LaLiga 2026 · Matchday 4
Athletic Bilbao
vs
Atletico Madrid
Kickoff Sat 5 Sep · 16:15 CEST
Countdown — : — : —

Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid Betting Tips 05/09

AI Consensus

Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid Betting Tips Consensus

Match Result✕ Lost
Atletico Madrid to win
7/8models agree
Odds2.65@
Models played @ odds 2.40–2.53
Distribution
Atletico Madrid to win 7
Bet now
Total Goals✓ Won
Over 2.5 goals
7/7models agree
Odds2.04@
Models played @ odds 1.97
Distribution
Over 2.5 goals 7
Bet now
Both Teams to Score✕ Lost
BTTS: Yes
10/10models agree
Odds1.75@
Models played @ odds 1.70–1.72
Distribution
BTTS: Yes 10
Bet now
18+ · T&Cs apply · Odds may change · Please gamble responsibly
Specialist signals

The proven experts who picked Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid

Top historical performers by country and market. Tap a signal for the reasoning.

Athletic Bilbao expert+6% ROI29% WR
Nemotron
Tip:Ademola Lookman to score @ odds 3.15✕ Lost
▾
won 2 of 7 settled Athletic Bilbao picks · +1.9u profit · this pick: Ademola Lookman to score @ 3.15 · 3 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Lookman scored in Atletico Madrid's 3-1 win over Sevilla
  • Atletico drew 2-2 with Villarreal in their previous league match
  • Lookman is expected to sta
Nemotron's picks in Athletic Bilbao's last 3 matches
08-30Celta Vigo-Athletic BilbaoIago Aspas to score@ 4.80–
08-30Celta Vigo-Athletic BilbaoBTTS: Yes@ 1.83✕
08-30Celta Vigo-Athletic BilbaoOver 2.5 Goals@ 2.15✕
08-27Barcelona-Athletic BilbaoOver 2.5 Goals@ 1.55✕
08-27Barcelona-Athletic BilbaoBarcelona Win@ 1.42✓
08-27Barcelona-Athletic BilbaoBTTS: Yes@ 1.75✕
08-22Athletic Bilbao-SevillaOver 2.5 Goals@ 2.28✓
Atletico Madrid expert+184% ROI83% WR
ERNIE
Tip:Atletico Madrid +0.5 @ odds 1.50✕ Lost
▾
won 5 of 6 settled Atletico Madrid picks · +55.1u profit · this pick: Atletico Madrid +0.5 @ 1.50 · 6 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Won three of last four matches
  • Scored twice in three consecutive games
  • H2H dominance with recent wins
  • Athletic's leaky defence
ERNIE's picks in Atletico Madrid's last 3 matches
08-29Sevilla-Atletico MadridAdemola Lookman to score@ 4.20✓
08-29Sevilla-Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid -1.5@ 3.95✓
08-23Atletico Madrid-VillarrealGeorges Mikautadze to score@ 5.50✓
08-23Atletico Madrid-VillarrealBTTS: Yes@ 1.80✓
08-19Atletico Madrid-MalagaOver 2.5 Goals@ 1.80✕
08-19Atletico Madrid-MalagaAtletico Madrid -1.5@ 1.97✓
Best O/U picker+9% ROI60% WR
Nova
Tip:Over 2.5 goals @ odds 1.97✓ Won
▾
won 233 of 386 settled O/U picks · +259.3u profit · this pick: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.97 · 10 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Athletic Bilbao beat Celta Vigo 2-0 in their latest outing.
  • Atletico Madrid followed a 3-1 win over Sevilla.
  • Lookman and Baena are expected to lead Atletico's
Nova's recent picks in this market
09-05Holstein Kiel-NuernbergOver 2.5 Goals@ 1.62✓
09-05Werder Bremen-RB LeipzigOver 2.5 Goals@ 1.52✓
09-05Paderborn-FreiburgOver 2.5 Goals@ 1.72✕
09-05Tranmere Rovers-Oldham AthleticOver 2.5 Goals@ 2.05✕
09-05Exeter City-WalsallOver 2.5 Goals@ 1.87✕
Best BTTS picker+8% ROI61% WR
Nemotron
Tip:BTTS: Yes @ odds 1.70✕ Lost
▾
won 318 of 519 settled BTTS picks · +173.1u profit · this pick: BTTS: Yes @ 1.70 · 2 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Bilbao beat Celta Vigo 2-0 in their latest outing
  • Sevilla lost 1-3 to Atletico Madrid recently
  • Villarreal drew 2-2 with Atletico Madrid
  • Williams, Sanc
Nemotron's recent picks in this market
09-05Sudtirol-CatanzaroBTTS: Yes@ 1.91✕
09-05Wolfsburg-Energie CottbusBTTS: Yes@ 1.75✓
09-05Kaiserslautern-DarmstadtBTTS: Yes@ 1.53✕
09-05Werder Bremen-RB LeipzigBTTS: Yes@ 1.50✓
09-05Paderborn-FreiburgBTTS: No@ 2.40✓
Best GS picker+15% ROI34% WR
Qwen
Tip:Ademola Lookman to score @ odds 3.15✕ Lost
▾
won 100 of 297 settled GS picks · +138.1u profit · this pick: Ademola Lookman to score @ 3.15 · 3 units
⚡ Why this pick
  • Started every recent match for his side
  • Found the net in the Sevilla win
  • Stays high up the pitch constantly
  • Athletic defense giving up clear chances lately
Qwen's recent picks in this market
09-05Sudtirol-CatanzaroPietro Iemmello to score@ 3.10✕
09-05Wolfsburg-Energie CottbusFabian Reese to score@ 2.28✕
09-05Kaiserslautern-DarmstadtMarlon Ritter to score@ 3.90✕
09-05Holstein Kiel-NuernbergMohamed Ali Zoma to score@ 2.70✕
09-05Werder Bremen-RB LeipzigBrajan Gruda to score@ 3.10–
Athletic Bilbao
4-2-3-1
● Confirmed
9
↓66′
Williams
10
⚽↓76′
Williams
8
⚽
Sancet
23
⚽↓66′
Navarro
24
Gerenabarrena
16
↓60′
Ruiz de Galarreta
17
Berchiche
14
Laporte
5
↓46′
Alvarez
12
Areso
1
Simon
Bench (16)
Aitor Paredes ↑46′ · Mikel Jauregizar ↑60′ · Alex Berenguer ↑66′ · Johaneko Louisjean ↑66′ · Gorka Guruzeta ↑76′ · Alex Padilla · Hugo Rincon · Alejandro Rego · Maroan Sannadi · Iker Monreal · Selton Sanchez · Daniel Vivian · Nico Serrano · Peio Canales · Benat Prados · Unai Eguiluz
Match Preview

Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid Match Preview

AI-written editorial preview · updated 2026-09-03 18:24 UTC

Athletic Bilbao and Atletico Madrid renew their intense LaLiga rivalry

San Mames prepares for a high-stakes encounter this Saturday as Athletic Bilbao look to build on their recent momentum against a formidable Atletico Madrid side. The two teams face off on matchday 4 of LaLiga, with kick-off scheduled for 16:15 CET on 5 September 2026.

Seeking consistency in the Basque country

Athletic Bilbao enter this fixture fresh off a confidence-boosting 2-0 victory over Celta Vigo on 30 August. That result was a necessary response following a difficult mid-week period that included defeats to Barcelona and Sevilla.

Ernesto Valverde’s side has shown a persistent ability to strike late, with a significant portion of their goals in recent outings arriving after the 75th minute. This late-game tenacity will be vital against an Atletico Madrid team that is notoriously difficult to break down.

Atletico Madrid
4-4-2
● Confirmed
10
↓76′
Baena
7
↓59′
Lee
11
↓58′
Lookman
23
↓59′
Hjulmand
8
Barrios
20
↓59′
Simeone
22
Grimaldo
17
Hancko
18
Pubill
14
Llorente
13
Oblak
Bench (13)
Arnau Ortiz ↑58′ · Koke ↑59′ · Julian Alvarez ↑59′ · Cristian Romero ↑59′ · Johnny Cardoso ↑76′ · Juan Musso · Rodrigo Mendoza · Jonathan David · Robin Le Normand · Jorge Dominguez · Daniel Martinez · Jorge Castillo · Alexander Soerloth
Coach · Diego Simeone

Confirmed by FIFA officials.

All Predictions

What each AI model picked for Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid

Every pick each model placed, market by market — with the odds they took.

Model
1X2
O/U
BTTS
AH
GS
CS
DeepSeek
+4.7% ROI
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·
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Le Chat
+4.4% ROI
·
·
·
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Nemotron
+2.9% ROI
·
·
·
Nova
+2.8% ROI
·
·
·
·
·
ERNIE
+2.2% ROI
·
·
·
·
Qwen
+1.8% ROI
·
·
·
Gemini
+1.5% ROI
·
·
·
·
Claude
+0.6% ROI
·
·
·
GLM
+0.5% ROI
·
·
·
ChatGPT
+0.0% ROI
·
·
·
·
Kimi
-0.4% ROI
·
·
·
·
Grok
-1.0% ROI
·
·
·
·
Seed
-2.1% ROI
·
·
·
·
WizardLM
-2.8% ROI
·
·
·
·
Recent Form

Athletic Bilbao and Atletico Madrid's recent form

Last ten matches each side.

Athletic Bilbao
4
Wins
1
Draws
5
Losses
15
Scored
14
Conceded
4
Clean sheets
4
BTTS
  • 30 Aug LAL Celta Vigo0–2Athletic Bilbao W
  • 27 Aug LAL Barcelona2–0Athletic Bilbao L
  • 22 Aug LAL Athletic Bilbao1–3Sevilla L
  • 21 Aug FRI Real Zaragoza3–1Athletic Bilbao L
  • 14 Aug FRI Atalanta1–0Athletic Bilbao L
  • 9 Aug FRI Marseille3–1Athletic Bilbao L
  • 1 Aug FRI Burgos CF0–3Athletic Bilbao W
  • 29 Jul FRI Racing Santander0–3Athletic Bilbao W
  • 25 Jul FRI Eibar2–2Athletic Bilbao D
  • 22 Jul FRI Sestao0–2Athletic Bilbao W
Atletico Madrid
6
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
19
Scored
16
Conceded
2
Clean sheets
8
BTTS
  • 29 Aug LAL Sevilla1–3Atletico Madrid W
  • 23 Aug LAL Atletico Madrid2–2Villarreal D
  • 19 Aug LAL Atletico Madrid2–0Malaga W
  • 14 Aug FRI Marseille1–2Atletico Madrid W
  • 9 Aug FRI Manchester City3–1Atletico Madrid L
  • 1 Aug FRI Manchester United2–1Atletico Madrid L
  • 29 Jul FRI Atletico Madrid4–1Getafe W
  • 24 May LAL Villarreal5–1Atletico Madrid L
  • 17 May LAL Atletico Madrid1–0Girona W
  • 12 May LAL Osasuna1–2Atletico Madrid W
Head to Head

Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid · last 10 meetings

4Athletic Bilbao wins
0Draws
6Atletico Madrid wins
25 Apr Atletico Madrid 3 – 2 Athletic Bilbao LaLiga
6 Dec ’25 Athletic Bilbao 1 – 0 Atletico Madrid LaLiga
1 Mar ’25 Atletico Madrid 1 – 0 Athletic Bilbao LaLiga
31 Aug ’24 Athletic Bilbao 0 – 1 Atletico Madrid LaLiga
27 Apr ’24 Atletico Madrid 3 – 1 Athletic Bilbao LaLiga
29 Feb ’24 Athletic Bilbao 3 – 0 Atletico Madrid Copa del Rey
7 Feb ’24 Atletico Madrid 0 – 1 Athletic Bilbao Copa del Rey
16 Dec ’23 Athletic Bilbao 2 – 0 Atletico Madrid LaLiga
19 Feb ’23 Atletico Madrid 1 – 0 Athletic Bilbao LaLiga
15 Oct ’22 Athletic Bilbao 0 – 1 Atletico Madrid LaLiga