won 34 of 96 settled GS picks · +92.2u profit · this pick: Gorka Guruzeta to score @ 2.65 · 4 units
⚡ Why this pick
Guruzeta is expected to start against Sevilla.
Athletic lost 0-1 to Atalanta in their latest friendly.
Athletic beat Burgos CF 3-0 earlier in preseason.
N
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💎 Value Pick High odds · high consensus✕ Lost
Gorka Guruzeta to score @ 3.06
7/8Models agree
88%Agreement
@ 3.06Avg odds
7 of 8 models who weighed this market converged on the same longshot pick — at average odds of 3.06. High-odds consensus is rare; when it does cluster, it's a stronger expected-value signal than a banker pick because the implied probability still leaves room above the true probability the models assign.
Athletic Bilbao
4-2-3-1
● Confirmed
11
↓58′
Guruzeta
7
Berenguer
8
Sancet
9
↓58′
Williams
28
Canales
24
↓83′
Gerenabarrena
17
Berchiche
4
⚽↓74′
Paredes
5
Alvarez
12
↓58′
Areso
1
Simon
Bench (14)
Nico Williams ↑58′ · Aymeric Laporte ↑58′ · Maroan Sannadi ↑58′ · Hugo Rincon ↑74′ · Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta ↑83′ · Alex Padilla · Mikel Jauregizar · Adama Boiro · Alejandro Rego · Robert Navarro · Alvaro Djalo · Johaneko Louisjean · Daniel Vivian · Unai Eguiluz
Match Preview
Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla Match Preview
AI-written editorial preview · updated 2026-08-20 17:56 UTC
Athletic Bilbao and Sevilla look to make their mark at San Mames
Inaki Williams remains the heartbeat of the Athletic Bilbao attack, his explosive pace and direct running consistently serving as the primary outlet for his side. As they prepare to host Sevilla at San Mames this Saturday, the forward will be looking to channel that familiar energy to help his team bounce back from a challenging pre-season period.
The expected tactical battle
Athletic Bilbao are expected to line up with Unai Simon in goal, protected by a defensive unit featuring Yuri Berchiche, Aitor Paredes, Yeray Alvarez, and Jesus Areso. In midfield, the trio of Robert Navarro, Oihan Sancet, and Mikel Jauregizar should provide the engine room, while Inaki Williams and Gorka Guruzeta lead the line. This setup aims to balance defensive discipline with the high-intensity transition play that has become a trademark of their home performances.
Sevilla, meanwhile, are expected to counter with Odysseas Vlachodimos between the posts. Their defensive line is set to include Gabriel Suazo, Andres Castrin, Arouna Sangante, and Juan Iglesias, while the midfield features Miguel Angel Sierra, Jon Guridi, Lucien Agoume, Oso, and Peque. With Robbie Ure expected to lead the attack, Sevilla will look to control the tempo and exploit spaces left by the hosts.
Managing the personnel challenges
Sevilla enter this match with a notable hurdle, as Kike Salas is unavailable due to suspension. This absence will force a reshuffle in their defensive structure, testing the depth of their squad early in the campaign. For Athletic Bilbao, the focus remains on integrating their core starters and finding the rhythm that often makes them formidable in front of their own supporters.
Form and the head-to-head history
Athletic Bilbao’s recent form has been mixed, with a series of club friendlies yielding both high-scoring wins and narrow defeats against European opposition. Their last competitive outing in LaLiga saw them fall to a 4-2 defeat against Real Madrid in May. Sevilla arrive with momentum, having secured a 2-1 victory over Rayo Vallecano in their opening LaLiga match of the season.
The history between these two sides suggests a closely contested affair. In their most recent league meeting back in January, Sevilla edged out a 2-1 win, though Athletic Bilbao claimed a thrilling 3-2 victory at San Mames in August of last year. These encounters are rarely settled without drama, reflecting the competitive nature of this long-standing fixture.
Late-game intensity at San Mames
One factor that could influence the outcome is Athletic Bilbao’s tendency to finish matches strongly. In their recent run of fixtures, the team has shown a knack for finding the back of the net in the final stages, with a significant portion of their goals arriving after the 75th minute. If the match remains tight as the clock winds down, Sevilla’s ability to withstand this late pressure will be put to the ultimate test in front of a passionate home crowd.
Sevilla
4-5-1
● Confirmed
9
Ure
19
⚽↓78′
Oso
18
↓46′
Guridi
10
Peque
6
Agoume
30
↓46′
Angel Sierra
17
Suazo
5
Castrin
12
↓68′
Sangante
2
Iglesias
1
Vlachodimos
Bench (14)
Isaac Romero ↑46′⚽ · Chidera Ejuke ↑46′⚽ · Nico Guillen ↑46′ · Jose Angel Carmona ↑68′ · Julio Diaz ↑78′ · Giorgi Kochorashvili · Fran Gonzalez · Manu Bueno · Rafa Romero · Iker Ortin · Ibrahima Sow · Kike Salas · Ruben Vargas · Alfon Gonzalez
Coach · Luis Garcia
Confirmed by FIFA officials.
All Predictions
What each AI model picked for Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla
Every pick each model placed, market by market — with the odds they took.
