odds for each selection.

Match Result
Heart of Midlothian to win
7/8models agree
Best odds
right now
1.48@
Models played @ odds 1.48
Distribution
Heart of Midlothian to win 7
Bet now
Total Goals
Over 2.5 goals
9/9models agree
Best odds
right now
1.52@
Models played @ odds 1.52
Distribution
Over 2.5 goals 9
Bet now
Asian Handicap
Heart of Midlothian -1.5
4/5models agree
Best odds
right now
2.20@
Models played @ odds 2.20
Distribution
Heart of Midlothian -1.5 4
St. Mirren +0.5 1
Bet now
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Specialist signals

The proven experts who picked Heart of Midlothian vs St. Mirren

Top historical performers by country and market. Tap a signal for the reasoning.

Heart of Midlothian expert+65% ROI82% WR
Qwen
Tip:James Wilson to score @ odds 2.10
▾
won 9 of 11 settled Heart of Midlothian picks · +32.4u profit · this pick: James Wilson to score @ 2.10 · 4 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Wilson on the scoresheet against Kilmarnock lately
  • St Mirren conceded in recent league outings
  • Expected starter faces a depleted back line
Qwen's picks in Heart of Midlothian's last 5 matches
09-19Kilmarnock-Heart of MidlothianHeart of Midlothian Win@ 1.82✕
09-19Kilmarnock-Heart of MidlothianBTTS: Yes@ 1.67✓
09-19Kilmarnock-Heart of MidlothianOver 2.5 Goals@ 1.65✕
09-15Falkirk-Heart of MidlothianJames Wilson to score@ 2.75✓
09-15Falkirk-Heart of MidlothianBTTS: Yes@ 1.67✓
09-06Heart of Midlothian-Dundee FCBTTS: Yes@ 1.80✓
09-06Heart of Midlothian-Dundee FCHeart of Midlothian Win@ 1.54✓
09-03Hibernian-Heart of MidlothianJames Wilson to score@ 3.25✓
09-03Hibernian-Heart of MidlothianBTTS: Yes@ 1.67✓
08-29Heart of Midlothian-St. JohnstoneOver 2.5 Goals@ 1.91✓
08-29Heart of Midlothian-St. JohnstoneHeart of Midlothian Win@ 1.78✓
St. Mirren expert+39% ROI56% WR
DeepSeek
Tip:BTTS: No @ odds 2.20
▾
won 5 of 9 settled St. Mirren picks · +19.6u profit · this pick: BTTS: No @ 2.20 · 4 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • St Mirren lost 0-3 against Dundee United in their latest match.
  • They were also beaten 0-1 by Rangers.
  • Killian Phillips is expected to start for St Mirren.
  • Hea
DeepSeek's picks in St. Mirren's last 5 matches
09-19St. Mirren-Dundee UnitedBTTS: Yes@ 1.61✕
09-19St. Mirren-Dundee UnitedSt. Mirren Win@ 2.37✕
09-19St. Mirren-Dundee UnitedOver 2.5 Goals@ 1.73✓
09-09Rangers-St. MirrenUnder 2.5 Goals@ 2.50✓
09-05St. Mirren-CelticSt. Mirren +1.5@ 1.70✓
09-05St. Mirren-CelticBTTS: Yes@ 1.82✓
09-02Kilmarnock-St. MirrenSt. Mirren +0.5@ 1.58✓
08-30St. Mirren-MotherwellKillian Phillips to score@ 4.33–
08-30St. Mirren-MotherwellUnder 2.5 Goals@ 1.91✕
Best 1X2 picker+29% ROI54% WR
Le Chat
Tip:Heart of Midlothian to win @ odds 1.48
▾
won 119 of 220 settled 1X2 picks · +343.4u profit · this pick: Heart of Midlothian to win @ 1.48 · 6 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Hearts drew 1-1 with Kilmarnock in their latest match.
  • St. Mirren lost 0-3 to Dundee United last time out.
  • James Wilson and Claudio Braga are expected to lead Hearts' att
Le Chat's recent picks in this market
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10-05Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto-Racing ClubRacing Club Win@ 2.15✓
10-04Sporting Gijon-Celta FortunaSporting Gijon Win@ 1.57✓
10-04Las Palmas-Real ValladolidLas Palmas Win@ 2.27✕
All Predictions

What each AI model picked for Heart of Midlothian vs St. Mirren

Every pick each model placed, market by market — with the odds they took.

Model
1X2
O/U
BTTS
AH
GS
CS
DeepSeek
+4.3% ROI
·
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·
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Le Chat
+3.2% ROI
·
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·
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Nova
+3.2% ROI
·
·
·
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Qwen
+1.5% ROI
·
·
·
·
Nemotron
+1.1% ROI
·
·
·
·
Kimi
+1.1% ROI
·
·
·
·
·
Seed
+0.5% ROI
·
·
·
Claude
-0.3% ROI
·
·
·
·
ChatGPT
-1.3% ROI
·
·
·
·
Gemini
-1.4% ROI
·
·
·
·
GLM
-1.5% ROI
·
·
·
ERNIE
-2.2% ROI
·
·
·
WizardLM
-3.1% ROI
·
·
·
·
Grok
-4.9% ROI
·
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·
Recent Form

Heart of Midlothian and St. Mirren's recent form

Last ten matches each side.

Heart of Midlothian
5
Wins
4
Draws
1
Losses
22
Scored
12
Conceded
1
Clean sheets
9
BTTS
  • 19 Sep PRE Kilmarnock1–1Heart of Midlothian D
  • 15 Sep PRE Falkirk2–1Heart of Midlothian L
  • 11 Sep LEA Stenhousemuir0–3Heart of Midlothian W
  • 6 Sep PRE Heart of Midlothian2–1Dundee FC W
  • 3 Sep PRE Hibernian1–3Heart of Midlothian W
  • 29 Aug PRE Heart of Midlothian2–1St. Johnstone W
  • 26 Aug CON Rapid Wien1–1Heart of Midlothian D
  • 20 Aug CON Heart of Midlothian2–2Rapid Wien D
  • 16 Aug LEA Heart of Midlothian6–2Inverness CT W
  • 13 Aug EUR Heart of Midlothian1–1Benfica D
St. Mirren
4
Wins
1
Draws
5
Losses
13
Scored
18
Conceded
3
Clean sheets
4
BTTS
  • 19 Sep PRE St. Mirren0–3Dundee United L
  • 9 Sep PRE Rangers1–0St. Mirren L
  • 5 Sep PRE St. Mirren1–2Celtic L
  • 2 Sep PRE Kilmarnock0–1St. Mirren W
  • 30 Aug PRE St. Mirren3–3Motherwell D
  • 16 Aug LEA Rangers5–1St. Mirren L
  • 8 Aug PRE St. Mirren1–0St. Johnstone W
  • 1 Aug PRE Falkirk0–2St. Mirren W
  • 26 Jul LEA St. Mirren0–1Dunfermline Athletic L
  • 21 Jul LEA St. Mirren4–3East Kilbride W